Result
1:1
07/03/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 25
- Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (268/351) | 81% (380/471) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 64% (45/70) | 60% (71/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 23% (3/13) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (19/27) | 58% (11/19) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Ruiz A. 🟨,
- 21', Chico Banza 🟨,
- 37', Cruz S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', Keliano M. 🟨,
- 58', Fujimoto K. ↓, Mboula J. ↑,
- 58', Marques J. ↓, Joao Teixeira ↑,
- 61', Ruiz A. ↓, Jovane ↑,
- 61', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
- 68', Chico Banza ↓, Kikas ↑,
- 68', Ferro ↓, Pantalon R. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 0, Jovane ⚽,
- 74', Aguirre J. ↓, Pablo ↑,
- 74', Mutombo J. ↓, Toure T. ↑,
- 79', Lopes M. ↓, Semeu ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Garcia S. ⚽,
- 87', Montoia G. 🟨,
- 87', Garcia S. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
- 89', Correia F. 🟨,
- 89', Rodrigo Pinho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Estrela da Amadora
34.4% | Draw
32.4% | Gil Vicente
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Estrela da Amadora - Gil Vicente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.66) |
2.92 ↓
(3.08) |
2.84 ↑
(2.81) |
5.8%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Estrela da Amadora - Gil Vicente?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estrela: 44.1% – 85.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 15).
- Recent matches Estrela is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Gil Vicente has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Gil Vicente could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Estrela: Amine
(Inactive)
Drame I.
(Injury)
Leo Cordeiro
(Injury)
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Sithole S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Estrela: Chico Banza
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Buatu J.
(Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Estrela won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Estrela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Gil Vicente?
Estrela da Amadora has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Estrela da Amadora?
Gil Vicente has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estrela da Amadora - Gil Vicente were as follows:
05.10.2024
Gil Vicente
-
Estrela da Amadora
3:0
18.05.2024
Estrela da Amadora
-
Gil Vicente
1:0
14.01.2024
Gil Vicente
-
Estrela da Amadora
1:1
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | Moreirense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Arouca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 8 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Tondela | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
