Result
05/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Quintero D. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
Chances of winning
UNAM
41.7% | Draw
28.7% | Chivas Guadalajara
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↑
(2.21) |
3.3
(3.3) |
3.16 ↓
(3.27) |
6.2%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 1.
- Recent performances by UNAM have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Guadalajara is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- UNAM might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Aguirre D.
(Injury)
Alvarado R.
(Ankle Injury)
Chicharito
(Knock)
Gutierrez E.
(Muscle Injury)
Mozo A.
(Knee Injury)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Chivas Guadalajara?
UNAM has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against UNAM?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
01.03.2025
UNAM
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:1
02.11.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
UNAM
0:0
24.02.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
UNAM
3:1
03.12.2023
UNAM
-
Chivas Guadalajara
3:0
30.11.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
UNAM
1:0
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 35:16 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Club America | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 27 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23:17 | 6 | 25 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | Pachuca | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 19 |
| 8 | Juarez | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Atlas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Club Leon | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:22 | -10 | 12 |
| 13 | Mazatlan FC | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | Atl. San Luis | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 13:21 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 | Puebla | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10:29 | -19 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
