Result
1:1
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 12
- Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.78 | 0.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (211/314) | 71% (222/312) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.78 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 48 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (211/314) | 71% (222/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (33/74) | 26% (15/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (102/169) | 47% (34/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (13/51) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 67 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 2.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.98 | 1.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', Martin J. 🟨,
- 60', Young L. 🟨,
- 61', Martin J. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
- 68', Bickerstaff J. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
- 71', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
- 81', Williams J. ↓, Dack B. ↑,
- 81', Vokes S. ↓, Wyllie M. ↑,
- 87', 0 - 1, Sherring S. ⚽,
- 88', Clark M. ↓, Cirino L. ↑,
- 90', Archer E. ↓, Kinsella L. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Nevitt E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gillingham
59.3% | Draw
25.9% | Cheltenham Town
14.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+1%)
Gillingham - Cheltenham Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.55) |
3.61 ↓
(3.86) |
6.52 ↑
(5.8) |
6.3%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gillingham - Cheltenham Town?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 29 - 85.3%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 3 - 8.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gillingham: 73.4% – 97.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 4 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gillingham will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 0.
- Gillingham has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cheltenham has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Gillingham is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Gillingham: Andrews J.
(Yellow Cards)
Masterson C.
(Calf Injury)
Williams E.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Cundy R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Thomas J.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Little A.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Cheltenham: Mazionis J.
(Injury)
Walters C.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Cheltenham Town?
Gillingham has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Gillingham?
Cheltenham Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
18.04.2025
Cheltenham Town
-
Gillingham
1:1
20.12.2024
Gillingham
-
Cheltenham Town
2:2
Latest results of Gillingham
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Salford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Notts Co | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | Barnet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Crewe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Bromley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Colchester | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | Barrow | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 20 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 11 |
| 23 | Crawley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 24 | Newport | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
