Result
3:0
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 27
- Referee: Woods M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 0.59 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (254/365) | 67% (226/338) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (254/365) | 67% (226/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (24/75) | 22% (17/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (67/127) | 56% (84/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 44 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 2.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 49', 1 - 0, Wareham J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 57', Houghton J. ↓, White H. ↑,
- 60', Mendes C. ↓, Tuterov T. ↑,
- 68', Roberts J. ↓, Cornick H. ↑,
- 72', Cole R. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 0, Brierley E. ⚽, Aitchison J. (A),
- 77', Phillips D. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
- 77', Kemp D. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
- 82', Oakes L. ↓, Turns E. ↑,
- 82', Wareham J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
- 88', Patterson P. 🟨,
- 90+2', Doyle-Hayes J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Goode C. 🟨,
- 90+4', Whitworth J. 🟨,
- 90+8', 3 - 0, Tuterov T. ⚽, Aitchison J. (A),
Chances of winning
Exeter City 37.8% | Draw 30.9% | Stevenage Borough 31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Exeter City - Stevenage Borough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.47 ↓ (2.56) |
3.01 ↓ (3.04) |
2.98 ↑ (2.85) |
7.2% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Exeter City - Stevenage Borough?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Stevenage will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Exeter: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 2.
- Exeter has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Stevenage is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Exeter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Exeter has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D.
(Inactive)
Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
Rydel R.
(Inactive)
Yfeko J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: Young J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:19. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:6. (average 1.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Stevenage Borough?
Exeter City has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Exeter City?
Stevenage Borough has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
20.09.2025
Stevenage Borough
-
Exeter City
2:1
01.02.2025
Stevenage Borough
-
Exeter City
4:1
21.09.2024
Exeter City
-
Stevenage Borough
2:0
06.04.2024
Exeter City
-
Stevenage Borough
1:0
16.12.2023
Stevenage Borough
-
Exeter City
1:1
Latest results of Exeter City
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 52:29 | 23 | 60 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 48:29 | 19 | 58 |
| 3 | Bolton | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 38:27 | 11 | 52 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 42:35 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 | Bradford City | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 49 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 51:40 | 11 | 48 |
| 7 | Luton | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 38:34 | 4 | 42 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 42 |
| 9 | Wycombe | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 40 |
| 10 | Reading | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 39:35 | 4 | 40 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 38 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 29 | 12 | 2 | 15 | 37:39 | -2 | 38 |
| 13 | Exeter | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 33:30 | 3 | 37 |
| 14 | Barnsley | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 42:43 | -1 | 37 |
| 15 | Plymouth | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 35 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33:46 | -13 | 33 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 40:49 | -9 | 32 |
| 20 | Wigan | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 31 |
| 21 | Rotherham | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 31:40 | -9 | 31 |
| 22 | Burton | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
| 23 | Northampton | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 26:38 | -12 | 30 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20:38 | -18 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two