Derby County vs Queens Park Rangers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Pride Park (Derby).

Championship - Round 12
Referee: Bell E. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.87	0.54
Ball Possession
39%	61%
Total shots
12	6
Shots on target
4	1
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
74% (217/294)	79% (388/489)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87	0.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.46	0.14
Total shots
12	6
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
7	2
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
17	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
10	13
Passes
74% (217/294)	79% (388/489)
Long passes
36% (18/50)	43% (23/53)
Passes in final third
60% (58/96)	69% (111/162)
Crosses
14% (3/22)	12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.83	0.87
Throw-ins
38	29
Fouls
13	10
Tackles
80% (12/15)	56% (15/27)
Duels won
49	60
Clearances
29	38
Interceptions
13	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.14	1.46
Goals prevented
0.14	0.46

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Morris C. ⚽, Langas S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Saito K. ↓, Chair I. ↑,
46', Vale H. ↓, Dembele K. ↑,
68', Madsen N. ↓, Smyth P. ↑,
68', Kone R. ↓, Frey M. ↑,
69', Varane J. 🟨,
71', Cook S. 🟨,
72', Agyemang P. ↓, Brewster R. ↑,
72', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
75', Norrington-Davies R. ↓, Field S. ↑,
75', Ozoh D. 🟨,
88', Johnston M. ↓, Nyambe R. ↑,
90+2', Morris C. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
90+2', Morris C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Derby County
37%

Draw
28.1%

Queens Park Rangers
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

25.8%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.6%

30.6%

Derby County - Queens Park Rangers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.21)	3.4 ↓ (3.65)	2.76 ↓ (2.98)	5.2% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Derby County - Queens Park Rangers?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). QPR will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 15.1% – 58.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 4 - 66.7%). QPR (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - QPR (1.80) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.25 - QPR (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - QPR (1.48) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 4 - 33.3%). QPR (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Derby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Derby: Adams E. (Yellow Cards) Beck O. (Lacking Match Fitness) Nelson C. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in QPR: Larkeche Z. (Knee Injury) Walsh J. (Wrist Injury)
There are questionable in Derby: Thompson L. (Knee Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Derby won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.1:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Queens Park Rangers?

Derby County has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Queens Park Rangers won against Derby County?

Queens Park Rangers has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Queens Park Rangers were as follows:

14.02.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Derby County 4:0

05.10.2024 Derby County - Queens Park Rangers 2:0

Latest results of Derby County

21.10.2025 Derby County - Norwich City 1:0 ✺

18.10.2025 Oxford United - Derby County 1:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Derby County - Southampton 1:1 ✺

30.09.2025 Derby County - Charlton Athletic 1:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Wrexham - Derby County 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Queens Park Rangers

22.10.2025 Swansea City - Queens Park Rangers 0:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Millwall 1:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Bristol City - Queens Park Rangers 1:2 ✺

01.10.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Oxford United 0:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Sheffield Wednesday - Queens Park Rangers 1:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	28	17	7	4	61:31	30	58
2	Middlesbrough	28	15	7	6	42:29	13	52
3	Ipswich	27	14	8	5	47:24	23	50
4	Hull	27	14	5	8	45:39	6	47
5	Millwall	28	13	7	8	32:35	-3	46
6	Preston	28	11	10	7	36:29	7	43
7	Watford	27	11	9	7	38:32	6	42
8	Stoke	28	12	5	11	33:25	8	41
9	Wrexham	28	10	11	7	40:35	5	41
10	Derby	28	11	8	9	38:36	2	41
11	Bristol City	28	11	7	10	38:31	7	40
12	QPR	28	11	7	10	38:39	-1	40
13	Birmingham	28	10	8	10	38:37	1	38
14	Leicester	28	10	8	10	39:41	-2	38
15	Southampton	28	9	9	10	40:40	0	36
16	Swansea	28	10	6	12	31:35	-4	36
17	Sheffield Utd	27	10	2	15	36:40	-4	32
18	Charlton	27	8	8	11	27:34	-7	32
19	West Brom	28	9	4	15	31:43	-12	31
20	Norwich	28	8	6	14	35:40	-5	30
21	Portsmouth	26	7	8	11	23:36	-13	29
22	Blackburn	27	7	7	13	25:36	-11	28
23	Oxford Utd	27	5	9	13	25:35	-10	24
24	Sheffield Wed	27	1	8	18	18:54	-36	-7

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      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One