Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division Sportivo Ameliano - Deportivo Recoleta
Result
1:4
29/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 14
  • Referee: Lopez D. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.20
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
74% (229/309)73% (211/290)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.20
xG on target (xGOT)
0.202.39
Total shots
86
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
40
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
2114
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
74% (229/309)73% (211/290)
Long passes
46% (29/63)34% (20/59)
Passes in final third
57% (63/111)49% (32/65)
Crosses
21% (6/28)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.510.46
Throw-ins
2919
Fouls
1512
Tackles
63% (12/19)82% (9/11)
Duels won
5956
Clearances
1042
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
2.390.20
Goals prevented
-1.61-0.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 10', Servian A. 🟨,
  • 12', 0 - 1, Gonzalez L. , Silva A. (A),
  • 23', 0 - 2, Espinola J. , Cardozo L. (A),
  • 39', Salazar V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Servian A. , Martinich M. ,
  • 46', Aranda S. , Samudio A. ,
  • 56', 0 - 3, Silva A. , Vargas S. (A),
  • 58', Leon M. , Vera F. ,
  • 58', Zaracho E. , Moreira E. ,
  • 63', Ferreira B. , Lopez M. ,
  • 63', Espinola J. , Baez W. ,
  • 68', Escobar R. , Sarquis E. ,
  • 69', Toledo O. , Ferreira N. ,
  • 70', Silva A. , Schupp M. ,
  • 77', Romero L. , Pereira M. ,
  • 79', 1 - 3, Sarquis E. , Baez F. (A),
  • 90+5', Sanguina J. (Pen),
  • 90+6', Valdez D. 🟨,
  • 90+8', 1 - 4, Schupp M. , Gonzalez L. (A),

Chances of winning


Sportivo Ameliano
22.2%
Draw
30.5%
Deportivo Recoleta
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 28.8% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 28.9% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sportivo Ameliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Ameliano's form might have worsened.
  • Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Recoleta's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (+16.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Ameliano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Recoleta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sportivo Ameliano - Deportivo Recoleta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.75
    (2.37)
    4.52
    (3.2)
    2.69
    (2.86)
    -25.9%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano - Deportivo Recoleta?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Recoleta will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 6).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Sportivo Ameliano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Sportivo Ameliano has had a series of away games.
    • Sportivo Ameliano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Sportivo Ameliano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Ameliano - Deportivo Recoleta were as follows:
    21.07.2025 Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Ameliano 3:1
    10.05.2025 Sportivo Ameliano - Deportivo Recoleta 1:2
    28.02.2025 Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Ameliano 1:1
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Porteno1594226:161031
    2Guarani1492332:131929
    3Nacional Asuncion1474319:12725
    42 de Mayo1574420:17325
    5Sportivo Trinidense1464420:18222
    6Recoleta1563624:22221
    7Olimpia Asuncion1554621:25-419
    8General Caballero JLM1453614:20-618
    9Libertad Asuncion1445516:14217
    10Sp. Luqueno1552818:25-717
    11Ameliano15321015:29-1411
    12Atl. Tembetary14131014:28-146

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