Result
2:2
15/03/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 26
- Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Austria | Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Sportklub 10 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 10 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 5 |
Hungary | Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1, Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision, RCTI+ |
Japan | SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Montenegro | Sportklub 10 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | Sportklub 10 |
Norway | Viaplay |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect |
Poland | Viaplay |
Serbia | SportKlub 10 |
Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
Thailand | beIN Connect |
Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.24 | 2.65 |
Ball Possession |
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44% | 56% |
Goal Attempts |
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9 | 24 |
Shots on Goal |
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4 | 8 |
Shots off Goal |
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4 | 10 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 6 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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1 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
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6 | 20 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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6 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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7 | 7 |
Offsides |
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0 | 1 |
Fouls |
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7 | 7 |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 2 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Throw-ins |
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19 | 24 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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22 | 43 |
Passes |
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76% (287/378) | 81% (372/458) |
Passes in the final third |
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64% (70/109) | 74% (133/179) |
Crosses |
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20% (3/15) | 37% (13/35) |
Tackles |
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43% (3/7) | 71% (5/7) |
Clearances Total |
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37 | 24 |
Interceptions |
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11 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', Adamu J. 🟨,
- 28', Mwene P. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Burkardt J. ⚽, Caci A. (A),
- 43', Kohr D. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Adamu J. ↓, Gregoritsch M. ↑,
- 46', Mwene P. ↓, Hanche-Olsen A. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Gregoritsch M. ⚽, Gunter C. (A),
- 74', 2 - 1, Hanche-Olsen A. ⚽, Caci A. (A),
- 76', Eggestein M. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
- 76', Sildillia K. ↓, Kubler L. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 2, Kubler L. ⚽, Doan R. (A),
- 86', Grifo V. ↓, Beste J. ↑,
- 87', Holer L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mainz 49.2% | Draw 28% | Freiburg 22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Mainz - Freiburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.96 ↓ (1.99) |
3.43 ↑ (3.41) |
4.23 ↑ (3.96) |
3.7% (4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mainz - Freiburg?
Users Predictions:
Mainz will win
(27 of 29 users predict this - 93.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.88% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Mainz won 0.
- Mainz in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Freiburg is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Mainz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Mainz is a favorite.
- There will not play in Mainz: Bell S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Freiburg: Gulde M.
(Back Injury)
Kyereh D.
(Knee Injury)
Ogbus B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Mainz won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 29:23 (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Mainz won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:8 (average 1.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Freiburg?
Mainz has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Mainz?
Freiburg has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Freiburg were as follows:
03.11.2024
Freiburg
-
Mainz
0:0
21.04.2024
Freiburg
-
Mainz
1:1
03.12.2023
Mainz
-
Freiburg
0:1
19.03.2023
Mainz
-
Freiburg
1:1
01.10.2022
Freiburg
-
Mainz
2:1
Latest results of Freiburg
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga