Result
1:0
26/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 31
- Referee: Correia G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.47 | 0.13 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
82% (354/434) | 75% (286/381) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.47 | 0.13 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.89 | 0.06 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 4 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
82% (354/434) | 75% (286/381) |
Long passes |
---|
45% (26/58) | 37% (24/65) |
Passes in final third |
---|
68% (86/127) | 51% (42/82) |
Crosses |
---|
11% (2/18) | 29% (2/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.87 | 0.10 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 28 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
81% (13/16) | 54% (13/24) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 57 |
Clearances |
---|
27 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.06 | 0.89 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.06 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Neto 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Aguirre J. ↓, Pablo ↑,
- 71', Njie Y. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
- 71', Derick Poloni ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
- 72', Marques J. ↓, Toure T. ↑,
- 72', Cruz S. ↓, Mutombo J. ↑,
- 80', Caseres F. ↓, Joao Teixeira ↑,
- 80', Elimbi M. G. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 81', Ze Carlos 🟨,
- 87', Rony Lopes ↓, Matias M. ↑,
- 87', Ze Carlos ↓, Justo S. ↑,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Bamba M. A. ⚽,
- 90+4', Mutombo J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Pastor ↓, Raul Silva ↑,
Chances of winning
Gil Vicente 38.2% | Draw 31.6% | Farense 30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Gil Vicente - Farense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.47 ↑ (2.44) |
2.99 ↓ (3.1) |
3.13 ↑ (3.04) |
5.9% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Gil Vicente - Farense?
Users Predictions:
Gil Vicente will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gil Vicente will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Gil Vicente won 2.
- Recent matches Gil Vicente is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Farense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Farense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Gil Vicente will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bermejo
(Injury)
- There will not play in Farense: Balde E.
(Inactive)
Velho R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Sithole S.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Farense: Moreno M.
(Inactive)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Gil Vicente won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Gil Vicente won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Farense?
Gil Vicente has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Gil Vicente?
Farense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gil Vicente - Farense were as follows:
14.12.2024
Farense
-
Gil Vicente
0:1
12.05.2024
Gil Vicente
-
Farense
2:0
06.01.2024
Farense
-
Gil Vicente
1:0
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Latest results of Farense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2