Result
28/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (247/327) | 80% (390/486) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (247/327) | 80% (390/486) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (18/49) | 43% (25/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (84/125) | 68% (103/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 52% (11/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', Nakatani S. 🟨,
- 16', Yonemoto T. ↓, Hirato T. ↑,
- 17', 1 - 0, Marco Tulio ⚽, Hirato T. (A),
- 25', 2 - 0, Marco Tulio ⚽, Hirato T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Suzuki T. ↓, Lavi N. ↑,
- 46', Kurokawa K. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
- 46', Kishimoto T. 🟨,
- 52', 3 - 0, Fukuda S. ⚽, Marco Tulio (A),
- 66', Usami T. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
- 66', Welton ↓, Yamashita R. ↑,
- 66', Nagasawa S. ↓, Matsuda T. ↑,
- 66', Fukuda S. ↓, Sugai H. ↑,
- 79', Sato K. 🟨,
- 83', Mitsuta M. ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
- 84', Marco Tulio ↓, Patrick William ↑,
- 85', Fukuoka S. ↓, Asada S. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 1, Jebali I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Kyoto Sanga
35.1% | Draw
28.6% | Gamba Osaka
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↑
(2.6) |
3.28 ↓
(3.34) |
2.6 ↓
(2.78) |
6%
(4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 53.8% – 96.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH -0.5 - Gamba Osaka (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Gamba Osaka (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Gamba Osaka (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Gamba Osaka (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Kyoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Meshino R.
(Inactive)
Okunuki K.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Gamba Osaka?
Kyoto Sanga has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Kyoto Sanga?
Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
29.04.2025
Gamba Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
2:1
22.09.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Gamba Osaka
2:2
03.04.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
0:0
08.07.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:0
24.05.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
0:1
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Verdy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Urawa Reds | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 5 | Machida | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 5 |
| 7 | Mito | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Chiba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 10 | Kashiwa Reysol | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 0 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 8 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 5 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 9 | Okayama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
