Result
1:1
01/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 6
- Referee: Mucera G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (276/368) | 75% (283/378) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (276/368) | 75% (283/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (16/53) | 33% (20/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (62/105) | 61% (62/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Colombo L. 🟨,
- 28', Caprari G. ↓, Balde K. ↑,
- 28', Ciurria P. ↓, Azzi P. ↑,
- 33', Pagliuca G. 🟥,
- 33', Bianco P. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Colombo L. ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 1, Carboni A. ⚽, Balde K. (A),
- 57', Belardinelli L. 🟨,
- 62', Elia S. 🟨,
- 65', Saporiti E. ↓, Yepes G. ↑,
- 65', Moruzzi B. ↓, Ilie R. ↑,
- 66', Belardinelli L. ↓, Popov B. ↑,
- 66', Obiang P. 🟨,
- 70', Galazzi N. ↓, Colpani A. ↑,
- 77', Shpendi S. ↓, Pellegri P. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Guarino G. ⚽, Ilie R. (A),
- 80', Elia S. ↓, Carboni F. ↑,
- 87', Carboni A. ↓, Lucchesi L. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ymfvp7pu
Chances of winning
Empoli
27.6% | Draw
38.5% | Monza
34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Empoli's form might have worsened.Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Empoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+2%)
Empoli - Monza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.92 ↑
(2.67) |
2.67 ↓
(3.15) |
3.23 ↑
(2.57) |
-6.1%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Empoli - Monza?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 68.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 48.7% – 87.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Empoli (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH 0 - Monza (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Empoli (3.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Empoli (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Empoli (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Empoli (votes: 6 - 40%). Monza (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 2.
- Empoli has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Monza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Empoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Empoli: Degli Innocenti D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Konate I.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Monza: Antov V.
(Knee Injury)
Forson O.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Empoli: Nasti M.
(Inactive)
Pellegri P.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Monza?
Empoli has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Empoli?
Monza has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Monza were as follows:
18.05.2025
Monza
-
Empoli
1:3
17.08.2024
Empoli
-
Monza
0:0
21.01.2024
Empoli
-
Monza
3:0
26.08.2023
Monza
-
Empoli
2:0
04.03.2023
Monza
-
Empoli
2:1
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 64:27 | 37 | 68 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 62:32 | 30 | 65 |
| 3 | Monza | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 50:26 | 24 | 65 |
| 4 | Palermo | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 52:27 | 25 | 61 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 49:38 | 11 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:25 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 38:38 | 0 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 41:47 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 | Avellino | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 37:51 | -14 | 39 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 34:35 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Empoli | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 43:47 | -4 | 36 |
| 13 | Padova | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Mantova | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 36:48 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:45 | -14 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31:46 | -15 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 30:49 | -19 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 43:58 | -15 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
