Estrela da Amadora vs Estoril Praia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal
Result
0:5
19/01/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 18
  • Referee: Ramalho P. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
portugalPortugalSport TV1

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.222.29
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
611
Shots on target
26
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
14
Passes
80% (281/350)87% (474/544)
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.222.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.553.38
Total shots
611
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
32
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
19
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
732
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1216
Passes
80% (281/350)87% (474/544)
Long passes
41% (17/41)60% (26/43)
Passes in final third
66% (58/88)75% (80/106)
Crosses
0% (0/12)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.241.64
Throw ins
2014
Fouls
1612
Tackles
64% (9/14)50% (10/20)
Duels won
4753
Clearances
1924
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
3.380.55
Goals prevented
-1.620.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Carvalho J. ⚽, Holsgrove J. (A),
  • 45', Marcus A. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 46', Bernardo Schappo ↓, Montoia G. ↑,
  • 46', Stoica I. ↓, Jovane ↑,
  • 51', 0 - 2, Begraoui Y. ⚽, Carvalho J. (A),
  • 54', 0 - 3, Begraoui Y. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 64', 0 - 4, Marques A. ⚽, Carvalho J. (A),
  • 66', Boma K. ↓, Tsoungui A. ↑,
  • 66', Marques A. ↓, Pizzi ↑,
  • 66', Carvalho J. ↓, Ferro ↑,
  • 67', Sanchez R. ↓, Peixinho ↑,
  • 67', Sola A. ↓, Robinho ↑,
  • 67', Meireles J. ↓, Alisson Souza ↑,
  • 70', 0 - 5, Begraoui Y. ⚽, Amaral P. (A),
  • 73', Robinho 🟨,
  • 78', Holsgrove J. ↓, Lominadze N. ↑,
  • 80', Otavio ↓, Chernev A. ↑,
  • 81', Jandro 🟨,
  • 84', Peixinho 🟨,
  • 90+2', Jovane 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estrela da Amadora
33.1%		Draw
27.2%		Estoril Praia
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 30.5% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4% 30.2% 32.2%

Estrela da Amadora - Estoril Praia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.84 ↑
(2.49)		 3.46 ↑
(3.03)		 2.38 ↓
(2.84)		 6.2%
(8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Estrela da Amadora - Estoril Praia?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). Estoril will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.3% – 56.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Estrela (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Estrela (2.11) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Estoril (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Estrela (votes: 4 - 50%). Estoril (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Estrela: Ni (Injury)
    • There will not play in Estoril: Costa G. (Injury) Xeka (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Estoril: Israelov O. (Thigh Injury) Lacximicant A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Estrela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estrela da Amadora - Estoril Praia were as follows:
    11.08.2025 Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora 1:1
    17.05.2025 Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora 4:0
    05.01.2025 Estrela da Amadora - Estoril Praia 2:4
    04.02.2024 Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora 1:0
    25.08.2023 Estrela da Amadora - Estoril Praia 2:1
    Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
    03.01.2026 Estrela da Amadora - Braga 3:3 ✺
    27.12.2025 Famalicão - Estrela da Amadora 2:3 ✺
    20.12.2025 Estrela da Amadora - Moreirense 0:0 ✺
    15.12.2025 Porto - Estrela da Amadora 3:1 ✺
    07.12.2025 Estrela da Amadora - Arouca 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Estoril Praia
    03.01.2026 Benfica - Estoril Praia 3:1 ✺
    27.12.2025 Estoril Praia - Alverca 4:1 ✺
    19.12.2025 Estoril Praia - Braga 1:0 ✺
    14.12.2025 Famalicão - Estoril Praia 4:0 ✺
    07.12.2025 Estoril Praia - Moreirense 3:3 ✺
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto18171037:43352
    2Sporting CP18143150:94145
    3Benfica18126038:112742
    4Gil Vicente1887324:131131
    5Braga1886432:181430
    6Moreirense1883725:26-127
    7Famalicao1875621:14726
    8Vitoria Guimaraes1874718:23-525
    9Estoril1865733:29423
    10Alverca1872919:28-923
    11Rio Ave1848622:31-920
    12Estrela1847723:32-919
    13Santa Clara1845914:20-617
    14Nacional1845922:28-617
    15Arouca1845919:42-2317
    16Casa Pia18351017:35-1814
    17Tondela18331212:30-1812
    18AFS18041411:44-334

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          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

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