Result
0:1
05/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 China | K-Ball |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (415/479) | 77% (225/293) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (415/479) | 77% (225/293) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (22/45) | 35% (17/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (156/196) | 65% (62/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.70 | 0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Takahashi N. ↓, Noborizato K. ↑,
- 58', Miura G. ↓, Fukuoka S. ↑,
- 61', Abe S. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
- 61', Kurata S. ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
- 70', 0 - 1, Handa R. ⚽, Lavi N. (A),
- 73', Okuda H. ↓, Cools D. ↑,
- 73', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
- 73', Nakajima M. ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
- 79', Yamashita R. 🟨,
- 81', Yamashita R. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
- 81', Lavi N. ↓, Usami T. ↑,
- 84', Kagawa S. ↓, Kida H. ↑,
- 85', Tanaka S. ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
- 87', Hummet D. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
- 90', Handa R. 🟨,
- 90+5', Juan Alano 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cerezo Osaka
41% | Draw
26.9% | Gamba Osaka
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↓
(2.36) |
3.5 ↓
(3.64) |
2.9 ↑
(2.88) |
6.5%
(4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 3.
- Cerezo Osaka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Gamba Osaka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Cerezo Osaka will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y.
(Knee Injury)
Uejo S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Okunuki K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:17. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Gamba Osaka?
Cerezo Osaka has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Cerezo Osaka?
Gamba Osaka has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
14.02.2025
Gamba Osaka
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:5
02.10.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Gamba Osaka
1:0
06.05.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:0
28.10.2023
Cerezo Osaka
-
Gamba Osaka
1:0
18.06.2023
Cerezo Osaka
-
Gamba Osaka
0:1
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers ✔ | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 55:30 | 25 | 70 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 56:33 | 23 | 69 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 46:31 | 15 | 63 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 59:40 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 42:26 | 16 | 62 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 66:51 | 15 | 57 |
| 7 | Machida | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 49:36 | 13 | 57 |
| 8 | Gamba Osaka | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 49:53 | -4 | 54 |
| 9 | Urawa Reds | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 58:51 | 7 | 52 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 40:47 | -7 | 48 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 45 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 40:48 | -8 | 44 |
| 14 | Verdy | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Okayama | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 42 |
| 16 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 42:44 | -2 | 40 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 42:53 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC ✔ | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 24:43 | -19 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare ✔ | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 34:61 | -27 | 29 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata ✔ | 36 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 34:63 | -29 | 23 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Kashima Antlers is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Yokohama FC is Relegated to J2 League
Shonan Bellmare is Relegated to J2 League
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
