Result
1:2
05/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Quintero D. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (419/494) | 87% (362/416) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (419/494) | 87% (362/416) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (14/45) | 71% (39/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (113/148) | 65% (57/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.02 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Govea O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 48', 1 - 0, Vite P. ⚽,
- 53', Gonzalez B. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Alvarez E. (A),
- 66', Sandoval S. ↓, Tapias M. ↑,
- 70', Macias J. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
- 70', Medina A. ↓, Trigos S. ↑,
- 81', Carrasquilla A. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 81', Castillo J. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
- 81', Ledezma R. ↓, Aguirre D. ↑,
- 82', Alvarez E. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
- 87', Gonzalez F. ↓, Sepulveda G. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 2, Aguirre D. ⚽, Gonzalez B. (A),
- 90+8', Angulo A. (Pen),
Chances of winning
UNAM
41.5% | Draw
28.6% | Chivas Guadalajara
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-2%)
UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(2.21) |
3.3
(3.3) |
3.11 ↓
(3.27) |
6.4%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Guadalajara (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 1.
- Recent performances by UNAM have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Guadalajara is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- UNAM might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Aguirre D.
(Injury)
Alvarado R.
(Ankle Injury)
Chicharito
(Knock)
Gutierrez E.
(Muscle Injury)
Mozo A.
(Knee Injury)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Chivas Guadalajara?
UNAM has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against UNAM?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
01.03.2025
UNAM
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:1
02.11.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
UNAM
0:0
24.02.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
UNAM
3:1
03.12.2023
UNAM
-
Chivas Guadalajara
3:0
30.11.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
UNAM
1:0
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Toluca | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15:7 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Atlas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Club America | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Puebla | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Juarez | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9:23 | -14 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
