Result
11/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Fluminense 31% | Draw 29.9% | Flamengo 39.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+0.9%)The ML Model estimate for Flamengo aligns with the current prediction.
Fluminense - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.05 ↑ (2.86) |
3.14 ↓ (3.19) |
2.42 ↑ (2.42) |
6% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 2.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Flamengo?
Fluminense has won 6 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Fluminense?
Flamengo has won 8 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Flamengo were as follows:
08.03.2026
Fluminense
-
Flamengo
0:1
25.01.2026
Fluminense
-
Flamengo
2:1
19.11.2025
Fluminense
-
Flamengo
2:1
20.07.2025
Flamengo
-
Fluminense
1:0
12.03.2025
Fluminense
-
Flamengo
1:2
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Flamengo RJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Bahia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Gremio | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Vasco | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Internacional | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Santos | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Chapecoense-SC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | Remo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:20 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet