Result
2:0
04/04/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (268/389) | 70% (249/354) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.42 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (268/389) | 70% (249/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (21/58) | 32% (17/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (121/177) | 66% (70/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 3.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Jebali I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 11', Welton 🟨,
- 13', 1 - 0, Hummet D. ⚽,
- 18', Sugai H. 🟨,
- 37', Matsuda T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Welton ↓, Meshino R. ↑,
- 46', Matsuda T. ↓, Honda F. ↑,
- 56', Arai H. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
- 61', Yoon S. ↓, Souza Alex ↑,
- 61', Okugawa M. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
- 65', Jebali I. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
- 74', Abe S. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
- 74', Hummet D. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 0, Meshino R. ⚽, Handa R. (A),
- 76', Sugai H. ↓, Hirato T. ↑,
- 84', Souza Alex 🟨,
- 85', Yamashita R. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gamba Osaka
40.1% | Draw
27.2% | Kyoto Sanga
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.33) |
3.45 ↓
(3.57) |
2.89 ↑
(2.86) |
6.1%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Kyoto will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 4% – 71%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Gamba Osaka (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Gamba Osaka has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Fukuoka S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ichimori J.
(Finger Injury)
Nakano S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Uenaka A.
(Knee Injury)
Usami T.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Kyoto: Fukuoka S.
(Knee Injury)
Rafael Elias
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Gamba Osaka: Sasaki S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Yokoi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Kyoto Sanga?
Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Gamba Osaka?
Kyoto Sanga has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
29.04.2025
Gamba Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
2:1
22.09.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Gamba Osaka
2:2
03.04.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
0:0
08.07.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:0
24.05.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
0:1
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 10 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Verdy | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 6 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Mito | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:18 | 10 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12:15 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | 8 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 22 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:13 | 17 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Kyoto | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:15 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:17 | 8 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
