Result
0:2
09/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 1
- Referee: Silva D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.85 | 0.65 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
14 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
75% (209/277) | 64% (126/198) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 6 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.85 | 0.65 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.66 | 0.83 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
14 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
22 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 20 |
Passes |
---|
75% (209/277) | 64% (126/198) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (25/57) | 27% (17/63) |
Passes in final third |
---|
49% (36/73) | 44% (21/48) |
Crosses |
---|
34% (11/32) | 13% (2/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.99 | 0.21 |
Throw-ins |
---|
30 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
21 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (10/14) | 60% (6/10) |
Duels won |
---|
55 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
39 | 44 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.83 | 0.66 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.17 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 35', 0 - 1, Pablo ⚽, Hevertton S. (A),
- 42', Bamba M. A. 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 2, Esteves L. ⚽, Fernandez M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hevertton S. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
- 46', Bamba M. A. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
- 63', Soares F. 🟨,
- 64', Caseres F. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 65', Soares F. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 73', Fernandez M. ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
- 73', Liziero ↓, Vallier L. ↑,
- 73', Jose Gomes ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
- 76', Ze Carlos 🟨,
- 77', da Silva Ventura A. 🟨,
- 82', Bermejo ↓, Varela G. ↑,
- 82', Ze Carlos 🟨,
- 90+3', Ulisses 🟨,
- 90+4', Pablo 🟨,
- 90+5', Ramirez J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Rodrigues R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nacional 35.5% | Draw 32.3% | Gil Vicente 32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Nacional - Gil Vicente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.64 ↑ (2.51) |
2.93 ↓ (3.18) |
2.93 ↑ (2.91) |
6% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Nacional - Gil Vicente?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 1.
- Gil Vicente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Muscle Injury)
Fernandes I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Tchaptchet A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Gil Vicente?
Nacional has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Nacional?
Gil Vicente has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - Gil Vicente were as follows:
19.04.2025
Nacional
-
Gil Vicente
0:3
07.12.2024
Gil Vicente
-
Nacional
2:1
27.11.2022
Gil Vicente
-
Nacional
2:0
Latest results of Nacional
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 6 |
2 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
3 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
4 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
5 | Moreirense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
6 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
8 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
10 | Arouca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
11 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
14 | Nacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
16 | Tondela | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
17 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
18 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2