Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Penso T. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 2.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (437/522) | 83% (322/388) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 2.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (437/522) | 83% (322/388) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (25/51) | 31% (16/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (105/152) | 68% (71/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 2.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Evander ⚽,
- 35', Denkey K. 🟨,
- 45', Miazga M. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 1, Vazquez B. (Pen),
- 67', Kubo Y. ↓, Anunga T. ↑,
- 68', Sergio Santos ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
- 69', Sabovic B. 🟨,
- 73', Vazquez B. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,
- 74', Sanchez I. ↓, Dubersarsky N. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 1, Valenzuela G. ⚽, Evander (A), Engel L. (A2)
- 81', Uzuni M. ↓, Bukari O. ↑,
- 81', Sabovic B. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
- 83', Orellano L. ↓, Yedlin D. ↑,
- 87', Kolmanic Z. ↓, Rubio D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cincinnati
56.6% | Draw
23.5% | Austin FC
20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati's performance.Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Austin FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cincinnati that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Austin FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cincinnati - Austin FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(2.09) |
4.06 ↑
(3.71) |
4.78 ↑
(3.31) |
4.5%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Austin FC?
Users Predictions:
Cincinnati will win
(23 of 25 users predict this - 92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cincinnati will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Cincinnati is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Austin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cincinnati may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cincinnati is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Cincinnati: Kann A.
(Hip Injury)
- There will not play in Austin: Desler M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Pereira D.
(Hip Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cincinnati won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Austin FC?
Cincinnati has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Austin FC won against Cincinnati?
Austin FC has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Austin FC were as follows:
Latest results of Cincinnati
Latest results of Austin FC
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:0 | 14 | 16 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 15 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:1 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | San Diego FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 8 |
| 10 | Houston Dynamo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | St. Louis City | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 4 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:3 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | New York City | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | Charlotte | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | DC United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 7 |
| 9 | New England Revolution | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 6 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 3 |
| 14 | Orlando City | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:23 | -18 | 3 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
