Moreirense vs Estoril Praia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas (Moreira de Conegos).

Liga Portugal - Round 33
Referee: Fonseca M. (Por)
Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	1.61
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
9	7
Shots on target
5	5
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
2	7
Passes
75% (202/271)	82% (362/444)
Yellow Cards
4	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	1.61
xG on target (xGOT)
2.52	2.14
Total shots
9	7
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
2	1
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
7	4
Shots outside the Box
2	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
2	7
Touches in opposition box
12	21
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
5	2
Free Kicks
16	20
Passes
75% (202/271)	82% (362/444)
Long passes
43% (25/58)	45% (23/51)
Passes in final third
55% (34/62)	62% (72/117)
Crosses
21% (3/14)	23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.51	0.69
Throw-ins
23	24
Fouls
20	16
Tackles
48% (10/21)	47% (8/17)
Duels won
56	60
Clearances
38	23
Interceptions
9	10
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
2	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
2.14	2.52
Goals prevented
0.14	0.52

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Bernardo ⚽,
33', Bernardo 🟨,
43', Michel 🟨,
45+1', Alvaro P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Alvaro P. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Marcelo ⚽, Alanzinho (A),
57', Pina W. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
58', Guitane R. ↓, Lacximicant A. ↑,
72', Vinicius Zanocelo ↓, Marques A. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Bacher F. ⚽, Holsgrove J. (A),
79', Guilherme Schettine ↓, Yan Maranhao ↑,
79', Jorquera Romero J. ↓, Antonisse J. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Marques A. ⚽, Carvalho P. (A),
82', Pinto D. 🟨,
84', Carvalho P. 🟨,
87', Teguia C. ↓, Asue L. ↑,
90', Alanzinho 🟨,
90+1', Bacher F. 🟨,
90+4', Carvalho J. 🟨,
90+4', Rodrigues I. ↓, Tavares S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Moreirense
40.1%

Draw
29.2%

Estoril Praia
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

29.2%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Moreirense - Estoril Praia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.4)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)	3.07 ↑ (2.92)	6.4% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Moreirense - Estoril Praia?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Estoril will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Moreirense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 3.
Moreirense is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Estoril has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Moreirense: Guilherme Liberato (Knee Injury) Hernani Infande (Knee Injury) Ofori L. (Injury)
There will not play in Estoril: Xeka (Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Moreirense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Estoril Praia?

Moreirense has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Moreirense?

Estoril Praia has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Estoril Praia were as follows:

28.12.2024 Estoril Praia - Moreirense 2:2

18.05.2024 Moreirense - Estoril Praia 2:1

13.01.2024 Estoril Praia - Moreirense 1:3

Latest results of Moreirense

02.05.2025 Porto - Moreirense 3:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Moreirense - Nacional 1:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Moreirense 3:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Moreirense - Rio Ave 0:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Gil Vicente - Moreirense 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Estoril Praia

03.05.2025 Estoril Praia - Benfica 1:2 ✺

29.04.2025 Casa Pia - Estoril Praia 1:3 ✺

19.04.2025 Estoril Praia - Braga 0:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Famalicão - Estoril Praia 3:0 ✺

04.04.2025 AVS - Estoril Praia 0:3 ✺

Liga Portugal Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Estrela	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Vitoria Guimaraes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Estoril	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Gil Vicente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Rio Ave	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Santa Clara	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Moreirense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	FC Porto	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Sporting CP	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Benfica	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Braga	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Nacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Arouca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Casa Pia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Tondela	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Alverca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Famalicao	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	AFS	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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