Result
0:1
01/03/2025 at 22:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Huitron D. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 5 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (256/324) | 83% (421/505) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 65% (41/63) | 67% (98/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/10) | 27% (6/22) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 57% (17/30) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 31 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Trigos S. 🟨,
- 41', Chavez Garcia M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Carrasquilla A. ↓, Venegas S. ↑,
- 57', Chavez Garcia M. ↓, Camberos H. ↑,
- 68', Trigos S. ↓, Rico A. ↑,
- 69', Quispe Cordova P. A. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
- 71', Beltran F. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
- 71', Chicharito ↓, Pulido A. ↑,
- 79', Pussetto I. ↓, Funes Mori R. ↑,
- 80', Ergas R. ↓, Rivas U. ↑,
- 82', Castillo J. ↓, Zamora S. ↑,
- 82', Gonzalez F. ↓, Rey L. ↑,
- 86', Flores J. 🟨,
- 90+2', 0 - 1, Rey L. ⚽,
- 90+7', Azuaje A. 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
UNAM
30.6% | Draw
30.1% | Chivas Guadalajara
39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UNAM's form might have worsened.Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chivas Guadalajara's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+15.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UNAM, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-12.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chivas Guadalajara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.07) |
3.13 ↓
(3.44) |
2.41 ↓
(3.44) |
5.4%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guadalajara: 31.2% – 83%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches UNAM won 2.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Guadalajara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Guadalajara will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in UNAM: Nathan Silva
(Ankle Injury)
Ruvalcaba J.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Chavez Garcia M.
(Concussion)
Guzman V.
(Leg Injury)
Olivas Salcedo L. A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in UNAM: Magallan L.
(Injury)
Martinez G.
(Injury)
Rodriguez M.
(Ankle Injury)
Suarez L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Guadalajara: Gomez M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Whalley O.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches UNAM won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 24:28 (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams UNAM won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:6 (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Chivas Guadalajara?
UNAM has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against UNAM?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
02.11.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
UNAM
0:0
24.02.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
UNAM
3:1
03.12.2023
UNAM
-
Chivas Guadalajara
3:0
30.11.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
UNAM
1:0
11.11.2023
UNAM
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:0
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Pachuca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Atlas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Mazatlan FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
