Result
1:2
26/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 26
- Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Asia | Q Football Asia |
Belarus | Belarus 5 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 10, Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.29 | 0.62 |
Ball Possession |
---|
67% | 33% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
90% (475/529) | 80% (206/259) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
7 | 6 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.29 | 0.62 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.01 | 1.06 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
90% (475/529) | 80% (206/259) |
Long passes |
---|
68% (32/47) | 51% (29/57) |
Passes in final third |
---|
80% (154/193) | 63% (29/46) |
Crosses |
---|
13% (4/32) | 45% (5/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.99 | 0.25 |
Throw-ins |
---|
11 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (9/12) | 75% (12/16) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 43 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.06 | 1.01 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.94 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', Martins Pereira C. 🟨,
- 16', Fayzullaev A. 🟨,
- 41', Babic S. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 1, Guarirapa S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Denisov D. ↓, Zobnin R. ↑,
- 46', Ugalde M. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
- 51', Pjanic M. 🟨,
- 60', Gajic M. 🟨,
- 62', Duarte A. 🟨,
- 64', Prutsev D. ↓, Reabciuk O. ↑,
- 65', Bongonda T. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
- 72', Koita S. ↓, Glebov K. ↑,
- 72', Fayzullaev A. ↓, Bistrovic K. ↑,
- 80', Guarirapa S. ↓, Musaev T. ↑,
- 80', Umyarov N. ↓, Ignatov M. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Barco E. (Pen),
- 89', Barco E. 🟨,
- 89', Pjanic M. ↓, Zhemaletdinov R. ↑,
- 89', Maksimenko A. 🟨,
- 89', Glebov K. 🟨,
- 89', 1 - 2, Bistrovic K. ⚽, Zhemaletdinov R. (A),
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+3', Babic S. 🟨,
- 90+4', Moises 🟨,
Chances of winning
Spartak Moscow 52.5% | Draw 26.1% | CSKA Moscow 21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Moscow's performance.CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CSKA Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Moscow that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CSKA Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Spartak Moscow - CSKA Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.88 ↓ (2.48) |
3.78 ↑ (3.63) |
4.61 ↑ (2.97) |
1.4% (1.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow - CSKA Moscow?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Spartak M (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Spartak Moscow will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 and 4).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Spartak M won 2.
- Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
- Spartak M could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Spartak M will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Spartak M: Solari P.
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Spartak M won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29:24 (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Spartak M won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:12 (average 1.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against CSKA Moscow?
Spartak Moscow has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CSKA Moscow won against Spartak Moscow?
CSKA Moscow has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Moscow - CSKA Moscow were as follows:
02.11.2024
CSKA Moscow
-
Spartak Moscow
0:2
25.04.2024
CSKA Moscow
-
Spartak Moscow
0:0
08.10.2023
Spartak Moscow
-
CSKA Moscow
2:2
21.05.2023
Spartak Moscow
-
CSKA Moscow
2:1
16.10.2022
CSKA Moscow
-
Spartak Moscow
2:2
Latest results of Spartak Moscow
Latest results of CSKA Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Krasnodar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Rubin Kazan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Zenit | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Baltika | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
7 | Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
8 | Krylya Sovetov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Akron Togliatti | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Orenburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
12 | FK Rostov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
15 | Pari NN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
16 | Sochi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL