Freiburg vs Mainz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
30/11/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 12
  • Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.330.11
Ball Possession
75%25%
Total shots
231
Shots on target
101
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
90% (644/719)70% (171/244)
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.330.11
xG on target (xGOT)
3.340.47
Total shots
231
Shots on target
101
Shots off target
70
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
160
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
447
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
129
Passes
90% (644/719)70% (171/244)
Long passes
66% (39/59)22% (12/54)
Passes in final third
78% (139/178)48% (19/40)
Crosses
42% (8/19)100% (2/2)
Expected assists (xA)
3.180.52
Throw-ins
2617
Fouls
912
Tackles
53% (9/17)50% (3/6)
Duels won
5623
Clearances
528
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.473.34
Goals prevented
0.47-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Kubler L. , Lienhart P. (A),
  • 26', 2 - 0, Grifo V. , Holer L. (A),
  • 28', Nebel P. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 50', 3 - 0, Manzambi J. , Suzuki Y. (A),
  • 53', Kawasaki S. 🟨,
  • 54', Nordin A. , Maloney L. ,
  • 65', Bell S. 🟨,
  • 68', Kubler L. , Gunter C. ,
  • 69', Suzuki Y. , Matanovic I. ,
  • 73', Bell S. , Hanche-Olsen A. ,
  • 73', Lee Jae-Sung , Boving W. ,
  • 73', Hollerbach B. , Sieb A. ,
  • 81', Beste J. , Scherhant D. ,
  • 81', Manzambi J. , Osterhage P. ,
  • 90', 4 - 0, Osterhage P. , Ginter M. (A),

Chances of winning


Freiburg
51.2%
Draw
27.3%
Mainz
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 27.4% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 27.2% 25.3%

Freiburg - Mainz Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.89
(2.02)
3.51
(3.48)
4.47
(3.75)
3.9%
(4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Freiburg - Mainz?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Freiburg (1.31) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (34 of 38 users predict this - 89.47%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.71%99.23%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Freiburg will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Freiburg has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Freiburg is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Dinkci E. (Muscle Injury) Irie C. (Illness) Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness) Makengo J. (Muscle Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Mainz: Amiri N. (Yellow Cards) Caci A. (Thigh Injury) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Kohr D. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Mainz: Zentner R. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Mainz were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Mainz - Freiburg 2:2
    03.11.2024 Freiburg - Mainz 0:0
    21.04.2024 Freiburg - Mainz 1:1
    03.12.2023 Mainz - Freiburg 0:1
    19.03.2023 Mainz - Freiburg 1:1
    Latest results of Freiburg
    27.11.2025 Viktoria Plzeň - Freiburg 0:0
    22.11.2025 Bayern Munich - Freiburg 6:2
    09.11.2025 Freiburg - St. Pauli 2:1
    06.11.2025 Nice - Freiburg 1:3
    01.11.2025 Union Berlin - Freiburg 0:0
    Latest results of Mainz
    21.11.2025 Mainz - Hoffenheim 1:1
    06.11.2025 Mainz - Fiorentina 2:1
    01.11.2025 Mainz - Werder Bremen 1:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich13121049:94037
    2RB Leipzig1392228:131529
    3Dortmund1384123:111228
    4Bayer Leverkusen1372428:19923
    5Hoffenheim1372425:19623
    6Stuttgart1371521:22-122
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1363428:29-121
    8FC Koln1344522:21116
    9Freiburg1344520:22-216
    10B. Monchengladbach1344517:19-216
    11Werder Bremen1344518:24-616
    12Union Berlin1343616:22-615
    13Hamburger SV1343614:20-615
    14Augsburg1341817:27-1013
    15Wolfsburg1333717:23-612
    16Heidenheim1332812:28-1611
    17St. Pauli1322911:25-148
    18Mainz1313911:24-136

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga