Result
0:1
19/01/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 18
- Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sport TV Africa, ZAP |
 Angola | Z Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 25% | 75% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (150/215) | 86% (560/650) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 50% (26/52) | 65% (96/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 16% (4/25) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 75% (15/20) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 34 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ribeiro Y. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 46', Vitor Carvalho ↓, Moutinho J. ↑,
- 58', Navarro F. ↓, El Ouazzani A. ↑,
- 64', Drame I. ↓, Lopes M. ↑,
- 74', Rodrigo Pinho ↓, Santana C. ↑,
- 74', Ruiz A. ↓, Travassos ↑,
- 78', Martinez G. 🟨,
- 79', Gorby ↓, Horta A. ↑,
- 84', Bucca L. 🟨,
- 87', Varela N. 🟨,
- 88', Moreira P. ↓, Daniel Cabral ↑,
- 88', Veiga D. ↓, Goncalves E. F. ↑,
- 90+2', Goncalves E. F. 🟨,
- 90+3', 0 - 1, El Ouazzani A. ⚽, Horta A. (A),
- 90+5', Bruma ↓, Marin A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Estrela da Amadora
22.4% | Draw
25.5% | Braga
52.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Braga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Estrela da Amadora - Braga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.16 ↓
(4.63) |
3.7 ↓
(3.74) |
1.82 ↑
(1.72) |
5.9%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fubo (for US customers) Network on : Gol (English)
What is the prediction for Estrela da Amadora - Braga?
Users Predictions:
Braga will win
(37 of 44 users predict this - 84.09%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.28% – 94.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Braga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Braga is a favorite.
- There will not play in Braga: Ferreira J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Estrela: Lopes M.
(Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Estrela won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:8 (average 1:2.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Estrela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Braga?
Estrela da Amadora has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Estrela da Amadora?
Braga has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estrela da Amadora - Braga were as follows:
11.08.2024
Braga
-
Estrela da Amadora
1:1
02.03.2024
Braga
-
Estrela da Amadora
3:0
28.09.2023
Estrela da Amadora
-
Braga
2:4
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Braga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Famalicao | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Arouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Estrela | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Estoril | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Alverca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Tondela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
