Fakel vs Chelyabinsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
30/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 21
  • Referee: Kaplenkov I. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
72
Shots on target
40
Corner Kicks
32
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
72
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
32
Corner Kicks
32
Free Kicks
621

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Pusi B. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Abdullin R. , Agaev A. ,
  • 46', Eza W. , Pushkarev D. ,
  • 46', Emelyanov D. , Nosov A. ,
  • 46', Bagamaev A. , Simonov K. ,
  • 47', Kochiev K. 🟨,
  • 48', Pusi B. 🟨,
  • 70', Netfullin R. , Magomedov B. ,
  • 70', Gongadze G. , Uridia M. ,
  • 79', Kochiev K. , Nikitenkov A. ,
  • 80', Pusi B. , Motpan N. ,
  • 83', Zhamaletdinov T. , Zyryanov N. ,
  • 87', Giorgobiani N. , Abdokov N. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 0, Uridia M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fakel
50.2%
Draw
31.3%
Chelyabinsk
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 26.9% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7% 25.8% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fakel's form might have worsened.
  • Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fakel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Fakel - Chelyabinsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.7)
    2.99
    (3.55)
    5.05
    (5.73)
    7%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Fakel - Chelyabinsk?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Chelyabinsk (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chelyabinsk (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 5).
    • Fakel is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Chelyabinsk has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Fakel is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Fakel will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fakel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fakel - Chelyabinsk were as follows:
    04.09.2025 Chelyabinsk - Fakel 1:1
    Latest results of Fakel
    23.11.2025 Ufa - Fakel 0:4
    16.11.2025 Sokol Saratov - Fakel 0:1
    10.11.2025 Fakel - Spartak Kostroma 3:2
    03.11.2025 Fakel - Torpedo Moscow 2:0
    30.10.2025 Fakel - Arsenal Tula 2:3
    Latest results of Chelyabinsk
    24.11.2025 Rotor - Chelyabinsk 0:2
    16.11.2025 Chelyabinsk - KAMAZ 3:3
    10.11.2025 Chelyabinsk - Ufa 2:1
    05.11.2025 Ural - Chelyabinsk 1:0
    01.11.2025 Shinnik - Chelyabinsk 1:0
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh22163330:111951
    2Ural22125530:191141
    3Rodina Moscow22109330:171339
    4S. Kostroma2298531:25635
    5Chelyabinsk2298528:20835
    6Kamaz2289537:251233
    7SKA Khabarovsk2288624:22232
    8R. Volgograd2287725:18731
    9Neftekhimik22710527:24331
    10Arsenal Tula22611530:26429
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl2268819:21-226
    12Yenisey2259815:26-1124
    13Torpedo Moscow22661019:29-1024
    14Chernomorets Novorossijsk22661025:29-424
    15Ulyanovsk22651125:35-1023
    16Ufa22481024:31-720
    17Saratov222101010:23-1316
    18FK Chayka22261419:47-2812

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