Result
1:0
26/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 31
- Referee: Correia G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (354/434) | 75% (286/381) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (354/434) | 75% (286/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (26/58) | 37% (24/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (86/127) | 51% (42/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 54% (13/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Neto 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Aguirre J. ↓, Pablo ↑,
- 71', Njie Y. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
- 71', Derick Poloni ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
- 72', Marques J. ↓, Toure T. ↑,
- 72', Cruz S. ↓, Mutombo J. ↑,
- 80', Caseres F. ↓, Joao Teixeira ↑,
- 80', Elimbi M. G. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 81', Ze Carlos 🟨,
- 87', Rony Lopes ↓, Matias M. ↑,
- 87', Ze Carlos ↓, Justo S. ↑,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Bamba M. A. ⚽,
- 90+4', Mutombo J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Pastor ↓, Raul Silva ↑,
Chances of winning
Gil Vicente
38.2% | Draw
31.6% | Farense
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Gil Vicente - Farense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(2.44) |
2.99 ↓
(3.1) |
3.13 ↑
(3.04) |
5.9%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Gil Vicente - Farense?
Users Predictions:
Gil Vicente will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gil Vicente will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Gil Vicente won 2.
- Recent matches Gil Vicente is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Farense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Farense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Gil Vicente will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bermejo
(Injury)
- There will not play in Farense: Balde E.
(Inactive)
Velho R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Sithole S.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Farense: Moreno M.
(Inactive)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Gil Vicente won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Gil Vicente won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Farense?
Gil Vicente has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Gil Vicente?
Farense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gil Vicente - Farense were as follows:
14.12.2024
Farense
-
Gil Vicente
0:1
12.05.2024
Gil Vicente
-
Farense
2:0
06.01.2024
Farense
-
Gil Vicente
1:0
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Latest results of Farense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
