Penafiel vs Estrela da Amadora – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Penafiel - Estrela da Amadora
Result
2:4
27/05/2023 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 34
  • Referee: Pinho J. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV

Highlights

Chances of winning


Penafiel
43.1%
Draw
27.4%
Estrela da Amadora
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.3% 28.4% 42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 27.4% 43.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Penafiel's performance.
  • Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estrela da Amadora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penafiel that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estrela da Amadora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Penafiel - Estrela da Amadora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (3.2)
    3.33
    (3.3)
    3.14
    (2.22)
    8.6%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Penafiel - Estrela da Amadora?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Estrela will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 2.
    • Penafiel is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Estrela is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Estrela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Penafiel will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Penafiel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
    22.01.2023 Estrela da Amadora - Penafiel 3:0
    17.12.2022 Estrela da Amadora - Penafiel 1:1
    Latest results of Penafiel
    21.05.2023 Torreense - Penafiel 5:1
    14.05.2023 Penafiel - Tondela 1:0
    22.04.2023 Farense - Penafiel 2:1
    16.04.2023 Penafiel - Nacional 3:0
    Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leixoes00000:000
    2Feirense00000:000
    3Penafiel00000:000
    4Portimonense00000:000
    5Vizela00000:000
    6Chaves00000:000
    7Oliveirense00000:000
    8Torreense00000:000
    9Maritimo00000:000
    10Pacos Ferreira00000:000
    11Leiria00000:000
    12Academico Viseu00000:000
    13Lusitania FC00000:000
    14SC Farense00000:000
    15Felgueiras00000:000
    16FC Porto B00000:000
    17Sporting CP B00000:000
    18Benfica B00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3