Exeter City vs Stevenage Borough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

St James Park (Exeter).

League One - Round 27
Referee: Woods M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.84	0.59
Ball possession
51%	49%
Total shots
14	8
Shots on target
5	3
Big chances
4	0
Corner kicks
1	4
Passes
70% (254/365)	67% (226/338)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
2.84	0.59
xG on target (xGOT)
2.27	0.28
Total shots
14	8
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked shots
4	1
Shots inside the box
8	5
Shots outside the box
6	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
4	0
Corner kicks
1	4
Touches in opposition box
20	14
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	1
Free kicks
10	13
Passes
70% (254/365)	67% (226/338)
Long passes
32% (24/75)	22% (17/79)
Passes in final third
53% (67/127)	56% (84/151)
Crosses
17% (1/6)	26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.95	0.68
Throw ins
26	44
Fouls
13	10
Tackles
84% (16/19)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
52	43
Clearances
40	25
Interceptions
6	4
Errors leading to shot
2	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	1
xGOT faced
0.28	2.27
Goals prevented
0.28	-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Wareham J. (Penalty Awarded),
57', Houghton J. ↓, White H. ↑,
60', Mendes C. ↓, Tuterov T. ↑,
68', Roberts J. ↓, Cornick H. ↑,
72', Cole R. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Brierley E. ⚽, Aitchison J. (A),
77', Phillips D. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
77', Kemp D. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
82', Oakes L. ↓, Turns E. ↑,
82', Wareham J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
88', Patterson P. 🟨,
90+2', Doyle-Hayes J. 🟨,
90+3', Goode C. 🟨,
90+4', Whitworth J. 🟨,
90+8', 3 - 0, Tuterov T. ⚽, Aitchison J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Exeter City
37.8%

Draw
30.9%

Stevenage Borough
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

30.7%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

29.7%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Exeter City - Stevenage Borough Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.56)	3.01 ↓ (3.04)	2.98 ↑ (2.85)	7.2% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Exeter City - Stevenage Borough?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Stevenage will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Exeter: 15.4% – 84.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 2.
Exeter has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Stevenage is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Exeter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Exeter has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D. (Inactive) Borges P. (Knee Injury) Rydel R. (Inactive) Yfeko J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Stevenage: Young J. (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:19. (average 1.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:6. (average 1.9:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Stevenage Borough?

Exeter City has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Exeter City?

Stevenage Borough has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Stevenage Borough were as follows:

20.09.2025 Stevenage Borough - Exeter City 2:1

01.02.2025 Stevenage Borough - Exeter City 4:1

21.09.2024 Exeter City - Stevenage Borough 2:0

06.04.2024 Exeter City - Stevenage Borough 1:0

16.12.2023 Stevenage Borough - Exeter City 1:1

Latest results of Exeter City

10.01.2026 Manchester City - Exeter City 10:1 ✺

04.01.2026 Huddersfield Town - Exeter City 2:2 ✺

01.01.2026 Exeter City - Luton Town 1:0 ✺

29.12.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Exeter City 0:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Cardiff City - Exeter City 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Stevenage Borough

10.01.2026 Luton Town - Stevenage Borough 2:1 ✺

04.01.2026 Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient Postponed ✺

01.01.2026 Stevenage Borough - Plymouth Argyle 1:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Cardiff City - Stevenage Borough 2:1 ✺

26.12.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough 0:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	33	21	6	6	64:36	28	69
2	Lincoln	33	20	8	5	59:31	28	68
3	Bolton	34	15	13	6	45:33	12	58
4	Bradford City	33	17	7	9	42:36	6	58
5	Stockport County	33	16	8	9	46:41	5	56
6	Huddersfield	34	15	7	12	55:45	10	52
7	Reading	33	12	12	9	48:43	5	48
8	Stevenage	32	13	9	10	35:34	1	48
9	Wycombe	33	12	11	10	46:36	10	47
10	Luton	33	13	7	13	42:40	2	46
11	Plymouth	33	14	4	15	49:49	0	46
12	Peterborough	34	14	3	17	49:48	1	45
13	AFC Wimbledon	32	12	6	14	39:46	-7	42
14	Exeter	32	11	8	13	37:34	3	41
15	Barnsley	30	11	8	11	50:52	-2	41
16	Mansfield	31	10	9	12	37:35	2	39
17	Burton	33	10	9	14	38:46	-8	39
18	Doncaster	32	11	6	15	36:51	-15	39
19	Blackpool	33	10	7	16	40:50	-10	37
20	Leyton Orient	32	10	6	16	43:53	-10	36
21	Wigan	32	8	10	14	34:46	-12	34
22	Northampton	34	9	7	18	30:46	-16	34
23	Rotherham	32	8	7	17	32:47	-15	31
24	Port Vale	31	6	8	17	25:43	-18	26

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two