Result
2:1
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 9
- Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (234/330) | 68% (199/291) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 2.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (234/330) | 68% (199/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (18/62) | 30% (20/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (87/150) | 49% (35/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/30) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 31% (4/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 65 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.39 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.39 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, White H. ⚽,
- 24', Cox S. ↓, Wareham J. ↑,
- 27', 1 - 1, Magennis J. ⚽, Niskanen I. (A),
- 38', Wareham J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 68', Campbell C. ↓, Patterson P. ↑,
- 68', Reid J. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
- 68', Lubala B. ↓, Ahadme G. ↑,
- 74', McMillan J. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
- 74', Sweeney P. ↓, Yfeko J. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 1, Roberts J. ⚽, Patterson P. (A),
- 81', Roberts J. 🟨,
- 83', Brierley E. ↓, Wilson K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stevenage Borough
53.3% | Draw
27.8% | Exeter City
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+2%)
Stevenage Borough - Exeter City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79
(1.79) |
3.37 ↓
(3.4) |
5.01 ↑
(4.33) |
5.6%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Exeter City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Stevenage Borough will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 1.
- Stevenage is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Exeter has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Exeter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Stevenage has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Stevenage is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: Young J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Exeter: McDonald K.
(Injury)
Swinkels S.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 20:34. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Exeter City?
Stevenage Borough has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Stevenage Borough?
Exeter City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Exeter City were as follows:
01.02.2025
Stevenage Borough
-
Exeter City
4:1
21.09.2024
Exeter City
-
Stevenage Borough
2:0
06.04.2024
Exeter City
-
Stevenage Borough
1:0
16.12.2023
Stevenage Borough
-
Exeter City
1:1
29.08.2023
Exeter City
-
Stevenage Borough
2:1
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
Latest results of Exeter City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stevenage | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:13 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Cardiff | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Lincoln | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Stockport County | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Bolton | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 17 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | Doncaster | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Luton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
| 13 | Northampton | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | Wigan | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Plymouth | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
| 16 | Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 17 | Exeter | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 18 | Leyton Orient | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
| 19 | Reading | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 20 | Wycombe | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 9 |
| 21 | Burton | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 9 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 8 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
