Result
1:3
01/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 13
- Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 1.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (383/465) | 70% (203/289) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 1.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 2.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (383/465) | 70% (203/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (18/50) | 27% (19/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (96/143) | 59% (57/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (13/35) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 36% (5/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.43 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | 0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Morris C. ⚽, Ward J. (A),
- 35', Forsyth C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', 0 - 2, Morris C. ⚽,
- 60', Brooks A. ↓, One R. ↑,
- 60', McGuinness M. ↓, Matos A. ↑,
- 62', Soumare D. 🟨,
- 63', 0 - 3, Morris C. (Pen),
- 68', Soumare D. ↓, Davies T. ↑,
- 68', Mee B. 🟨,
- 73', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Brewster R. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 3, O'Hare C. ⚽,
- 79', Ogbene C. ↓, Ings D. ↑,
- 79', McCallum S. ↓, Burrows H. ↑,
- 80', Agyemang P. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
- 80', Clark B. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
- 87', Morris C. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sheffield United
52.1% | Draw
26.9% | Derby County
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sheffield United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sheffield United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Sheffield United - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.8) |
3.54 ↓
(3.63) |
4.55 ↑
(4.38) |
5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sheffield United - Derby County?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Sheff Utd (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Sheff Utd (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Sheff Utd (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sheffield United will win
(16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sheffield United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Sheff Utd (votes: 8 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sheff Utd won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Sheff Utd may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Derby has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Sheff Utd is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Sheff Utd: Arblaster O.
(Knee Injury)
Chong T.
(Knee Injury)
Davies T.
(Calf Injury)
Godfrey B.
(Personal Reasons)
Hamer G.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Derby: Beck O.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
Travis L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sheff Utd won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sheff Utd won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sheffield United won against Derby County?
Sheffield United has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Sheffield United?
Derby County has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sheffield United - Derby County were as follows:
01.02.2025
Derby County
-
Sheffield United
0:1
21.09.2024
Sheffield United
-
Derby County
1:0
29.07.2023
Derby County
-
Sheffield United
1:3
Latest results of Sheffield United
Latest results of Derby County
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 81:40 | 41 | 80 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 71 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 67:39 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | Millwall | 39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 69 |
| 5 | Hull | 39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 62:57 | 5 | 66 |
| 6 | Southampton | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 63:48 | 15 | 63 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 60:51 | 9 | 63 |
| 8 | Derby | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 9 | Watford | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 50:46 | 4 | 56 |
| 10 | Norwich | 39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 52:46 | 6 | 54 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 | QPR | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 55:61 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 | Preston | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 45:49 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 | Swansea | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 44:49 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 | Stoke | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 46:43 | 3 | 51 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 54:54 | 0 | 50 |
| 18 | Charlton | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 36:46 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 | West Brom | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 40:54 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 37:54 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 | Leicester | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 36:51 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 24:79 | -55 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
