Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Penso T. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 2.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (437/522) | 83% (322/388) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 2.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (437/522) | 83% (322/388) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (25/51) | 31% (16/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (105/152) | 68% (71/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 2.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Evander ⚽,
- 35', Denkey K. 🟨,
- 45', Miazga M. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 1, Vazquez B. (Pen),
- 67', Kubo Y. ↓, Anunga T. ↑,
- 68', Sergio Santos ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
- 69', Sabovic B. 🟨,
- 73', Vazquez B. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,
- 74', Sanchez I. ↓, Dubersarsky N. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 1, Valenzuela G. ⚽, Evander (A), Engel L. (A2)
- 81', Uzuni M. ↓, Bukari O. ↑,
- 81', Sabovic B. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
- 83', Orellano L. ↓, Yedlin D. ↑,
- 87', Kolmanic Z. ↓, Rubio D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cincinnati
56.6% | Draw
23.5% | Austin FC
20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati's performance.Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Austin FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cincinnati that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Austin FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cincinnati - Austin FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(2.09) |
4.06 ↑
(3.71) |
4.78 ↑
(3.31) |
4.5%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Austin FC?
Users Predictions:
Cincinnati will win
(23 of 25 users predict this - 92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cincinnati will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Cincinnati is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Austin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cincinnati may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cincinnati is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Cincinnati: Kann A.
(Hip Injury)
- There will not play in Austin: Desler M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Pereira D.
(Hip Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cincinnati won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Austin FC?
Cincinnati has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Austin FC won against Cincinnati?
Austin FC has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Austin FC were as follows:
Latest results of Cincinnati
Latest results of Austin FC
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 50:32 | 18 | 49 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 45 |
| 3 | Minnesota United | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 44 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 41 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 41:30 | 11 | 37 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 33:34 | -1 | 37 |
| 7 | Austin FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 33:40 | -7 | 33 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 49:45 | 4 | 32 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 31 |
| 11 | FC Dallas | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 37:45 | -8 | 28 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 32:41 | -9 | 28 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 36:47 | -11 | 24 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 21 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 28:52 | -24 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 44:25 | 19 | 51 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 39:32 | 7 | 49 |
| 3 | Nashville SC | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 43:29 | 14 | 47 |
| 4 | Orlando City | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 44 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
| 6 | Inter Miami | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 50:38 | 12 | 42 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 44:39 | 5 | 41 |
| 8 | New York City | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 38 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 47:42 | 5 | 36 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:37 | 4 | 36 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 28 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26:33 | -7 | 22 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 30:46 | -16 | 22 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24:47 | -23 | 19 |
| 15 | DC United | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 22:51 | -29 | 19 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
