Result
28/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (247/327) | 80% (390/486) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (247/327) | 80% (390/486) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (18/49) | 43% (25/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (84/125) | 68% (103/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 52% (11/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', Nakatani S. 🟨,
- 16', Yonemoto T. ↓, Hirato T. ↑,
- 17', 1 - 0, Marco Tulio ⚽, Hirato T. (A),
- 25', 2 - 0, Marco Tulio ⚽, Hirato T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Suzuki T. ↓, Lavi N. ↑,
- 46', Kurokawa K. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
- 46', Kishimoto T. 🟨,
- 52', 3 - 0, Fukuda S. ⚽, Marco Tulio (A),
- 66', Usami T. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
- 66', Welton ↓, Yamashita R. ↑,
- 66', Nagasawa S. ↓, Matsuda T. ↑,
- 66', Fukuda S. ↓, Sugai H. ↑,
- 79', Sato K. 🟨,
- 83', Mitsuta M. ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
- 84', Marco Tulio ↓, Patrick William ↑,
- 85', Fukuoka S. ↓, Asada S. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 1, Jebali I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Kyoto Sanga
35.1% | Draw
28.6% | Gamba Osaka
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↑
(2.6) |
3.28 ↓
(3.34) |
2.6 ↓
(2.78) |
6%
(4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 53.8% – 96.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Kyoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Meshino R.
(Inactive)
Okunuki K.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Gamba Osaka?
Kyoto Sanga has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Kyoto Sanga?
Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
29.04.2025
Gamba Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
2:1
22.09.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Gamba Osaka
2:2
03.04.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
0:0
08.07.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:0
24.05.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
0:1
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 48:28 | 20 | 61 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 41:26 | 15 | 57 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:33 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 43:29 | 14 | 56 |
| 5 | Machida | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 47:33 | 14 | 52 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 35:21 | 14 | 52 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 55:40 | 15 | 51 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 39:32 | 7 | 48 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 42:45 | -3 | 46 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 48:45 | 3 | 43 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Okayama | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28:33 | -5 | 40 |
| 13 | FC Tokyo | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 33:42 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 30:35 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 36 |
| 16 | Verdy | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 20:35 | -15 | 35 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 20:36 | -16 | 28 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28:55 | -27 | 25 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 27:50 | -23 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
