Result
3:1
30/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 6
- Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (246/322) | 82% (352/431) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (246/322) | 82% (352/431) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (20/50) | 48% (19/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (69/121) | 73% (95/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 47', 1 - 0, Raimondo A. ⚽,
- 52', 2 - 0, Raimondo A. ⚽, Calo G. (A),
- 56', 3 - 0, Ghedjemis F. ⚽, Kone B. L. (A),
- 57', Balde S. ↓, Magni V. ↑,
- 57', Ciofi A. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
- 62', Kvernadze G. 🟥,
- 66', Raimondo A. ↓, Vergani E. ↑,
- 66', Ghedjemis F. ↓, Cichella M. ↑,
- 66', Bisoli D. ↓, Frabotta G. ↑,
- 67', Bastoni S. ↓, Berti T. ↑,
- 70', Blesa J. ↓, Shpendi C. ↑,
- 73', Koutsoupias I. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
- 76', 3 - 1, Ciervo R. ⚽, Shpendi C. (A),
- 85', Adamo E. 🟨,
- 88', Palmisani L. 🟨,
- 90+5', Kone B. L. ↓, Ndow A. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/58u8jx87
Chances of winning
Frosinone
36.1% | Draw
30.2% | Cesena
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Frosinone have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Frosinone - Cesena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↑
(2.6) |
3.14 ↓
(3.2) |
2.79 ↑
(2.71) |
6%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Frosinone - Cesena?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Frosinone (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Frosinone (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Frosinone (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 1.
- Frosinone has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cesena is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Frosinone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Frosinone has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Frosinone: Barcella K.
(Inactive)
Biraschi D.
(Inactive)
Corrado N.
(Inactive)
Gori L.
(Inactive)
Hegelund V.
(Inactive)
Selvini A.
(Knee Injury)
Sherri A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cesena: Frabotta G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Frosinone won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Frosinone won against Cesena?
Frosinone has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Frosinone?
Cesena has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Frosinone - Cesena were as follows:
13.04.2025
Cesena
-
Frosinone
1:1
01.12.2024
Frosinone
-
Cesena
3:2
Latest results of Frosinone
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
