Kyoto Sanga vs Gamba Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.42
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
76% (247/327)80% (390/486)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.911.13
Total shots
127
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2623
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
76% (247/327)80% (390/486)
Long passes
37% (18/49)43% (25/58)
Passes in final third
67% (84/125)68% (103/152)
Crosses
31% (5/16)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.73
Throw-ins
2321
Fouls
1010
Tackles
59% (10/17)52% (11/21)
Duels won
5356
Clearances
3423
Interceptions
185
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.131.91
Goals prevented
0.13-1.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', Nakatani S. 🟨,
  • 16', Yonemoto T. , Hirato T. ,
  • 17', 1 - 0, Marco Tulio , Hirato T. (A),
  • 25', 2 - 0, Marco Tulio , Hirato T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Suzuki T. , Lavi N. ,
  • 46', Kurokawa K. , Kishimoto T. ,
  • 46', Kishimoto T. 🟨,
  • 52', 3 - 0, Fukuda S. , Marco Tulio (A),
  • 66', Usami T. , Jebali I. ,
  • 66', Welton , Yamashita R. ,
  • 66', Nagasawa S. , Matsuda T. ,
  • 66', Fukuda S. , Sugai H. ,
  • 79', Sato K. 🟨,
  • 83', Mitsuta M. , Juan Alano ,
  • 84', Marco Tulio , Patrick William ,
  • 85', Fukuoka S. , Asada S. ,
  • 88', 3 - 1, Jebali I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kyoto Sanga
35.1%
Draw
28.6%
Gamba Osaka
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 28.7% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 28.9% 34.8%

Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.7
(2.6)
3.28
(3.34)
2.6
(2.78)
6%
(4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 53.8%96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Gamba Osaka (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Gamba Osaka (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Gamba Osaka (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Gamba Osaka (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Kyoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Meshino R. (Inactive) Okunuki K. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga 2:1
    22.09.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka 2:2
    03.04.2024 Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga 0:0
    08.07.2023 Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga 1:0
    24.05.2023 Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga 0:1
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    11.06.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Nara Club 1:0
    31.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo 3:0
    25.05.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga 1:0
    21.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka 1:4
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Mito000000:00
    2Verdy000000:00
    3Yokohama F. Marinos000000:00
    4Kawasaki Frontale000000:00
    5Kashiwa Reysol000000:00
    6Chiba000000:00
    7Urawa Reds000000:00
    8FC Tokyo000000:00
    9Kashima Antlers000000:00
    10Machida000000:00


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Avispa Fukuoka000000:00
    2Cerezo Osaka000000:00
    3Kyoto000000:00
    4Nagoya Grampus000000:00
    5Shimizu S-Pulse000000:00
    6Vissel Kobe000000:00
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima000000:00
    8Gamba Osaka000000:00
    9Okayama000000:00
    10V-Varen Nagasaki000000:00

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)