Result
1:1
04/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 8
- Referee: Matveev S. (Rus)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Zhuravlev Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 61', Abdokov N. ↓, Magomedov B. ↑,
- 61', Uridia M. ↓, Gongadze G. ↑,
- 73', Gatin B. ↓, Pushkarev D. ↑,
- 73', N'Diaye B. ↓, Gapechkin A. ↑,
- 80', Gadzhimuradov R. ↓, Nosov A. ↑,
- 82', Gaponov I. ↓, Gabaraev A. ↑,
- 82', Bagamaev A. ↓, Simonov K. ↑,
- 82', Alshin I. ↓, Giorgobiani N. ↑,
- 90+3', Kertanov K. 🟨,
- 90+5', 0 - 1, Giorgobiani N. ⚽,
- 90+7', Giorgobiani N. 🟨,
- 90+9', Magkeev S. 🟨,
- 90+10', 1 - 1, Levin G. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Chelyabinsk
24.7% | Draw
31.1% | Fakel
44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chelyabinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fakel's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fakel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chelyabinsk - Fakel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.83 ↑
(3.24) |
3.04 ↑
(2.93) |
2.14 ↓
(2.4) |
5.7%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Chelyabinsk - Fakel?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Fakel will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fakel (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
- Recent performances by Chelyabinsk have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Fakel is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Fakel will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Chelyabinsk won against Fakel?
Chelyabinsk has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against Chelyabinsk?
Fakel has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chelyabinsk - Fakel were as follows:
Latest results of Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | S. Kostroma | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 27 |
| 3 | Ural | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21:15 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Chelyabinsk | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 23 |
| 5 | R. Volgograd | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:7 | 11 | 22 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 22 |
| 7 | Rodina Moscow | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
| 8 | SKA Khabarovsk | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 15 |
| 12 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Ulyanovsk | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 12 |
| 14 | Ufa | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | Yenisey | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7:14 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | Saratov | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 | Torpedo Moscow | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 | FK Chayka | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
