Result
1:4
29/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Lopez D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (229/309) | 73% (211/290) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 2.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (229/309) | 73% (211/290) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (29/63) | 34% (20/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (63/111) | 49% (32/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/28) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.61 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 10', Servian A. 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 1, Gonzalez L. ⚽, Silva A. (A),
- 23', 0 - 2, Espinola J. ⚽, Cardozo L. (A),
- 39', Salazar V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Servian A. ↓, Martinich M. ↑,
- 46', Aranda S. ↓, Samudio A. ↑,
- 56', 0 - 3, Silva A. ⚽, Vargas S. (A),
- 58', Leon M. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
- 58', Zaracho E. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
- 63', Ferreira B. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
- 63', Espinola J. ↓, Baez W. ↑,
- 68', Escobar R. ↓, Sarquis E. ↑,
- 69', Toledo O. ↓, Ferreira N. ↑,
- 70', Silva A. ↓, Schupp M. ↑,
- 77', Romero L. ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 3, Sarquis E. ⚽, Baez F. (A),
- 90+5', Sanguina J. (Pen),
- 90+6', Valdez D. 🟨,
- 90+8', 1 - 4, Schupp M. ⚽, Gonzalez L. (A),
Chances of winning
Sportivo Ameliano
22.2% | Draw
30.5% | Deportivo Recoleta
47.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Ameliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Ameliano's form might have worsened.Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Recoleta's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (+16.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Ameliano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-14.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Recoleta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sportivo Ameliano - Deportivo Recoleta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.75 ↑
(2.37) |
4.52 ↑
(3.2) |
2.69 ↓
(2.86) |
-25.9%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano - Deportivo Recoleta?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Recoleta will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 6).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Sportivo Ameliano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Sportivo Ameliano has had a series of away games.
- Sportivo Ameliano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Sportivo Ameliano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Ameliano - Deportivo Recoleta were as follows:
21.07.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Sportivo Ameliano
3:1
10.05.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Deportivo Recoleta
1:2
28.02.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 39 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 27:17 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 22 |
| 8 | General Caballero JLM | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 9 | Olimpia Asuncion | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23:30 | -7 | 20 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 15 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 18:32 | -14 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
