Fluminense vs Flamengo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Fluminense
31%
Draw
29.9%
Flamengo
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 29.1% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 29.6% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Flamengo aligns with the current prediction.
  • Fluminense - Flamengo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.05
    (2.86)
    3.14
    (3.19)
    2.42
    (2.42)
    6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 2.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Flamengo were as follows:
    08.03.2026 Fluminense - Flamengo 0:1
    25.01.2026 Fluminense - Flamengo 2:1
    19.11.2025 Fluminense - Flamengo 2:1
    20.07.2025 Flamengo - Fluminense 1:0
    12.03.2025 Fluminense - Flamengo 1:2
    Latest results of Fluminense
    Latest results of Flamengo
    08.04.2026 Cusco - Flamengo 0:0
    05.04.2026 Flamengo - Santos 3:1
    22.03.2026 Corinthians - Flamengo 1:1
    19.03.2026 Flamengo - Remo 3:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras1081121:101125
    2Sao Paulo1062215:7820
    3Fluminense1062217:11620
    4Flamengo RJ952216:9717
    5Bahia952213:9417
    6Athletico-PR1051415:13216
    7Coritiba1043311:10115
    8Atletico-MG1042414:12214
    9Bragantino1042410:10014
    10Botafogo RJ940516:19-312
    11Gremio1033414:14012
    12Vasco1033415:16-112
    13Internacional103349:10-112
    14Vitoria93249:14-511
    15Santos1024413:16-310
    16Corinthians102448:11-310
    17Chapecoense-SC915310:16-68
    18Remo1014510:17-77
    19Cruzeiro1014512:20-87
    20Mirassol913510:14-46

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet