Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 8
- Referee: Torres M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (257/322) | 80% (323/404) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (257/322) | 80% (323/404) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (15/42) | 49% (28/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (73/108) | 68% (63/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 39% (11/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 2.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 24', Bernardo Schappo 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Pablo ⚽,
- 41', Chernev A. 🟨,
- 41', 2 - 0, Pablo (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Stoica I. ↓, Encada J. ↑,
- 55', da Silva Ventura A. 🟥,
- 59', Montoia G. ↓, Ryan Carlos ↑,
- 59', Chernev A. ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
- 60', Murilo de Souza ↓, Figueira Daniel ↑,
- 60', Fernandes J. ↓, Mutombo J. ↑,
- 67', Garcia S. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
- 67', Pablo ↓, Varela G. ↑,
- 72', Rodrigo Pinho ↓, Antonetti L. ↑,
- 84', Konan G. ↓, Espigares A. ↑,
- 84', Moreira P. ↓, Robinho ↑,
- 87', Figueira Daniel 🟨,
- 89', Ribeiro R. 🟨,
- 90', Varela G. (Pen),
- 90+1', Esteves L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gil Vicente
56.6% | Draw
26.1% | Estrela da Amadora
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gil Vicente's performance.Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gil Vicente that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Gil Vicente - Estrela da Amadora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.88) |
3.58 ↑
(3.27) |
5.46 ↑
(4.61) |
5.7%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gil Vicente - Estrela da Amadora?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Gil Vicente will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Estrela will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gil Vicente: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 12).
- Gil Vicente is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Estrela has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Estrela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Gil Vicente is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M.
(Inactive)
Carlos Eduardo
(Inactive)
Hevertton S.
(Red Card)
Toure T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Estrela: Ngom O.
(Red Card)
Robinho
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Estrela: Jovane
(Inactive)
Ni
(Injury)
Nilton
(Foot Injury)
Semeu
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gil Vicente won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Estrela da Amadora?
Gil Vicente has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Gil Vicente?
Estrela da Amadora has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gil Vicente - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
07.03.2025
Estrela da Amadora
-
Gil Vicente
1:1
05.10.2024
Gil Vicente
-
Estrela da Amadora
3:0
18.05.2024
Estrela da Amadora
-
Gil Vicente
1:0
14.01.2024
Gil Vicente
-
Estrela da Amadora
1:1
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
