Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
118:108
03/12/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
91101
Field Goals Made
4640
Field Goals %
50.55%39.6%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
5964
2-Point Field Goals Made
3029
2-Point Field Goals %
50.85%45.31%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3237
3-Point Field Goals Made
1611
3-Point Field Goals %
50%29.73%
Free Throws Attempted
1218
Free Throws Made
1017
Free Throws %
83.3%94.4%
Offensive Rebounds
1014
Defensive Rebounds
4027
Total Rebounds
5041
Assists
3129
Blocks
75
Turnovers
108
Steals
611
Personal Fouls
1513
Technical Fouls
21

Highlights

Chances of winning


Dallas Mavericks
37%
Miami Heat
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 48%

Dallas Mavericks - Miami Heat Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.61
(1.92)

1.53
(1.93)
3.9%
(4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 239.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
What is the prediction for Dallas Mavericks - Miami Heat?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Miami will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 31.8%72.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Dallas (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Miami (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +4.5, OT - Miami (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Dallas (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Miami (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 118:123.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 2.
    • In recent matches, Dallas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Miami is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Dallas has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Miami has had a series of home games.
    • Miami could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Dallas: Exum D. (Knee Injury) Gafford D. (Ankle Injury) Irving K. (Knee Injury) Lively D. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Miami: Johnson K. (Illness) Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Dallas: Washington P. J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Miami: Larsson P. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 2102:2101. (average 105.1:105.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1014:1013. (average 101.4:101.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dallas Mavericks - Miami Heat were as follows:
    24.11.2025 Miami Heat - Dallas Mavericks 106:102
    13.02.2025 Dallas Mavericks - Miami Heat 118:113
    24.11.2024 Miami Heat - Dallas Mavericks 123:118
    17.07.2024 Dallas Mavericks - Miami Heat 79:92
    10.04.2024 Miami Heat - Dallas Mavericks 92:111
    Latest results of Dallas Mavericks
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    29.11.2025 Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons 135:138
    26.11.2025 Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks 106:103
    24.11.2025 Miami Heat - Dallas Mavericks 106:102
    23.11.2025 Philadelphia 76ers - Miami Heat 117:127
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder5240126249:56090.769
    2San Antonio Spurs5034165844:55880.680
    3Denver Nuggets5233196245:60440.635
    4Houston Rockets4931185661:53950.633
    5Minnesota Timberwolves5232206220:59670.615
    6Los Angeles Lakers4930195699:56930.612
    7Phoenix Suns5131205820:56940.608
    8Golden State Warriors5127245927:58120.529
    9Los Angeles Clippers5023275614:56550.460
    10Portland Trail Blazers5123285878:60240.451
    11Memphis Grizzlies4920295650:57330.408
    12Dallas Mavericks5019315690:58230.380
    13Utah Jazz5116356032:64720.314
    14New Orleans Pelicans5313406067:64110.245
    15Sacramento Kings5212405744:62680.231


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons4937125756:53870.755
    2Boston Celtics5133185913:55390.647
    3New York Knicks5133186028:57190.647
    4Cleveland Cavaliers5231216210:60190.596
    5Philadelphia 76ers5029215842:57640.580
    6Toronto Raptors5230225918:58500.577
    7Miami Heat5227256235:61370.519
    8Orlando Magic4925245634:56780.510
    9Atlanta Hawks5225276106:61500.481
    10Chicago Bulls5124275976:61280.471
    11Charlotte Hornets5123285914:58240.451
    12Milwaukee Bucks4920295495:56870.408
    13Brooklyn Nets4913365248:56300.265
    14Washington Wizards4913365491:60120.265
    15Indiana Pacers5113385658:60520.255

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