UNAM vs Chivas Guadalajara: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

01/03/2025 at 22:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Mexico City).

MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 10
Referee: Huitron D. (Mex)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.68	0.66
Ball Possession
39%	61%
Goal Attempts
7	8
Shots on Goal
5	3
Shots off Goal
1	5
Blocked Shots
1	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
7	12
Shots inside the Box
3	7
Shots outside the Box
4	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
Free Kicks
9	11
Offsides
1	1
Fouls
11	9
Yellow Cards
4	1
Throw-ins
24	31
Touches in the Opposition Box
5	22
Passes
79% (256/324)	83% (421/505)
Passes in the final third
65% (41/63)	67% (98/147)
Crosses
0% (0/10)	27% (6/22)
Tackles
71% (12/17)	57% (17/30)
Clearances Total
31	19
Interceptions
4	6

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Trigos S. 🟨,
41', Chavez Garcia M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Carrasquilla A. ↓, Venegas S. ↑,
57', Chavez Garcia M. ↓, Camberos H. ↑,
68', Trigos S. ↓, Rico A. ↑,
69', Quispe Cordova P. A. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
71', Beltran F. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
71', Chicharito ↓, Pulido A. ↑,
79', Pussetto I. ↓, Funes Mori R. ↑,
80', Ergas R. ↓, Rivas U. ↑,
82', Castillo J. ↓, Zamora S. ↑,
82', Gonzalez F. ↓, Rey L. ↑,
86', Flores J. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 1, Rey L. ⚽,
90+7', Azuaje A. 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning

UNAM
30.6%

Draw
30.1%

Chivas Guadalajara
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UNAM's form might have worsened.

Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chivas Guadalajara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UNAM, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chivas Guadalajara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.07)	3.13 ↓ (3.44)	2.41 ↓ (3.44)	5.4% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guadalajara: 31.2% – 83%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches UNAM won 2.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Guadalajara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Guadalajara will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in UNAM: Nathan Silva (Ankle Injury) Ruvalcaba J. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Guadalajara: Chavez Garcia M. (Concussion) Guzman V. (Leg Injury) Olivas Salcedo L. A. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in UNAM: Magallan L. (Injury) Martinez G. (Injury) Rodriguez M. (Ankle Injury) Suarez L. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Guadalajara: Gomez M. (Hamstring Injury) Whalley O. (Knee Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches UNAM won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 24:28 (average 1.2:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams UNAM won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:6 (average 1.4:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Chivas Guadalajara?

UNAM has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against UNAM?

Chivas Guadalajara has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:

02.11.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM 0:0

24.02.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM 3:1

03.12.2023 UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara 3:0

30.11.2023 Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM 1:0

11.11.2023 UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara 1:0

Latest results of UNAM

25.02.2025 Tijuana - UNAM 4:2 ✺

22.02.2025 UNAM - Club América 0:2 ✺

16.02.2025 Pachuca - UNAM 2:1 ✺

13.02.2025 UNAM - Cavalry 2:0 ✺

09.02.2025 UNAM - Mazatlan 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara

26.02.2025 Atlético San Luis - Chivas Guadalajara 3:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Chivas Guadalajara - Pachuca 2:1 ✺

15.02.2025 Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara 2:1 ✺

12.02.2025 Chivas Guadalajara - Cibao 3:0 ✺

09.02.2025 Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana 2:1 ✺

Mexican Liga MX Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Santos Laguna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Monterrey	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cruz Azul	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Atlas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Atl. San Luis	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Guadalajara Chivas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Necaxa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Pachuca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Toluca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Club America	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Puebla	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Tigres UANL	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	UNAM Pumas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Queretaro	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Club Tijuana	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Club Leon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Juarez	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mazatlan FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

Which TV channels are streaming of UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Mexico	Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN, Univision