Result
3:2
17/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (461/556) | 79% (341/430) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.67 | 2.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (461/556) | 79% (341/430) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (47/83) | 34% (17/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (100/142) | 66% (87/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.55 | 3.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 40', 0 - 1, Gazdag D. (Pen),
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Wolf H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Moreira S. ↓, Ruvalcaba C. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 2, Abou Ali W. ⚽, Arfsten M. (A), Habroune T. (A2)
- 67', Moralez M. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 67', Martinez A. ↓, Ojeda A. ↑,
- 71', Picard H. ↓, Chambost D. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 2, Wolf H. ⚽, Ojeda A. (A), O'Neill A. (A2)
- 82', O'Neill A. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
- 82', Mercau N. ↓, Garfield Reid S. ↑,
- 83', Gazdag D. ↓, Sejdic A. ↑,
- 83', Nagbe D. ↓, Russell-Rowe J. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Fernandez J. ⚽, Ojeda A. (A),
- 90+5', Fernandez J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
New York City
44.9% | Draw
25% | Columbus Crew
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York City's performance.Columbus Crew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Columbus Crew might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Columbus Crew could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
New York City - Columbus Crew Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.53) |
3.79 ↑
(3.51) |
3.11 ↑
(2.69) |
4.6%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for New York City - Columbus Crew?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Columbus will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 59.8% – 94.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 0.
- NY City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Columbus is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Columbus has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY City won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:31. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has New York City won against Columbus Crew?
New York City has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Columbus Crew won against New York City?
Columbus Crew has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Columbus Crew were as follows:
22.03.2025
Columbus Crew
-
New York City
0:0
31.08.2024
Columbus Crew
-
New York City
4:2
17.08.2024
Columbus Crew
-
New York City
2:1
14.06.2024
New York City
-
Columbus Crew
2:3
08.07.2023
Columbus Crew
-
New York City
1:1
Latest results of New York City
Latest results of Columbus Crew
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
