Result
118:108
03/12/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NBA
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | ESPN |
 World | NBA Global League Pass |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field Goals Attempted |
|---|
| 91 | 101 |
| Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 46 | 40 |
| Field Goals % |
|---|
| 50.55% | 39.6% |
| 2-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 59 | 64 |
| 2-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 30 | 29 |
| 2-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 50.85% | 45.31% |
| 3-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 32 | 37 |
| 3-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| 3-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 50% | 29.73% |
| Free Throws Attempted |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Free Throws Made |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Free Throws % |
|---|
| 83.3% | 94.4% |
| Offensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Defensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 40 | 27 |
| Total Rebounds |
|---|
| 50 | 41 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 31 | 29 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Personal Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Technical Fouls |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
Chances of winning
Dallas Mavericks
37% | Miami Heat
63% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dallas Mavericks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dallas Mavericks's form might have worsened.Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Miami Heat's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Mavericks than the current prediction. (+15%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dallas Mavericks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-15%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miami Heat, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dallas Mavericks - Miami Heat Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↑
(1.92) |
|
1.53 ↓
(1.93) |
3.9%
(4.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 239.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
What is the prediction for Dallas Mavericks - Miami Heat?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Miami will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 31.8% – 72.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Dallas (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Miami (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +4.5, OT - Miami (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Dallas (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Miami (votes: 5 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 118:123.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 2.
- In recent matches, Dallas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Miami is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Dallas has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Miami has had a series of home games.
- Miami could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Dallas: Exum D.
(Knee Injury)
Gafford D.
(Ankle Injury)
Irving K.
(Knee Injury)
Lively D.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Miami: Johnson K.
(Illness)
Rozier T.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Dallas: Washington P. J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Miami: Larsson P.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 2102:2101. (average 105.1:105.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1014:1013. (average 101.4:101.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Dallas Mavericks won against Miami Heat?
Dallas Mavericks has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Miami Heat won against Dallas Mavericks?
Miami Heat has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dallas Mavericks - Miami Heat were as follows:
24.11.2025
Miami Heat
-
Dallas Mavericks
106:102
13.02.2025
Dallas Mavericks
-
Miami Heat
118:113
24.11.2024
Miami Heat
-
Dallas Mavericks
123:118
17.07.2024
Dallas Mavericks
-
Miami Heat
79:92
10.04.2024
Miami Heat
-
Dallas Mavericks
92:111
Latest results of Dallas Mavericks
Latest results of Miami Heat
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Oklahoma City Thunder (1) | Phoenix Suns (8) | 4 : 0 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Lakers (4) | Houston Rockets (5) | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | San Antonio Spurs (2) | Portland Trail Blazers (7) | 4 : 1 |
| 4 | Denver Nuggets (3) | Minnesota Timberwolves (6) | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Detroit Pistons (1) | Orlando Magic (8) | 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Cleveland Cavaliers (4) | Toronto Raptors (5) | 2 : 2 |
| 7 | Boston Celtics (2) | Philadelphia 76ers (7) | 3 : 2 |
| 8 | New York Knicks (3) | Atlanta Hawks (6) | 3 : 2 |
