Empoli vs Monza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Empoli - Monza
Result
1:1
01/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 6
  • Referee: Mucera G. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDCTV
usaUsaDCTV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.70
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
75% (276/368)75% (283/378)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.70
xG on target (xGOT)
1.451.26
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
310
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
12
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2817
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
75% (276/368)75% (283/378)
Long passes
30% (16/53)33% (20/61)
Passes in final third
59% (62/105)61% (62/101)
Crosses
24% (5/21)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.190.48
Throw-ins
2722
Fouls
1215
Tackles
85% (11/13)47% (7/15)
Duels won
5956
Clearances
1847
Interceptions
311
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.261.45
Goals prevented
0.260.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Colombo L. 🟨,
  • 28', Caprari G. , Balde K. ,
  • 28', Ciurria P. , Azzi P. ,
  • 33', Pagliuca G. 🟥,
  • 33', Bianco P. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Colombo L. , Obiang P. ,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Carboni A. , Balde K. (A),
  • 57', Belardinelli L. 🟨,
  • 62', Elia S. 🟨,
  • 65', Saporiti E. , Yepes G. ,
  • 65', Moruzzi B. , Ilie R. ,
  • 66', Belardinelli L. , Popov B. ,
  • 66', Obiang P. 🟨,
  • 70', Galazzi N. , Colpani A. ,
  • 77', Shpendi S. , Pellegri P. ,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Guarino G. , Ilie R. (A),
  • 80', Elia S. , Carboni F. ,
  • 87', Carboni A. , Lucchesi L. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ymfvp7pu

Chances of winning


Empoli
27.6%
Draw
38.5%
Monza
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 29.4% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 29.4% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Empoli's form might have worsened.
  • Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Empoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Empoli - Monza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.92
    (2.67)
    2.67
    (3.15)
    3.23
    (2.57)
    -6.1%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Empoli - Monza?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 68.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 48.7%87.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Empoli (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 2.
    • Empoli has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Monza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Empoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Empoli: Degli Innocenti D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Konate I. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Monza: Antov V. (Knee Injury) Forson O. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Empoli: Nasti M. (Inactive) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Monza were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Monza - Empoli 1:3
    17.08.2024 Empoli - Monza 0:0
    21.01.2024 Empoli - Monza 3:0
    26.08.2023 Monza - Empoli 2:0
    04.03.2023 Monza - Empoli 2:1
    Latest results of Empoli
    28.09.2025 Empoli - Carrarese 2:2
    25.09.2025 Genoa - Empoli 3:1
    21.09.2025 Pescara - Empoli 4:0
    14.09.2025 Empoli - Spezia 1:1
    29.08.2025 Reggiana - Empoli 3:1
    Latest results of Monza
    27.09.2025 Monza - Padova 0:1
    20.09.2025 Monza - Sampdoria 1:0
    12.09.2025 Avellino - Monza 2:1
    31.08.2025 Bari - Monza 1:1
    23.08.2025 Monza - Mantova 1:0
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Frosinone642013:4914
    2Modena642011:3814
    3Palermo63307:2512
    4Avellino632111:9211
    5Cesena632110:8211
    6Juve Stabia62408:5310
    7Sudtirol623110:829
    8Venezia62317:529
    9Monza62225:508
    10Padova62226:7-18
    11Carrarese61418:717
    12Catanzaro60606:606
    13Reggiana61328:9-16
    14Entella61326:8-26
    15Empoli61328:12-46
    16Pescara612310:1005
    17Bari60335:11-63
    18Spezia60333:9-63
    19Mantova61055:13-83
    20Sampdoria60243:9-62

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation