Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
118:108
03/12/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
91101
Field Goals Made
4640
Field Goals %
50.55%39.6%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
5964
2-Point Field Goals Made
3029
2-Point Field Goals %
50.85%45.31%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3237
3-Point Field Goals Made
1611
3-Point Field Goals %
50%29.73%
Free Throws Attempted
1218
Free Throws Made
1017
Free Throws %
83.3%94.4%
Offensive Rebounds
1014
Defensive Rebounds
4027
Total Rebounds
5041
Assists
3129
Blocks
75
Turnovers
108
Steals
611
Personal Fouls
1513
Technical Fouls
21

Highlights

Chances of winning


Dallas Mavericks
37%
Miami Heat
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 48%

Dallas Mavericks - Miami Heat Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.61
(1.92)

1.53
(1.93)
3.9%
(4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 239.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
What is the prediction for Dallas Mavericks - Miami Heat?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Miami will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 31.8%72.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dallas Mavericks will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 118:123.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 2.
    • In recent matches, Dallas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Miami is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Dallas has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Miami has had a series of home games.
    • Miami could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Dallas: Exum D. (Knee Injury) Gafford D. (Ankle Injury) Irving K. (Knee Injury) Lively D. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Miami: Johnson K. (Illness) Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Dallas: Washington P. J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Miami: Larsson P. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 2102:2101. (average 105.1:105.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1014:1013. (average 101.4:101.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dallas Mavericks - Miami Heat were as follows:
    24.11.2025 Miami Heat - Dallas Mavericks 106:102
    13.02.2025 Dallas Mavericks - Miami Heat 118:113
    24.11.2024 Miami Heat - Dallas Mavericks 123:118
    17.07.2024 Dallas Mavericks - Miami Heat 79:92
    10.04.2024 Miami Heat - Dallas Mavericks 92:111
    Latest results of Dallas Mavericks
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    29.11.2025 Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons 135:138
    26.11.2025 Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks 106:103
    24.11.2025 Miami Heat - Dallas Mavericks 106:102
    23.11.2025 Philadelphia 76ers - Miami Heat 117:127
    NBA Table
    2025/26

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder262423200:27650.923
    2Denver Nuggets251963140:29060.760
    3San Antonio Spurs251872993:28790.720
    4Los Angeles Lakers251872956:29170.720
    5Houston Rockets231672779:25570.696
    6Minnesota Timberwolves261793115:29770.654
    7Phoenix Suns2614122984:29770.538
    8Golden State Warriors2713143088:30560.481
    9Memphis Grizzlies2612142973:30000.462
    10Utah Jazz2510152975:31530.400
    11Portland Trail Blazers2610163073:31690.385
    12Dallas Mavericks2710173048:31540.370
    13Los Angeles Clippers266202894:30380.231
    14Sacramento Kings266202882:31820.231
    15New Orleans Pelicans275223083:33160.185


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons262153103:29380.808
    2New York Knicks251873025:28060.720
    3Toronto Raptors2716113116:30570.593
    4Boston Celtics2615113020:28820.577
    5Orlando Magic2615113065:29660.577
    6Philadelphia 76ers2514112921:28960.560
    7Cleveland Cavaliers2715123205:31300.556
    8Atlanta Hawks2715123186:31710.556
    9Miami Heat2614123139:30610.538
    10Milwaukee Bucks2711163075:31770.407
    11Chicago Bulls2510152931:30590.400
    12Charlotte Hornets268182986:30790.308
    13Brooklyn Nets257182755:28970.280
    14Indiana Pacers266202864:30750.231
    15Washington Wizards244202707:30410.167

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