New York City vs Columbus Crew – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS New York City - Columbus Crew
Result
3:2
17/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.081.28
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
83% (461/556)79% (341/430)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.081.28
xG on target (xGOT)
3.672.55
Total shots
188
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
40
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
3221
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
83% (461/556)79% (341/430)
Long passes
57% (47/83)34% (17/50)
Passes in final third
70% (100/142)66% (87/131)
Crosses
39% (7/18)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.78
Throw-ins
2626
Fouls
1012
Tackles
76% (13/17)81% (13/16)
Duels won
4243
Clearances
2729
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
2.553.67
Goals prevented
0.550.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 40', 0 - 1, Gazdag D. (Pen),
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Wolf H. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Moreira S. , Ruvalcaba C. ,
  • 60', 1 - 2, Abou Ali W. , Arfsten M. (A), Habroune T. (A2)
  • 67', Moralez M. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 67', Martinez A. , Ojeda A. ,
  • 71', Picard H. , Chambost D. ,
  • 73', 2 - 2, Wolf H. , Ojeda A. (A), O'Neill A. (A2)
  • 82', O'Neill A. , Shore J. ,
  • 82', Mercau N. , Garfield Reid S. ,
  • 83', Gazdag D. , Sejdic A. ,
  • 83', Nagbe D. , Russell-Rowe J. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, Fernandez J. , Ojeda A. (A),
  • 90+5', Fernandez J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York City
44.9%
Draw
25%
Columbus Crew
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 27.1% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 27.1% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York City's performance.
  • Columbus Crew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Columbus Crew might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Columbus Crew could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • New York City - Columbus Crew Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.53)
    3.79
    (3.51)
    3.11
    (2.69)
    4.6%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for New York City - Columbus Crew?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Columbus will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 59.8%94.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 0.
    • NY City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Columbus is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Columbus has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY City won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:31. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Columbus Crew were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Columbus Crew - New York City 0:0
    31.08.2024 Columbus Crew - New York City 4:2
    17.08.2024 Columbus Crew - New York City 2:1
    14.06.2024 New York City - Columbus Crew 2:3
    08.07.2023 Columbus Crew - New York City 1:1
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Columbus Crew
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2