Result
3:3
07/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 13
- Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 2.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (325/397) | 85% (421/493) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 2.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 2.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (325/397) | 85% (421/493) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (22/44) | 49% (24/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (44/81) | 71% (74/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 43% (3/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.31 | 2.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.69 | -0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Travassos ⚽, Guilherme Schettine (A),
- 16', Landerson 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 1, Patrick de Paula ⚽, Sanchez R. (A),
- 29', Lacximicant A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 54', 2 - 1, Sanchez R. ⚽, Jandro (A),
- 58', 3 - 1, Begraoui Y. ⚽, Carvalho J. (A),
- 59', Kiko ↓, Kiko Bondoso ↑,
- 59', Guilherme Schettine ↓, Semedo L. ↑,
- 60', Stjepanovic M. ↓, Assis A. ↑,
- 62', 3 - 2, Assis A. ⚽, Pinto D. (A),
- 64', Patrick de Paula ↓, Pizzi ↑,
- 64', Tsoungui A. ↓, Ferro ↑,
- 66', Alanzinho 🟨,
- 69', Sanchez R. 🟨,
- 73', Alanzinho ↓, Bernardo ↑,
- 73', Amaral P. ↓, Parente T. ↑,
- 74', Sanchez R. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
- 75', Assis A. 🟨,
- 79', Sousa V. ↓, Rodri ↑,
- 80', Jandro ↓, Marques A. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 3, Semedo L. ⚽, Rodri (A),
Chances of winning
Estoril Praia
43.1% | Draw
28.8% | Moreirense
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estoril Praia's form might have worsened.Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moreirense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estoril Praia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moreirense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Estoril Praia - Moreirense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(1.81) |
3.26 ↓
(3.58) |
3.38 ↓
(4.39) |
5.6%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Estoril Praia - Moreirense?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Estoril will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estoril: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Moreirense (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Moreirense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 1.
- Estoril has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Moreirense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Moreirense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Estoril will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Estoril: Holsgrove J.
(Yellow Cards)
Xeka
(Injury)
- There will not play in Moreirense: Maracas
(Red Card)
Yan Maranhao
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Estoril: Israelov O.
(Inactive)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estoril won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Moreirense?
Estoril Praia has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Estoril Praia?
Moreirense has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - Moreirense were as follows:
11.05.2025
Moreirense
-
Estoril Praia
2:2
28.12.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Moreirense
2:2
18.05.2024
Moreirense
-
Estoril Praia
2:1
13.01.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Moreirense
1:3
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Latest results of Moreirense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
