Flamengo vs Fluminense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Flamengo - Fluminense
Result
1:0
20/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 15
  • Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.590.22
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
89% (542/607)78% (247/317)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.590.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.200.11
Total shots
96
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
62
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
156
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
614
Passes
89% (542/607)78% (247/317)
Long passes
72% (43/60)37% (18/49)
Passes in final third
77% (116/151)57% (26/46)
Crosses
14% (3/22)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.370.19
Throw-ins
1516
Fouls
146
Tackles
50% (4/8)80% (16/20)
Duels won
3355
Clearances
1425
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.111.20
Goals prevented
0.110.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Leo Pereira 🟨,
  • 29', Allan 🟨,
  • 34', Canobbio A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Wallace Yan , Matheus Goncalves ,
  • 60', Everton , Juninho ,
  • 64', Martinelli , Hercules ,
  • 64', Canobbio A. , Serna K. ,
  • 72', de Arrascaeta G. , Pedro ,
  • 77', Everaldo , John Kennedy ,
  • 77', Lima , Nonato ,
  • 82', Danilo , Vina M. ,
  • 82', Allan , Evertton Araujo ,
  • 85', 1 - 0, Pedro , Leo Ortiz (A),
  • 87', Pedro 🟨,
  • 88', Ignacio , Soteldo Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Flamengo
54.3%
Draw
28.3%
Fluminense
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 25.6% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 25.1% 17%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • The chances for Fluminense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Flamengo - Fluminense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.65)
    3.37
    (3.67)
    5.4
    (5.42)
    4.9%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Flamengo - Fluminense?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Fluminense will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 53.8%96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fluminense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Flamengo is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro (Injury) Ayrton Lucas (Injury) Bruno Henrique (Yellow Cards) Michael (Ankle Injury) Pedro (Inactive) Pulgar E. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Fluminense: Otavio (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Fluminense were as follows:
    12.03.2025 Fluminense - Flamengo 1:2
    08.02.2025 Fluminense - Flamengo 0:0
    17.10.2024 Flamengo - Fluminense 0:2
    23.06.2024 Fluminense - Flamengo 0:1
    16.03.2024 Flamengo - Fluminense 0:0
    Latest results of Flamengo
    16.07.2025 Santos - Flamengo 1:0
    12.07.2025 Flamengo - São Paulo 2:0
    29.06.2025 Flamengo - Bayern Munich 2:4
    24.06.2025 Los Angeles - Flamengo 1:1
    20.06.2025 Flamengo - Chelsea 3:1
    Latest results of Fluminense
    17.07.2025 Fluminense - Cruzeiro 0:2
    13.07.2025 Mirassol - Fluminense Postponed
    08.07.2025 Fluminense - Chelsea 0:2
    04.07.2025 Fluminense - Al-Hilal 2:1
    30.06.2025 Inter Milan - Fluminense 0:2
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro16104227:91834
    2Flamengo RJ15103229:62333
    3Palmeiras1492318:12629
    4Bragantino1683519:17227
    5Botafogo RJ1474317:71025
    6Bahia1474317:13425
    7Mirassol1466223:131024
    8Fluminense1462616:17-120
    9Atletico-MG1455416:15120
    10Internacional1555516:19-320
    11Corinthians1655615:19-420
    12Sao Paulo1647515:18-319
    13Ceara1553714:15-118
    14Gremio1445514:20-617
    15Vitoria1637613:17-416
    16Vasco1442815:19-414
    17Santos1542913:19-614
    18Juventude1432910:29-1911
    19Fortaleza1425713:20-711
    20Sport Recife1404107:23-164

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet