Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 12
- Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (217/294) | 79% (388/489) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (217/294) | 79% (388/489) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (18/50) | 43% (23/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (58/96) | 69% (111/162) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 38 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 56% (15/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Morris C. ⚽, Langas S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Saito K. ↓, Chair I. ↑,
- 46', Vale H. ↓, Dembele K. ↑,
- 68', Madsen N. ↓, Smyth P. ↑,
- 68', Kone R. ↓, Frey M. ↑,
- 69', Varane J. 🟨,
- 71', Cook S. 🟨,
- 72', Agyemang P. ↓, Brewster R. ↑,
- 72', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
- 75', Norrington-Davies R. ↓, Field S. ↑,
- 75', Ozoh D. 🟨,
- 88', Johnston M. ↓, Nyambe R. ↑,
- 90+2', Morris C. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
- 90+2', Morris C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Derby County
37% | Draw
28.1% | Queens Park Rangers
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County's form might have worsened.Queens Park Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Derby County - Queens Park Rangers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↑
(2.21) |
3.4 ↓
(3.65) |
2.76 ↓
(2.98) |
5.2%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Derby County - Queens Park Rangers?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). QPR will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 15.1% – 58.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 4 - 66.7%). QPR (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - QPR (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Derby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Derby: Adams E.
(Yellow Cards)
Beck O.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in QPR: Larkeche Z.
(Knee Injury)
Walsh J.
(Wrist Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Thompson L.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Derby won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Queens Park Rangers?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Queens Park Rangers won against Derby County?
Queens Park Rangers has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Queens Park Rangers were as follows:
14.02.2025
Queens Park Rangers
-
Derby County
4:0
05.10.2024
Derby County
-
Queens Park Rangers
2:0
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 34:9 | 25 | 28 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Millwall | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 23 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Stoke | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Charlton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Preston | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Hull | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Leicester | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 17 |
| 11 | West Brom | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 16 |
| 13 | Swansea | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 | Watford | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Derby | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 19 | Oxford Utd | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 12 |
| 20 | Southampton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 12 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 10 |
| 22 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 9:20 | -11 | 9 |
| 23 | Norwich | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:18 | -6 | 8 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
