Result
0:1
30/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 14
- Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (471/533) | 76% (219/289) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (471/533) | 76% (219/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (20/36) | 28% (8/29) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (130/160) | 66% (49/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (11/33) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Alan Empereur 🟨,
- 60', Derik Lacerda (Pen),
- 62', Abdulai S. ↓, Marquinho ↑,
- 62', Robinho ↓, Jefferson Nem ↑,
- 69', Alexandre Jesus ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,
- 69', Risso G. ↓, Jean Victor ↑,
- 70', Calebe Costa ↓, Juan Christian ↑,
- 74', 0 - 1, Carrillo R. ⚽,
- 76', Marcelo Henrique 🟨,
- 79', Derik Lacerda ↓, Gabriel Mineiro ↑,
- 79', Max Alves ↓, Ruan Oliveira ↑,
- 83', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Rafael Milhorim ↑,
- 90+2', Lucas Mineiro ↓, David ↑,
- 90+7', Jeferson 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cuiabá
55.7% | Draw
28.1% | Botafogo SP
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Cuiabá - Botafogo SP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.64) |
3.34 ↓
(3.69) |
5.73 ↑
(5.57) |
7.2%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Botafogo SP?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Cuiabá is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Asad Y.
(Injury)
Jadson
(Yellow Cards)
Pedrinho
(Inactive)
Sander
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Gustavo Bochecha
(Inactive)
Jean Victor
(Injury)
Matheus Barbosa
(Injury)
Matheus Costa
(Injury)
Matheus Regis
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 1.3:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cuiabá won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Botafogo SP?
Cuiabá has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Cuiabá?
Botafogo SP has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Botafogo SP were as follows:
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 23:14 | 9 | 36 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 34 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 34 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 29 |
| 5 | Remo | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 21:16 | 5 | 29 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 28 |
| 7 | Vila Nova FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 17:16 | 1 | 27 |
| 8 | Criciuma | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 22:17 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Avai | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
| 10 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 24 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | CRB | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | America MG | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 18:24 | -6 | 20 |
| 16 | Paysandu PA | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 19 |
| 17 | Ferroviaria | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
| 18 | Amazonas | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
| 19 | Volta Redonda | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Botafogo SP | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12:22 | -10 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
