Result
1:4
29/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Lopez D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.32 | 1.20 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
74% (229/309) | 73% (211/290) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.32 | 1.20 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.20 | 2.39 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 0 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
74% (229/309) | 73% (211/290) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (29/63) | 34% (20/59) |
Passes in final third |
---|
57% (63/111) | 49% (32/65) |
Crosses |
---|
21% (6/28) | 33% (3/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.51 | 0.46 |
Throw-ins |
---|
29 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
63% (12/19) | 82% (9/11) |
Duels won |
---|
59 | 56 |
Clearances |
---|
10 | 42 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.39 | 0.20 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.61 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 10', Servian A. 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 1, Gonzalez L. ⚽, Silva A. (A),
- 23', 0 - 2, Espinola J. ⚽, Cardozo L. (A),
- 39', Salazar V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Servian A. ↓, Martinich M. ↑,
- 46', Aranda S. ↓, Samudio A. ↑,
- 56', 0 - 3, Silva A. ⚽, Vargas S. (A),
- 58', Leon M. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
- 58', Zaracho E. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
- 63', Ferreira B. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
- 63', Espinola J. ↓, Baez W. ↑,
- 68', Escobar R. ↓, Sarquis E. ↑,
- 69', Toledo O. ↓, Ferreira N. ↑,
- 70', Silva A. ↓, Schupp M. ↑,
- 77', Romero L. ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 3, Sarquis E. ⚽, Baez F. (A),
- 90+5', Sanguina J. (Pen),
- 90+6', Valdez D. 🟨,
- 90+8', 1 - 4, Schupp M. ⚽, Gonzalez L. (A),
Chances of winning
Sportivo Ameliano 22.2% | Draw 30.5% | Deportivo Recoleta 47.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Ameliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Ameliano's form might have worsened.Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Recoleta's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (+16.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Ameliano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-14.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Recoleta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sportivo Ameliano - Deportivo Recoleta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.75 ↑ (2.37) |
4.52 ↑ (3.2) |
2.69 ↓ (2.86) |
-25.9% (8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano - Deportivo Recoleta?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Recoleta will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 6).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Sportivo Ameliano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Sportivo Ameliano has had a series of away games.
- Sportivo Ameliano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Sportivo Ameliano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Ameliano - Deportivo Recoleta were as follows:
21.07.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Sportivo Ameliano
3:1
10.05.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Deportivo Recoleta
1:2
28.02.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26:16 | 10 | 31 |
2 | Guarani | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 32:13 | 19 | 29 |
3 | Nacional Asuncion | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 25 |
4 | 2 de Mayo | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 22 |
6 | Recoleta | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:22 | 2 | 21 |
7 | Olimpia Asuncion | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21:25 | -4 | 19 |
8 | General Caballero JLM | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Libertad Asuncion | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
10 | Sp. Luqueno | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Ameliano | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15:29 | -14 | 11 |
12 | Atl. Tembetary | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )