Result
1:2
02/05/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 46
- Referee: Nield T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.67 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (272/372) | 82% (305/374) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 2.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (272/372) | 82% (305/374) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (24/76) | 36% (18/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (92/148) | 77% (124/161) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.59 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.29 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Szmodics S. ⚽,
- 18', Langas S. 🟨,
- 26', Clarke M. 🟨,
- 45+2', Burrows H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 54', Tanganga J. 🟨,
- 60', Banel J. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Cannon T. ⚽, Bamford P. (A),
- 64', Cannon T. ↓, Chong T. ↑,
- 64', Arblaster O. ↓, Rothwell J. ↑,
- 64', Seriki F. ↓, Hoever K. ↑,
- 68', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Johnston M. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 2, Peck S. ⚽, Hamer G. (A),
- 72', Hamer G. ↓, Ings D. ↑,
- 74', Forsyth C. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,
- 75', Ozoh D. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
- 85', O'Hare C. ↓, Riedewald J. ↑,
- 89', Clark B. 🟨,
- 90+7', Chong T. 🟨,
- 90+7', Szmodics S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Derby County
52.6% | Draw
25% | Sheffield United
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derby County's performance.Sheffield United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sheffield United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derby County that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sheffield United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Derby County - Sheffield United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(2.21) |
3.78 ↑
(3.55) |
4.18 ↑
(3.01) |
5.9%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Derby County - Sheffield United?
Users Predictions:
Derby County will win
(47 of 49 users predict this - 95.92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.38% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Derby County will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 8 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Derby is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Derby: Agyemang P.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Brewster R.
(Injury)
Clark B.
(Injury)
Elder C.
(Toe Injury)
Murkin D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Sheff Utd: Cooper M.
(Knee Injury)
McCallum S.
(Ankle Injury)
Phillips K.
(Muscle Injury)
Shackleton J.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Sheff Utd: Campbell T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Derby won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Sheffield United?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sheffield United won against Derby County?
Sheffield United has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Sheffield United were as follows:
01.11.2025
Sheffield United
-
Derby County
1:3
01.02.2025
Derby County
-
Sheffield United
0:1
21.09.2024
Sheffield United
-
Derby County
1:0
29.07.2023
Derby County
-
Sheffield United
1:3
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Sheffield United
English League Championship Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
