Result
3:2
07/02/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 23
- Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (328/392) | 79% (223/282) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (328/392) | 79% (223/282) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (21/50) | 38% (18/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (65/98) | 70% (70/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Guarino G. ⚽,
- 24', 1 - 1, Fulignati A. (Own goal),
- 33', Bani M. 🟨,
- 38', Lovato M. 🟨,
- 45', Ceccaroni P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Ceccaroni P. ↓, Magnani G. ↑,
- 56', Gyasi E. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
- 56', Nasti M. ↓, Fila D. ↑,
- 57', 2 - 1, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Le Douaron J. (A),
- 66', Obaretin N. 🟨,
- 70', Elia S. ↓, Ebuehi T. ↑,
- 71', Candela A. ↓, Ceesay J. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 2, Ebuehi T. ⚽,
- 82', Le Douaron J. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
- 82', Segre J. ↓, Gomes C. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 2, Pohjanpalo J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 88', Shpendi S. ↓, Popov B. ↑,
- 88', Degli Innocenti D. ↓, Ignacchiti L. ↑,
- 90+1', Ranocchia F. ↓, Blin A. ↑,
- 90+6', Fulignati A. 🟨,
- 90+7', Magnino L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Palermo
57.2% | Draw
25.5% | Empoli
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Palermo - Empoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↑
(1.57) |
3.65 ↓
(3.89) |
5.38 ↑
(5.38) |
6.7%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Palermo - Empoli?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Palermo will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Palermo will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 2.
- Palermo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Empoli has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Empoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Palermo is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Palermo: Magnani G.
(Leg Injury)
Modesto R.
(Injury)
Palumbo A.
(Yellow Cards)
Veroli D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Empoli: Bianchi F.
(Inactive)
Pellegri P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Palermo: Gomes C.
(Injury)
Pierozzi N.
(Injury)
- We predict that Palermo will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palermo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Empoli?
Palermo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Palermo?
Empoli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Empoli were as follows:
07.12.2025
Empoli
-
Palermo
1:3
Latest results of Palermo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 67:28 | 39 | 71 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 64:32 | 32 | 68 |
| 3 | Monza | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Palermo | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 54:27 | 27 | 64 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 50:39 | 11 | 53 |
| 6 | Modena | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 43:28 | 15 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 33 | 10 | 15 | 8 | 39:41 | -2 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 | Avellino | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37:53 | -16 | 39 |
| 12 | Mantova | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 37 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 37 |
| 14 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Padova | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 31:46 | -15 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 34 |
| 18 | Pescara | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 46:59 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 | Spezia | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 32:49 | -17 | 30 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 31:52 | -21 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
