Result
08/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Estrela da Amadora 20.7% | Draw 27.8% | Gil Vicente 51.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Estrela da Amadora - Gil Vicente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.5 ↑ (4.14) |
3.43 ↓ (3.51) |
1.84 ↓ (1.98) |
5.8% (3.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Gil Vicente is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estrela won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Gil Vicente?
Estrela da Amadora has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Estrela da Amadora?
Gil Vicente has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estrela da Amadora - Gil Vicente were as follows:
04.10.2025
Gil Vicente
-
Estrela da Amadora
2:0
07.03.2025
Estrela da Amadora
-
Gil Vicente
1:1
05.10.2024
Gil Vicente
-
Estrela da Amadora
3:0
18.05.2024
Estrela da Amadora
-
Gil Vicente
1:0
14.01.2024
Gil Vicente
-
Estrela da Amadora
1:1
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2