Result
2:4
27/05/2023 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 34
- Referee: Pinho J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Portugal | Sport TV |
Chances of winning
Penafiel 43.1% | Draw 27.4% | Estrela da Amadora 29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Penafiel's performance.Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estrela da Amadora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (-14.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penafiel that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+14.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estrela da Amadora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Penafiel - Estrela da Amadora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.14 ↓ (3.2) |
3.33 ↑ (3.3) |
3.14 ↑ (2.22) |
8.6% (6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Penafiel - Estrela da Amadora?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Estrela will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 2.
- Penafiel is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Estrela is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Estrela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Penafiel will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.
- Including matches at home between the teams Penafiel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Estrela da Amadora?
Penafiel has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Penafiel?
Estrela da Amadora has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
22.01.2023
Estrela da Amadora
-
Penafiel
3:0
17.12.2022
Estrela da Amadora
-
Penafiel
1:1
Latest results of Penafiel
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 53 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Vizela | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 4 | Torreense | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 32:27 | 5 | 42 |
| 5 | Leiria | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | FC Porto B | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Sporting CP B | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37:25 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Chaves | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | Feirense | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29:30 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Benfica B | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 36:32 | 4 | 34 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 29:47 | -18 | 31 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Pacos Ferreira | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24:34 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 23:32 | -9 | 29 |
| 17 | Oliveirense | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26:36 | -10 | 27 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:39 | -12 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3