Cerezo Osaka vs Gamba Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka
Result
0:1
05/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
chinaChinaK-Ball
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
japanJapanDAZN Japan
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.551.59
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
87% (415/479)77% (225/293)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
2.551.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.750.30
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
3116
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
149
Passes
87% (415/479)77% (225/293)
Long passes
49% (22/45)35% (17/49)
Passes in final third
80% (156/196)65% (62/96)
Crosses
35% (8/23)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.430.85
Throw-ins
2422
Fouls
914
Tackles
67% (14/21)50% (4/8)
Duels won
5834
Clearances
1435
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.300.75
Goals prevented
-0.700.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Takahashi N. , Noborizato K. ,
  • 58', Miura G. , Fukuoka S. ,
  • 61', Abe S. , Suzuki T. ,
  • 61', Kurata S. , Juan Alano ,
  • 70', 0 - 1, Handa R. , Lavi N. (A),
  • 73', Okuda H. , Cools D. ,
  • 73', Thiago Andrade , Homma S. ,
  • 73', Nakajima M. , Shibayama M. ,
  • 79', Yamashita R. 🟨,
  • 81', Yamashita R. , Kishimoto T. ,
  • 81', Lavi N. , Usami T. ,
  • 84', Kagawa S. , Kida H. ,
  • 85', Tanaka S. , Sakata R. ,
  • 87', Hummet D. , Nakano S. ,
  • 90', Handa R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Juan Alano 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerezo Osaka
41%
Draw
26.9%
Gamba Osaka
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 26.3% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 25.9% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.36)
    3.5
    (3.64)
    2.9
    (2.88)
    6.5%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 3.
    • Cerezo Osaka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Gamba Osaka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cerezo Osaka will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Uejo S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Okunuki K. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:17. (average 1.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
    14.02.2025 Gamba Osaka - Cerezo Osaka 2:5
    02.10.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka 1:0
    06.05.2024 Gamba Osaka - Cerezo Osaka 1:0
    28.10.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka 1:0
    18.06.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka 0:1
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto27156647:301751
    2Kashima Antlers27163840:261451
    3Machida28155842:261650
    4Kashiwa Reysol27148540:271350
    5Vissel Kobe28155836:261050
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima28154933:191449
    7Urawa Reds27128738:30844
    8Kawasaki Frontale27119745:351042
    9Okayama271161026:23339
    10Cerezo Osaka27108941:38338
    11Avispa Fukuoka27910827:26137
    12Gamba Osaka281141333:40-737
    13Shimizu S-Pulse27881130:35-532
    14Verdy27871216:28-1231
    15FC Tokyo27861329:41-1230
    16Nagoya Grampus27771333:41-828
    17Yokohama F. Marinos27671426:34-825
    18Shonan Bellmare27671422:42-2025
    19Yokohama FC27641718:35-1722
    20Albirex Niigata27481527:47-2020

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