Result
1:3
18/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 37
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Africa | New World Sport 2, New World Sport App |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | Optus Sport |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+ |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
Hungary | Net4+ |
India | GXR World |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Italy | DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Play |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 16 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.19 | 1.22 |
Ball Possession |
---|
68% | 32% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
90% (587/653) | 77% (230/297) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.19 | 1.22 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.05 | 1.60 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 2 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
14 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
90% (587/653) | 77% (230/297) |
Long passes |
---|
58% (32/55) | 33% (14/42) |
Passes in final third |
---|
81% (102/126) | 67% (64/96) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (4/13) | 18% (3/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.74 | 0.53 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
64% (7/11) | 58% (7/12) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 28 |
Clearances |
---|
27 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.60 | 1.05 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.40 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Birindelli S. ⚽, Caprari G. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Henderson L. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
- 46', Marianucci L. ↓, Goglichidze S. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 1, Colombo L. ⚽, Fazzini J. (A),
- 51', 1 - 2, Viti M. ⚽, Cacace L. (A),
- 55', Palacios T. ↓, Caldirola L. ↑,
- 55', Zeroli K. ↓, Mota D. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 3, Pizzignacco S. (Own goal),
- 70', Esposito Se. ↓, Anjorin F. ↑,
- 70', Caprari G. ↓, Ciurria P. ↑,
- 71', Balde K. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
- 81', Bianco A. ↓, Sensi S. ↑,
- 83', Fazzini J. ↓, Ebuehi T. ↑,
- 87', Ismajli A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monza 19.9% | Draw 27.2% | Empoli 52.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Empoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Monza - Empoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.82 ↓ (5.12) |
3.53 ↓ (3.77) |
1.81 ↑ (1.72) |
4.4% (4.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Monza - Empoli?
Users Predictions:
Empoli will win
(46 of 57 users predict this - 80.7%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.45% – 90.95%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Empoli will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Monza is Relegated to Serie B
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monza won 2.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Monza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Empoli is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Monza: D'Ambrosio D.
(Injury)
Forson O.
(Injury)
Gagliardini R.
(Injury)
Ganvoula S.
(Injury)
Izzo A.
(Thigh Injury)
Pereira P.
(Yellow Cards)
Pessina M.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Empoli: Haas N.
(Knee Injury)
Kouame C.
(Knee Injury)
Pellegri P.
(Knee Injury)
Sazonov S.
(Knee Injury)
Zurkowski S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Empoli: Maleh Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Monza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monza won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Empoli?
Monza has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Monza?
Empoli has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Empoli were as follows:
17.08.2024
Empoli
-
Monza
0:0
21.01.2024
Empoli
-
Monza
3:0
26.08.2023
Monza
-
Empoli
2:0
04.03.2023
Monza
-
Empoli
2:1
15.10.2022
Empoli
-
Monza
1:0
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Udinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Inter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B