UNAM vs Chivas Guadalajara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara
Result
1:2
05/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Quintero D. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.401.47
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
85% (419/494)87% (362/416)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.401.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.550.98
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2419
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
57
Passes
85% (419/494)87% (362/416)
Long passes
31% (14/45)71% (39/55)
Passes in final third
76% (113/148)65% (57/88)
Crosses
21% (3/14)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.78
Throw-ins
1814
Fouls
75
Tackles
60% (6/10)50% (5/10)
Duels won
3128
Clearances
2520
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.980.55
Goals prevented
-1.02-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 32', Govea O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Vite P. ,
  • 53', Gonzalez B. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Gonzalez A. , Alvarez E. (A),
  • 66', Sandoval S. , Tapias M. ,
  • 70', Macias J. , Lopez S. ,
  • 70', Medina A. , Trigos S. ,
  • 81', Carrasquilla A. , Lopez R. ,
  • 81', Castillo J. , Gomez M. ,
  • 81', Ledezma R. , Aguirre D. ,
  • 82', Alvarez E. , Cowell C. ,
  • 87', Gonzalez F. , Sepulveda G. ,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Aguirre D. , Gonzalez B. (A),
  • 90+8', Angulo A. (Pen),

Chances of winning


UNAM
41.5%
Draw
28.6%
Chivas Guadalajara
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 28.6% 28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 29.5% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.21)
    3.3
    (3.3)
    3.11
    (3.27)
    6.4%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 1.
    • Recent performances by UNAM have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Guadalajara is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • UNAM might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Guadalajara: Aguirre D. (Injury) Alvarado R. (Ankle Injury) Chicharito (Knock) Gutierrez E. (Muscle Injury) Mozo A. (Knee Injury) Sepulveda L. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
    01.03.2025 UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara 0:1
    02.11.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM 0:0
    24.02.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM 3:1
    03.12.2023 UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara 3:0
    30.11.2023 Chivas Guadalajara - UNAM 1:0
    Latest results of UNAM
    27.09.2025 Club América - UNAM 4:1
    23.09.2025 Juárez - UNAM 3:1
    20.09.2025 UNAM - Tigres UANL 1:1
    12.09.2025 Mazatlan - UNAM 1:4
    31.08.2025 UNAM - Atlas 1:0
    Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca ✔ 14102239:162332
    2Tigres UANL ✔ 1595131:141732
    3Cruz Azul ✔ 1595127:171032
    4Club America ✔ 1594231:161531
    5Monterrey ✔ 1593330:24630
    6Guadalajara Chivas1572624:20423
    7Club Tijuana1556426:19721
    8Pachuca1463519:17221
    9Juarez1555524:25-120
    10Atl. San Luis1451820:20016
    11Atlas1544724:33-916
    12UNAM Pumas1536617:22-515
    13Santos Laguna1442817:23-614
    14Queretaro1442815:25-1014
    15Mazatlan FC1527619:27-813
    16Club Leon1534813:27-1413
    17Necaxa1424815:27-1210
    18Puebla15231019:38-199

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)