Result
2:4
27/05/2023 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 34
- Referee: Pinho J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV |
Chances of winning
Penafiel
43.1% | Draw
27.4% | Estrela da Amadora
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Penafiel's performance.Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estrela da Amadora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (-14.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penafiel that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+14.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estrela da Amadora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Penafiel - Estrela da Amadora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(3.2) |
3.33 ↑
(3.3) |
3.14 ↑
(2.22) |
8.6%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Penafiel - Estrela da Amadora?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Estrela will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 2.
- Penafiel is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Estrela is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Estrela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Penafiel will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.
- Including matches at home between the teams Penafiel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Estrela da Amadora?
Penafiel has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Penafiel?
Estrela da Amadora has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
22.01.2023
Estrela da Amadora
-
Penafiel
3:0
17.12.2022
Estrela da Amadora
-
Penafiel
1:1
Latest results of Penafiel
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vizela | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Leixoes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Maritimo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Torreense | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Lusitania FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Oliveirense | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Feirense | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Leiria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | SC Farense | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Chaves | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Benfica B | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Pacos Ferreira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Academico Viseu | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Felgueiras | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 18 | FC Porto B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:6 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
