Result
2:2
20/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 15
- Referee: Rosa D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (312/366) | 80% (255/319) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (312/366) | 80% (255/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (27/42) | 45% (29/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (88/124) | 61% (28/46) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.08 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 39', 1 - 0, Murilo de Souza ⚽, Varela G. (A),
- 41', 1 - 1, Andre Luiz ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Fernandes J. 🟨,
- 58', Murilo de Souza ↓, Toure T. ↑,
- 58', Varela G. ↓, Pablo ↑,
- 66', 1 - 2, Espigares A. (Own goal),
- 74', Pohlmann O. ↓, Papakanellos A. ↑,
- 75', Fernandes J. ↓, Bermejo ↑,
- 79', Panzo J. 🟨,
- 83', Athanasiou N. ↓, Abbey N. ↑,
- 83', Ntoi A. ↓, Nikitscher T. ↑,
- 84', Esteves L. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 84', Ze Carlos ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
- 90+1', Hevertton S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Clayton 🟨,
- 90+2', Clayton ↓, Liavas G. ↑,
- 90+5', Rodrigues R. 🟨,
- 90+7', Nikitscher T. 🟨,
- 90+9', Nikitscher T. 🟨,
- 90+10', 2 - 2, Pablo ⚽,
- 90+11', Miszta C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gil Vicente
54.9% | Draw
26% | Rio Ave
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Gil Vicente - Rio Ave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.81) |
3.64 ↑
(3.49) |
4.97 ↑
(4.48) |
5.5%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gil Vicente - Rio Ave?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Gil Vicente will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gil Vicente: 35.2% – 92%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Gil Vicente (1.96) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +0.5 - Rio Ave (4.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gil Vicente will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Gil Vicente (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Rio Ave (votes: 3 - 37.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Gil Vicente is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M.
(Inactive)
Buatu J.
(International duty)
Konan G.
(International duty)
Pablo
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Bakoulas T.
(Knee Injury)
Rafael Lobato
(Inactive)
Richards O.
(Injury)
Vrousai M.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Moreira A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gil Vicente won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Rio Ave?
Gil Vicente has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Gil Vicente?
Rio Ave has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gil Vicente - Rio Ave were as follows:
16.05.2025
Rio Ave
-
Gil Vicente
1:1
06.01.2025
Gil Vicente
-
Rio Ave
1:1
06.04.2024
Rio Ave
-
Gil Vicente
3:0
12.11.2023
Gil Vicente
-
Rio Ave
1:1
12.03.2023
Rio Ave
-
Gil Vicente
2:1
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Latest results of Rio Ave
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
