Result
1:1
01/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 6
- Referee: Mucera G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
United-kingdom | DCTV |
Usa | DCTV |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.87 | 1.70 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
75% (276/368) | 75% (283/378) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.87 | 1.70 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.45 | 1.26 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 10 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 2 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
28 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
75% (276/368) | 75% (283/378) |
Long passes |
---|
30% (16/53) | 33% (20/61) |
Passes in final third |
---|
59% (62/105) | 61% (62/101) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (5/21) | 21% (3/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.19 | 0.48 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
85% (11/13) | 47% (7/15) |
Duels won |
---|
59 | 56 |
Clearances |
---|
18 | 47 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
2 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.26 | 1.45 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.26 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Colombo L. 🟨,
- 28', Caprari G. ↓, Balde K. ↑,
- 28', Ciurria P. ↓, Azzi P. ↑,
- 33', Pagliuca G. 🟥,
- 33', Bianco P. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Colombo L. ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 1, Carboni A. ⚽, Balde K. (A),
- 57', Belardinelli L. 🟨,
- 62', Elia S. 🟨,
- 65', Saporiti E. ↓, Yepes G. ↑,
- 65', Moruzzi B. ↓, Ilie R. ↑,
- 66', Belardinelli L. ↓, Popov B. ↑,
- 66', Obiang P. 🟨,
- 70', Galazzi N. ↓, Colpani A. ↑,
- 77', Shpendi S. ↓, Pellegri P. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Guarino G. ⚽, Ilie R. (A),
- 80', Elia S. ↓, Carboni F. ↑,
- 87', Carboni A. ↓, Lucchesi L. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ymfvp7pu
Chances of winning
Empoli 27.6% | Draw 38.5% | Monza 34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Empoli's form might have worsened.Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Empoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+2%)
Empoli - Monza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.92 ↑ (2.67) |
2.67 ↓ (3.15) |
3.23 ↑ (2.57) |
-6.1% (8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Empoli - Monza?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 68.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 48.7% – 87.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Empoli (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 2.
- Empoli has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Monza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Empoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Empoli: Degli Innocenti D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Konate I.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Monza: Antov V.
(Knee Injury)
Forson O.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Empoli: Nasti M.
(Inactive)
Pellegri P.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Monza?
Empoli has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Empoli?
Monza has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Monza were as follows:
18.05.2025
Monza
-
Empoli
1:3
17.08.2024
Empoli
-
Monza
0:0
21.01.2024
Empoli
-
Monza
3:0
26.08.2023
Monza
-
Empoli
2:0
04.03.2023
Monza
-
Empoli
2:1
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Frosinone | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 14 |
2 | Modena | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 14 |
3 | Palermo | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 12 |
4 | Avellino | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Cesena | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
6 | Juve Stabia | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
7 | Sudtirol | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 9 |
8 | Venezia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Monza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
10 | Padova | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
11 | Carrarese | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
12 | Catanzaro | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Reggiana | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
14 | Entella | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
15 | Empoli | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:12 | -4 | 6 |
16 | Pescara | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 5 |
17 | Bari | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 3 |
18 | Spezia | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
19 | Mantova | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
20 | Sampdoria | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation