Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lukoil Arena (Moscow).

Premier League - Round 26
Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Belarus	Belarus 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	0.62
Ball Possession
67%	33%
Total shots
11	10
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
90% (475/529)	80% (206/259)
Yellow Cards
7	6
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	0.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.01	1.06
Total shots
11	10
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
5	5
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
24	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
12	13
Passes
90% (475/529)	80% (206/259)
Long passes
68% (32/47)	51% (29/57)
Passes in final third
80% (154/193)	63% (29/46)
Crosses
13% (4/32)	45% (5/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.99	0.25
Throw-ins
11	16
Fouls
13	12
Tackles
75% (9/12)	75% (12/16)
Duels won
39	53
Clearances
17	43
Interceptions
12	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.06	1.01
Goals prevented
-0.94	0.01

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Martins Pereira C. 🟨,
16', Fayzullaev A. 🟨,
41', Babic S. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Guarirapa S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Denisov D. ↓, Zobnin R. ↑,
46', Ugalde M. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
51', Pjanic M. 🟨,
60', Gajic M. 🟨,
62', Duarte A. 🟨,
64', Prutsev D. ↓, Reabciuk O. ↑,
65', Bongonda T. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
72', Koita S. ↓, Glebov K. ↑,
72', Fayzullaev A. ↓, Bistrovic K. ↑,
80', Guarirapa S. ↓, Musaev T. ↑,
80', Umyarov N. ↓, Ignatov M. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Barco E. (Pen),
89', Barco E. 🟨,
89', Pjanic M. ↓, Zhemaletdinov R. ↑,
89', Maksimenko A. 🟨,
89', Glebov K. 🟨,
89', 1 - 2, Bistrovic K. ⚽, Zhemaletdinov R. (A),
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', Babic S. 🟨,
90+4', Moises 🟨,

Chances of winning

Spartak Moscow
52.5%

Draw
26.1%

CSKA Moscow
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

27.1%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

29%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Moscow's performance.

CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CSKA Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CSKA Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Spartak Moscow - CSKA Moscow Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.48)	3.78 ↑ (3.63)	4.61 ↑ (2.97)	1.4% (1.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow - CSKA Moscow?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Spartak M (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Spartak Moscow will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 and 4).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Spartak M won 2.
Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
Spartak M could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Spartak M will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Spartak M: Solari P. (Yellow Cards)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Spartak M won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29:24 (average 1.5:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Spartak M won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:12 (average 1.9:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against CSKA Moscow?

Spartak Moscow has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has CSKA Moscow won against Spartak Moscow?

CSKA Moscow has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Moscow - CSKA Moscow were as follows:

02.11.2024 CSKA Moscow - Spartak Moscow 0:2

25.04.2024 CSKA Moscow - Spartak Moscow 0:0

08.10.2023 Spartak Moscow - CSKA Moscow 2:2

21.05.2023 Spartak Moscow - CSKA Moscow 2:1

16.10.2022 CSKA Moscow - Spartak Moscow 2:2

Latest results of Spartak Moscow

19.04.2025 Akron Tolyatti - Spartak Moscow 2:3 ✺

15.04.2025 Spartak Moscow - Ural 3:0 ✺

11.04.2025 Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala 1:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Rostov - Spartak Moscow 0:3 ✺

30.03.2025 Akhmat Grozny - Spartak Moscow 0:0 ✺

Latest results of CSKA Moscow

20.04.2025 CSKA Moscow - Krylya Sovetov 1:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Dynamo Moscow - CSKA Moscow 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Orenburg - CSKA Moscow 0:2 ✺

06.04.2025 CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow 3:1 ✺

29.03.2025 CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala 2:0 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	7	5	1	1	18:4	14	16
2	CSKA Moscow	7	4	3	0	15:6	9	15
3	Baltika	7	4	3	0	13:5	8	15
4	Lokomotiv Moscow	7	4	3	0	18:11	7	15
5	Zenit	7	3	3	1	13:7	6	12
6	Spartak Moscow	7	3	2	2	10:11	-1	11
7	Rubin Kazan	7	3	2	2	10:12	-2	11
8	Krylya Sovetov	7	2	3	2	11:14	-3	9
9	Dynamo Makhachkala	7	2	2	3	4:9	-5	8
10	Dynamo Moscow	7	2	2	3	7:7	0	8
11	Akhmat Grozny	7	2	2	3	8:9	-1	8
12	Orenburg	7	1	4	2	9:10	-1	7
13	Akron Togliatti	7	1	3	3	9:10	-1	6
14	FK Rostov	7	1	2	4	7:12	-5	5
15	Pari NN	7	1	0	6	4:14	-10	3
16	Sochi	7	0	1	6	4:19	-15	1

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL