Result
0:1
05/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Australia | Optus Sport |
China | K-Ball |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.55 | 1.59 |
Ball Possession |
---|
62% | 38% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
87% (415/479) | 77% (225/293) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.55 | 1.59 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.75 | 0.30 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
31 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
87% (415/479) | 77% (225/293) |
Long passes |
---|
49% (22/45) | 35% (17/49) |
Passes in final third |
---|
80% (156/196) | 65% (62/96) |
Crosses |
---|
35% (8/23) | 38% (5/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.43 | 0.85 |
Throw-ins |
---|
24 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (14/21) | 50% (4/8) |
Duels won |
---|
58 | 34 |
Clearances |
---|
14 | 35 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.30 | 0.75 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.70 | 0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Takahashi N. ↓, Noborizato K. ↑,
- 58', Miura G. ↓, Fukuoka S. ↑,
- 61', Abe S. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
- 61', Kurata S. ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
- 70', 0 - 1, Handa R. ⚽, Lavi N. (A),
- 73', Okuda H. ↓, Cools D. ↑,
- 73', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
- 73', Nakajima M. ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
- 79', Yamashita R. 🟨,
- 81', Yamashita R. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
- 81', Lavi N. ↓, Usami T. ↑,
- 84', Kagawa S. ↓, Kida H. ↑,
- 85', Tanaka S. ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
- 87', Hummet D. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
- 90', Handa R. 🟨,
- 90+5', Juan Alano 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cerezo Osaka 41% | Draw 26.9% | Gamba Osaka 32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.31 ↓ (2.36) |
3.5 ↓ (3.64) |
2.9 ↑ (2.88) |
6.5% (4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 3.
- Cerezo Osaka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Gamba Osaka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Cerezo Osaka will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y.
(Knee Injury)
Uejo S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Okunuki K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:17. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Gamba Osaka?
Cerezo Osaka has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Cerezo Osaka?
Gamba Osaka has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
14.02.2025
Gamba Osaka
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:5
02.10.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Gamba Osaka
1:0
06.05.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:0
28.10.2023
Cerezo Osaka
-
Gamba Osaka
1:0
18.06.2023
Cerezo Osaka
-
Gamba Osaka
0:1
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 38 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 32 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League