Exeter City vs Stevenage Borough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

St James Park (Exeter).

League One - Round 27
Referee: Woods M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.84	0.59
Ball possession
51%	49%
Total shots
14	8
Shots on target
5	3
Big chances
4	0
Corner kicks
1	4
Passes
70% (254/365)	67% (226/338)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
2.84	0.59
xG on target (xGOT)
2.27	0.28
Total shots
14	8
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked shots
4	1
Shots inside the box
8	5
Shots outside the box
6	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
4	0
Corner kicks
1	4
Touches in opposition box
20	14
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	1
Free kicks
10	13
Passes
70% (254/365)	67% (226/338)
Long passes
32% (24/75)	22% (17/79)
Passes in final third
53% (67/127)	56% (84/151)
Crosses
17% (1/6)	26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.95	0.68
Throw ins
26	44
Fouls
13	10
Tackles
84% (16/19)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
52	43
Clearances
40	25
Interceptions
6	4
Errors leading to shot
2	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	1
xGOT faced
0.28	2.27
Goals prevented
0.28	-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Wareham J. (Penalty Awarded),
57', Houghton J. ↓, White H. ↑,
60', Mendes C. ↓, Tuterov T. ↑,
68', Roberts J. ↓, Cornick H. ↑,
72', Cole R. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Brierley E. ⚽, Aitchison J. (A),
77', Phillips D. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
77', Kemp D. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
82', Oakes L. ↓, Turns E. ↑,
82', Wareham J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
88', Patterson P. 🟨,
90+2', Doyle-Hayes J. 🟨,
90+3', Goode C. 🟨,
90+4', Whitworth J. 🟨,
90+8', 3 - 0, Tuterov T. ⚽, Aitchison J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Exeter City
37.8%

Draw
30.9%

Stevenage Borough
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

30.7%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

29.7%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Exeter City - Stevenage Borough Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.56)	3.01 ↓ (3.04)	2.98 ↑ (2.85)	7.2% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Exeter City - Stevenage Borough?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Stevenage will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Exeter: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core - Selected Experts: 1 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 2.
Exeter has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Stevenage is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Exeter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Exeter has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D. (Inactive) Borges P. (Knee Injury) Rydel R. (Inactive) Yfeko J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Stevenage: Young J. (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:19. (average 1.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:6. (average 1.9:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Stevenage Borough?

Exeter City has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Exeter City?

Stevenage Borough has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Stevenage Borough were as follows:

20.09.2025 Stevenage Borough - Exeter City 2:1

01.02.2025 Stevenage Borough - Exeter City 4:1

21.09.2024 Exeter City - Stevenage Borough 2:0

06.04.2024 Exeter City - Stevenage Borough 1:0

16.12.2023 Stevenage Borough - Exeter City 1:1

Latest results of Exeter City

10.01.2026 Manchester City - Exeter City 10:1 ✺

04.01.2026 Huddersfield Town - Exeter City 2:2 ✺

01.01.2026 Exeter City - Luton Town 1:0 ✺

29.12.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Exeter City 0:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Cardiff City - Exeter City 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Stevenage Borough

10.01.2026 Luton Town - Stevenage Borough 2:1 ✺

01.01.2026 Stevenage Borough - Plymouth Argyle 1:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Cardiff City - Stevenage Borough 2:1 ✺

26.12.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough 0:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion 2:2 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln ✔	41	27	9	5	77:35	42	90
2	Cardiff	40	23	9	8	74:42	32	78
3	Bradford City	41	21	8	12	52:45	7	71
4	Bolton	41	18	16	7	59:42	17	70
5	Stockport County	40	19	10	11	59:50	9	67
6	Stevenage	40	18	10	12	42:38	4	64
7	Plymouth	41	19	5	17	64:56	8	62
8	Reading	42	16	14	12	62:54	8	62
9	Huddersfield	41	17	10	14	62:53	9	61
10	Luton	41	17	10	14	57:50	7	61
11	Wycombe	42	16	11	15	60:48	12	59
12	Mansfield	39	13	14	12	49:41	8	53
13	Peterborough	40	15	6	19	59:55	4	51
14	Barnsley	39	13	12	14	60:64	-4	51
15	Leyton Orient	41	14	8	19	56:64	-8	50
16	AFC Wimbledon	41	14	8	19	49:62	-13	50
17	Doncaster	41	14	8	19	42:64	-22	50
18	Wigan	41	12	13	16	44:55	-11	49
19	Burton	42	12	12	18	45:56	-11	48
20	Blackpool	42	13	9	20	48:64	-16	48
21	Exeter	42	12	10	20	45:53	-8	46
22	Rotherham	40	9	10	21	35:59	-24	37
23	Northampton	41	9	8	24	34:60	-26	35
24	Port Vale	39	8	10	21	30:54	-24	34

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

Clinched Spots for Teams

Lincoln is Qualified for Championship