Result
2:2
11/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 33
- Referee: Fonseca M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (202/271) | 82% (362/444) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 2.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (202/271) | 82% (362/444) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (25/58) | 45% (23/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (34/62) | 62% (72/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (10/21) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.14 | 2.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Bernardo ⚽,
- 33', Bernardo 🟨,
- 43', Michel 🟨,
- 45+1', Alvaro P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Alvaro P. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
- 55', 2 - 0, Marcelo ⚽, Alanzinho (A),
- 57', Pina W. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
- 58', Guitane R. ↓, Lacximicant A. ↑,
- 72', Vinicius Zanocelo ↓, Marques A. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 1, Bacher F. ⚽, Holsgrove J. (A),
- 79', Guilherme Schettine ↓, Yan Maranhao ↑,
- 79', Jorquera Romero J. ↓, Antonisse J. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 2, Marques A. ⚽, Carvalho P. (A),
- 82', Pinto D. 🟨,
- 84', Carvalho P. 🟨,
- 87', Teguia C. ↓, Asue L. ↑,
- 90', Alanzinho 🟨,
- 90+1', Bacher F. 🟨,
- 90+4', Carvalho J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Rodrigues I. ↓, Tavares S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Moreirense
40.1% | Draw
29.2% | Estoril Praia
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Moreirense - Estoril Praia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.4) |
3.19 ↓
(3.2) |
3.07 ↑
(2.92) |
6.4%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Moreirense - Estoril Praia?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Estoril will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Moreirense (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 3.
- Moreirense is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Estoril has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Moreirense: Guilherme Liberato
(Knee Injury)
Hernani Infande
(Knee Injury)
Ofori L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Estoril: Xeka
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Moreirense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Estoril Praia?
Moreirense has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Moreirense?
Estoril Praia has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Estoril Praia were as follows:
28.12.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Moreirense
2:2
18.05.2024
Moreirense
-
Estoril Praia
2:1
13.01.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Moreirense
1:3
Latest results of Moreirense
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | Moreirense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Arouca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 8 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Tondela | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
