Result
3:2
15/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 16
- Referee: Langford O. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (255/340) | 74% (297/399) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (255/340) | 74% (297/399) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (33/67) | 39% (29/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (72/115) | 60% (80/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 5% (1/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 49 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (15/27) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 49 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Wilson J. (Own goal),
- 11', 2 - 0, Ironside J. ⚽,
- 34', 2 - 1, Thomas J. ⚽, Bickerstaff J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Stevenson B. ↓, Adelakun H. ↑,
- 65', Ironside J. ↓, Davison J. ↑,
- 65', Jennings C. ↓, Dennis K. ↑,
- 66', Smith N. 🟨,
- 68', Joseph J. ↓, Norman C. ↑,
- 72', Broom R. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 73', Smallwood R. 🟨,
- 77', 2 - 2, Martin J. ⚽, Adelakun H. (A),
- 84', Smallwood R. ↓, McGowan A. ↑,
- 84', Lowe J. ↓, Blacker B. ↑,
- 85', Young L. 🟨,
- 86', 3 - 2, Whitaker C. ⚽,
- 88', Archer E. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tranmere Rovers
52.8% | Draw
25.4% | Cheltenham Town
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Tranmere Rovers - Cheltenham Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↑
(1.75) |
3.69 ↑
(3.61) |
4.29 ↓
(4.39) |
6.7%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tranmere Rovers - Cheltenham Town?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tranmere: 44.1% – 94.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tranmere (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cheltenham (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 22).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 2.
- Tranmere has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cheltenham is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Cheltenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Cheltenham has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Tranmere is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Tranmere: McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Bennett S.
(Inactive)
Cundy R.
(Inactive)
Miller G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Tranmere: Bristow E.
(Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Inactive)
Turnbull J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cheltenham: Backwell T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Cheltenham Town?
Tranmere Rovers has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Tranmere Rovers?
Cheltenham Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tranmere Rovers - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
28.03.2025
Tranmere Rovers
-
Cheltenham Town
2:0
22.11.2024
Cheltenham Town
-
Tranmere Rovers
1:0
Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
