Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
118:108
03/12/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
91101
Field Goals Made
4640
Field Goals %
50.55%39.6%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
5964
2-Point Field Goals Made
3029
2-Point Field Goals %
50.85%45.31%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3237
3-Point Field Goals Made
1611
3-Point Field Goals %
50%29.73%
Free Throws Attempted
1218
Free Throws Made
1017
Free Throws %
83.3%94.4%
Offensive Rebounds
1014
Defensive Rebounds
4027
Total Rebounds
5041
Assists
3129
Blocks
75
Turnovers
108
Steals
611
Personal Fouls
1513
Technical Fouls
21

Highlights

Chances of winning


Dallas Mavericks
37%
Miami Heat
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 48%

Dallas Mavericks - Miami Heat Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.61
(1.92)

1.53
(1.93)
3.9%
(4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 239.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
What is the prediction for Dallas Mavericks - Miami Heat?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Miami will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 31.8%72.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dallas Mavericks will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 118:123.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 2.
    • In recent matches, Dallas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Miami is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Dallas has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Miami has had a series of home games.
    • Miami could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Dallas: Exum D. (Knee Injury) Gafford D. (Ankle Injury) Irving K. (Knee Injury) Lively D. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Miami: Johnson K. (Illness) Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Dallas: Washington P. J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Miami: Larsson P. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 2102:2101. (average 105.1:105.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1014:1013. (average 101.4:101.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dallas Mavericks - Miami Heat were as follows:
    24.11.2025 Miami Heat - Dallas Mavericks 106:102
    13.02.2025 Dallas Mavericks - Miami Heat 118:113
    24.11.2024 Miami Heat - Dallas Mavericks 123:118
    17.07.2024 Dallas Mavericks - Miami Heat 79:92
    10.04.2024 Miami Heat - Dallas Mavericks 92:111
    Latest results of Dallas Mavericks
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    29.11.2025 Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons 135:138
    26.11.2025 Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks 106:103
    24.11.2025 Miami Heat - Dallas Mavericks 106:102
    23.11.2025 Philadelphia 76ers - Miami Heat 117:127
    NBA Table
    2025/26

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder423575086:45240.833
    2Denver Nuggets4128135026:48070.683
    3San Antonio Spurs4128134823:46120.683
    4Minnesota Timberwolves4127144934:46970.659
    5Los Angeles Lakers3824144426:44250.632
    6Houston Rockets3823154455:42110.605
    7Phoenix Suns4124174698:45940.585
    8Golden State Warriors4223194862:47550.548
    9Portland Trail Blazers4220224866:49740.476
    10Los Angeles Clippers4017234490:45310.425
    11Memphis Grizzlies4017234593:46490.425
    12Dallas Mavericks4216264772:49130.381
    13Utah Jazz4114274893:52230.341
    14Sacramento Kings4111304518:49490.268
    15New Orleans Pelicans4310334942:52540.233


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons3929104586:43320.744
    2Boston Celtics4025154667:44090.625
    3New York Knicks4125164873:47200.610
    4Toronto Raptors4225174783:47070.595
    5Philadelphia 76ers3922174557:45090.564
    6Orlando Magic4123184767:47110.561
    7Cleveland Cavaliers4223195043:49330.548
    8Miami Heat4121204896:48310.512
    9Chicago Bulls4019214699:48370.475
    10Atlanta Hawks4320235070:51110.465
    11Milwaukee Bucks4117244609:47460.415
    12Charlotte Hornets4014264645:46660.350
    13Brooklyn Nets3811274136:43280.289
    14Washington Wizards3910294391:48310.256
    15Indiana Pacers419324534:48510.220

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