Sheffield United vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
01/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 13
  • Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.241.79
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
82% (383/465)70% (203/289)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.241.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.832.43
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
1310
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
4325
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
82% (383/465)70% (203/289)
Long passes
36% (18/50)27% (19/70)
Passes in final third
67% (96/143)59% (57/96)
Crosses
37% (13/35)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.940.87
Throw-ins
2619
Fouls
1011
Tackles
53% (10/19)36% (5/14)
Duels won
6748
Clearances
2551
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
2.431.83
Goals prevented
-0.570.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Morris C. , Ward J. (A),
  • 35', Forsyth C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', 0 - 2, Morris C. ,
  • 60', Brooks A. , One R. ,
  • 60', McGuinness M. , Matos A. ,
  • 62', Soumare D. 🟨,
  • 63', 0 - 3, Morris C. (Pen),
  • 68', Soumare D. , Davies T. ,
  • 68', Mee B. 🟨,
  • 73', Brereton Diaz B. , Brewster R. ,
  • 73', 1 - 3, O'Hare C. ,
  • 79', Ogbene C. , Ings D. ,
  • 79', McCallum S. , Burrows H. ,
  • 80', Agyemang P. , Jackson K. ,
  • 80', Clark B. , Adams E. ,
  • 87', Morris C. , Salvesen L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sheffield United
52.1%
Draw
26.9%
Derby County
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.4% 26% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3% 29.4% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sheffield United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sheffield United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Sheffield United - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.8)
    3.54
    (3.63)
    4.55
    (4.38)
    5%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Sheffield United - Derby County?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Sheff Utd (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Sheff Utd (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Sheff Utd (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Sheffield United will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.81%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sheffield United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Sheff Utd (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sheff Utd won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Sheff Utd may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Derby has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Sheff Utd is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Sheff Utd: Arblaster O. (Knee Injury) Chong T. (Knee Injury) Davies T. (Calf Injury) Godfrey B. (Personal Reasons) Hamer G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Derby: Beck O. (Lacking Match Fitness) Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Travis L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sheff Utd won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sheff Utd won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sheffield United - Derby County were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Derby County - Sheffield United 0:1
    21.09.2024 Sheffield United - Derby County 1:0
    29.07.2023 Derby County - Sheffield United 1:3
    Latest results of Sheffield United
    Latest results of Derby County
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry422510784:424285
    2Ipswich402112771:403175
    3Millwall4221101156:47973
    4Middlesbrough4220121062:422072
    5Southampton4119121070:502069
    6Hull422081464:60468
    7Wrexham4217131263:60364
    8Derby421891561:53863
    9Norwich421771855:50558
    10Bristol City4216101652:51158
    11QPR4216101658:63-558
    12Watford4214151352:51157
    13Preston4214151350:53-357
    14Swansea421691750:54-457
    15Birmingham4215111651:52-156
    16Stoke4215101749:46355
    17Sheffield Utd421662059:59054
    18Charlton4212131739:51-1249
    19Blackburn4212121838:50-1248
    20West Brom4211131842:56-1446
    21Portsmouth4111121841:57-1645
    22Oxford Utd4210141841:54-1344
    23Leicester4211141754:64-1041
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 421113025:82-57-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One