Independiente Medellín vs Envigado – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 3
Referee: Ortega C. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.90	2.23
Ball Possession
75%	25%
Total shots
25	10
Shots on target
7	5
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
12	3
Passes
89% (367/414)	65% (95/146)
Yellow Cards
4	5
Red Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.90	2.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.14	2.76
Total shots
25	10
Shots on target
7	5
Shots off target
13	5
Blocked Shots
5	0
Shots inside the Box
15	5
Shots outside the Box
10	5
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
12	3
Touches in opposition box
35	13
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
17	11
Passes
89% (367/414)	65% (95/146)
Long passes
79% (27/34)	40% (22/55)
Passes in final third
79% (116/146)	50% (29/58)
Crosses
22% (11/49)	29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.59	0.68
Throw-ins
19	11
Fouls
11	17
Tackles
56% (9/16)	86% (6/7)
Duels won
52	44
Clearances
16	46
Interceptions
4	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
xGOT faced
2.76	2.14
Goals prevented
-1.24	-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', Angulo L. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Palacios D. ⚽, Arcila D. (A),
18', Gamboa Valencia J. J. 🟨,
25', 0 - 2, Arcila D. (Pen),
39', Londono D. 🟥,
42', Sandoval L. 🟨,
44', Berrio F. 🟥,
45+1', 1 - 2, Ortiz J. ⚽, Chaverra L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Garces J. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
46', Garcia M. ↓, Berrio L. ↑,
54', Rodallega Y. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
54', Sandoval L. ↓, Leon B. ↑,
63', Leon B. 🟨,
70', Berrio L. 🟥,
71', Aguerre W. 🟨,
74', 1 - 3, Arcila D. (Pen),
75', Diaz L. ↓, Agron B. ↑,
75', Murillo B. ↓, Holguin J. ↑,
76', Angulo L. ↓, Palacio J. ↑,
78', Ortiz J. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
80', Palacio J. 🟨,
83', Tovar A. 🟨,
84', 2 - 3, Fydriszewski F. (Pen),
85', 2 - 4, Arcila D. ⚽,
89', Alvarado J. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
89', 3 - 4, Fydriszewski F. (Pen),
90', Arcila D. ↓, Marulanda M. ↑,
90+6', Agron B. 🟨,
90+8', Leon B. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/cbvjnnc9

Chances of winning

Independiente Medellín
69.8%

Draw
19.5%

Envigado
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.7%

19%

9.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

13.9%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Envigado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Medellín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+2%)

Independiente Medellín - Envigado Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.3)	4.83 ↓ (4.91)	8.82 ↓ (9.99)	4.7% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Envigado?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 4.
Ind Medellín has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Envigado's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Envigado has had a series of home games.
In this match, Ind Medellín is the obvious favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:16. (average 1.5:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.6:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Envigado?

Independiente Medellín has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Envigado won against Independiente Medellín?

Envigado has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Envigado were as follows:

09.02.2025 Envigado - Independiente Medellín 0:1

14.11.2024 Independiente Medellín - Envigado 1:0

28.04.2024 Envigado - Independiente Medellín 0:1

05.08.2023 Independiente Medellín - Envigado 1:0

11.02.2023 Envigado - Independiente Medellín 2:1

Latest results of Independiente Medellín

19.07.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Medellín 2:0 ✺

13.07.2025 Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar 1:1 ✺

29.06.2025 Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2 ✺

24.06.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín 0:0 ✺

19.06.2025 América de Cali - Independiente Medellín 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Envigado

20.07.2025 Envigado - Deportivo Cali 0:0 ✺

12.07.2025 Envigado - Fortaleza CEIF 0:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Envigado - Rionegro Águilas 2:0 ✺

11.06.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Envigado 3:3 ✺

07.06.2025 Envigado - Barranquilla 2:1 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bucaramanga	13	7	3	3	23:11	12	24
2	Fortaleza	13	6	6	1	19:13	6	24
3	Junior	12	6	4	2	24:16	8	22
4	Ind. Medellin	11	6	3	2	21:15	6	21
5	Atl. Nacional	12	5	5	2	20:15	5	20
6	Deportes Tolima	12	6	2	4	14:9	5	20
7	Llaneros	12	5	3	4	10:10	0	18
8	Dep. Cali	12	4	5	3	17:16	1	17
9	Santa Fe	12	4	5	3	12:11	1	17
10	Once Caldas	13	4	4	5	16:16	0	16
11	Alianza	12	4	4	4	13:15	-2	16
12	Pereira	13	3	6	4	12:13	-1	15
13	Millonarios	12	4	2	6	14:17	-3	14
14	America De Cali	12	3	4	5	9:10	-1	13
15	Envigado	12	2	6	4	9:11	-2	12
16	U. Magdalena	13	3	3	7	14:22	-8	12
17	Aguilas	11	2	5	4	11:15	-4	11
18	La Equidad	12	2	5	5	7:15	-8	11
19	Chico	13	2	5	6	10:21	-11	11
20	Dep. Pasto	12	2	4	6	12:16	-4	10

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )