Result
1:0
20/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 15
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (542/607) | 78% (247/317) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (542/607) | 78% (247/317) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 72% (43/60) | 37% (18/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (116/151) | 57% (26/46) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 80% (16/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.11 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Leo Pereira 🟨,
- 29', Allan 🟨,
- 34', Canobbio A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Wallace Yan ↓, Matheus Goncalves ↑,
- 60', Everton ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 64', Martinelli ↓, Hercules ↑,
- 64', Canobbio A. ↓, Serna K. ↑,
- 72', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Pedro ↑,
- 77', Everaldo ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
- 77', Lima ↓, Nonato ↑,
- 82', Danilo ↓, Vina M. ↑,
- 82', Allan ↓, Evertton Araujo ↑,
- 85', 1 - 0, Pedro ⚽, Leo Ortiz (A),
- 87', Pedro 🟨,
- 88', Ignacio ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Flamengo
54.3% | Draw
28.3% | Fluminense
17.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)The chances for Fluminense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Flamengo - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.65) |
3.37 ↓
(3.67) |
5.4 ↓
(5.42) |
4.9%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Flamengo - Fluminense?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Fluminense will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 53.8% – 96.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fluminense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Flamengo is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro
(Injury)
Ayrton Lucas
(Injury)
Bruno Henrique
(Yellow Cards)
Michael
(Ankle Injury)
Pedro
(Inactive)
Pulgar E.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Fluminense: Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Fluminense?
Flamengo has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Flamengo?
Fluminense has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Fluminense were as follows:
12.03.2025
Fluminense
-
Flamengo
1:2
08.02.2025
Fluminense
-
Flamengo
0:0
17.10.2024
Flamengo
-
Fluminense
0:2
23.06.2024
Fluminense
-
Flamengo
0:1
16.03.2024
Flamengo
-
Fluminense
0:0
Latest results of Flamengo
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29:6 | 23 | 33 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 27 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Internacional | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 19 |
| 13 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
| 18 | Juventude | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10:29 | -19 | 11 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7:23 | -16 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
