Result
0:2
09/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 1
- Referee: Silva D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (209/277) | 64% (126/198) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (209/277) | 64% (126/198) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (25/57) | 27% (17/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (36/73) | 44% (21/48) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 34% (11/32) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.17 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 35', 0 - 1, Pablo ⚽, Hevertton S. (A),
- 42', Bamba M. A. 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 2, Esteves L. ⚽, Fernandez M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hevertton S. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
- 46', Bamba M. A. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
- 63', Soares F. 🟨,
- 64', Caseres F. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 65', Soares F. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 73', Fernandez M. ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
- 73', Liziero ↓, Vallier L. ↑,
- 73', Jose Gomes ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
- 76', Ze Carlos 🟨,
- 77', da Silva Ventura A. 🟨,
- 82', Bermejo ↓, Varela G. ↑,
- 82', Ze Carlos 🟨,
- 90+3', Ulisses 🟨,
- 90+4', Pablo 🟨,
- 90+5', Ramirez J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Rodrigues R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nacional
35.5% | Draw
32.3% | Gil Vicente
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Nacional - Gil Vicente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.51) |
2.93 ↓
(3.18) |
2.93 ↑
(2.91) |
6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Nacional - Gil Vicente?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 1.
- Gil Vicente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Muscle Injury)
Fernandes I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Tchaptchet A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Gil Vicente?
Nacional has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Nacional?
Gil Vicente has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - Gil Vicente were as follows:
19.04.2025
Nacional
-
Gil Vicente
0:3
07.12.2024
Gil Vicente
-
Nacional
2:1
27.11.2022
Gil Vicente
-
Nacional
2:0
Latest results of Nacional
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 27:3 | 24 | 37 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32:7 | 25 | 32 |
| 3 | Benfica | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 26:8 | 18 | 29 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:6 | 10 | 23 |
| 5 | Braga | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 22 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21:20 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 | Alverca | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 17 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 11 | Santa Clara | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Estoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 22:21 | 1 | 14 |
| 13 | Estrela | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 9 |
| 16 | Tondela | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7:22 | -15 | 9 |
| 17 | Arouca | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14:37 | -23 | 9 |
| 18 | AFS | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9:31 | -22 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
