Result
28/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.05 | 0.42 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
76% (247/327) | 80% (390/486) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.05 | 0.42 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.91 | 1.13 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
76% (247/327) | 80% (390/486) |
Long passes |
---|
37% (18/49) | 43% (25/58) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (84/125) | 68% (103/152) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (5/16) | 19% (3/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.01 | 0.73 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
59% (10/17) | 52% (11/21) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 56 |
Clearances |
---|
34 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
18 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.13 | 1.91 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.13 | -1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', Nakatani S. 🟨,
- 16', Yonemoto T. ↓, Hirato T. ↑,
- 17', 1 - 0, Marco Tulio ⚽, Hirato T. (A),
- 25', 2 - 0, Marco Tulio ⚽, Hirato T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Suzuki T. ↓, Lavi N. ↑,
- 46', Kurokawa K. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
- 46', Kishimoto T. 🟨,
- 52', 3 - 0, Fukuda S. ⚽, Marco Tulio (A),
- 66', Usami T. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
- 66', Welton ↓, Yamashita R. ↑,
- 66', Nagasawa S. ↓, Matsuda T. ↑,
- 66', Fukuda S. ↓, Sugai H. ↑,
- 79', Sato K. 🟨,
- 83', Mitsuta M. ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
- 84', Marco Tulio ↓, Patrick William ↑,
- 85', Fukuoka S. ↓, Asada S. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 1, Jebali I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Kyoto Sanga 35.1% | Draw 28.6% | Gamba Osaka 36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.7 ↑ (2.6) |
3.28 ↓ (3.34) |
2.6 ↓ (2.78) |
6% (4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 53.8% – 96.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Kyoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Meshino R.
(Inactive)
Okunuki K.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Gamba Osaka?
Kyoto Sanga has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Kyoto Sanga?
Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
29.04.2025
Gamba Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
2:1
22.09.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Gamba Osaka
2:2
03.04.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
0:0
08.07.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:0
24.05.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
0:1
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League