Result
28:10
01/05/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NRL - Round 9
- Referee: Klein A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 67 | 100 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 221 | 150 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 2056 | 1324 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 10)
- 12', Wishart T. (Try),
- 13', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
- 27', Faalogo S. (Try),
- 28', Meaney N. (Missed Conversion),
- 39', Cobbo S. (Try),
- 40', Isaako J. (Missed Conversion),
- 2nd Half (24 - 0)
- 59', Isaako J. (Try),
- 60', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 65', Bostock J. (Try),
- 66', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 72', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 74', Bostock J. (Try),
- 75', Isaako J. (Missed Conversion),
- 79', Finefeuiaki K. (Try),
- 79', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Dolphins
54.4% | Draw
4.4% | Melbourne Storm
41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dolphins's performance.Melbourne Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Storm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dolphins than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dolphins that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Storm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dolphins - Melbourne Storm Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(2.19) |
20.66 ↓
(23.67) |
2.27 ↑
(1.73) |
6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 52.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
What is the prediction for Dolphins - Melbourne Storm?
Users Predictions:
Dolphins will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 28:25.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16).
- Dolphins is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Melbourne is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Dolphins could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dolphins won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 88:124. (average 22:31).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dolphins won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 82:76. (average 27.3:25.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Dolphins won against Melbourne Storm?
Dolphins has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Storm won against Dolphins?
Melbourne Storm has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dolphins - Melbourne Storm were as follows:
18.04.2025
Dolphins
-
Melbourne Storm
42:22
24.08.2024
Melbourne Storm
-
Dolphins
48:6
21.06.2024
Dolphins
-
Melbourne Storm
24:30
20.05.2023
Dolphins
-
Melbourne Storm
16:24
Latest results of Dolphins
Latest results of Melbourne Storm
Australian NRL Table
Main | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penrith Panthers | 9 | 8 | 1 | 291:122 | 16 |
| 2 | New Zealand Warriors | 9 | 7 | 2 | 278:170 | 14 |
| 3 | Sydney Roosters | 8 | 6 | 2 | 253:202 | 14 |
| 4 | South Sydney Rabbitohs | 8 | 5 | 3 | 260:192 | 12 |
| 5 | Wests Tigers | 8 | 5 | 3 | 219:179 | 12 |
| 6 | NQ Cowboys | 9 | 6 | 3 | 239:227 | 12 |
| 7 | Manly Sea Eagles | 8 | 4 | 4 | 227:176 | 10 |
| 8 | Cronulla Sharks | 8 | 4 | 4 | 244:208 | 10 |
| 9 | Dolphins | 9 | 4 | 5 | 228:207 | 10 |
| 10 | Brisbane Broncos | 9 | 5 | 4 | 210:209 | 10 |
| 11 | Newcastle Knights | 9 | 5 | 4 | 232:262 | 10 |
| 12 | Canberra Raiders | 9 | 4 | 5 | 183:249 | 8 |
| 13 | Canterbury Bulldogs | 9 | 3 | 6 | 157:238 | 8 |
| 14 | Gold Coast Titans | 8 | 2 | 6 | 158:204 | 6 |
| 15 | Parramatta Eels | 9 | 3 | 6 | 194:315 | 6 |
| 16 | Melbourne Storm | 9 | 2 | 7 | 198:260 | 4 |
| 17 | St. George Illawarra Dragons | 8 | 0 | 8 | 114:265 | 0 |
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