Gillingham vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Gillingham - Cheltenham Town
Result
1:1
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 12
  • Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.780.86
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
3011
Shots on target
101
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
112
Passes
67% (211/314)71% (222/312)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.780.86
xG on target (xGOT)
2.540.02
Total shots
3011
Shots on target
101
Shots off target
106
Blocked Shots
104
Shots inside the Box
227
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
22
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
112
Touches in opposition box
4811
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
67% (211/314)71% (222/312)
Long passes
45% (33/74)26% (15/58)
Passes in final third
60% (102/169)47% (34/73)
Crosses
25% (13/51)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.410.52
Throw-ins
2619
Fouls
1013
Tackles
67% (6/9)64% (9/14)
Duels won
6554
Clearances
1567
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
09
xGOT faced
0.022.54
Goals prevented
-0.981.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', Martin J. 🟨,
  • 60', Young L. 🟨,
  • 61', Martin J. , Thomas J. ,
  • 68', Bickerstaff J. , Taylor T. ,
  • 71', Palmer-Houlden S. , Nevitt E. ,
  • 81', Williams J. , Dack B. ,
  • 81', Vokes S. , Wyllie M. ,
  • 87', 0 - 1, Sherring S. ,
  • 88', Clark M. , Cirino L. ,
  • 90', Archer E. , Kinsella L. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Nevitt E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gillingham
59.3%
Draw
25.9%
Cheltenham Town
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.9% 24.1% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8% 23.7% 15.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Gillingham - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.55)
    3.61
    (3.86)
    6.52
    (5.8)
    6.3%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Gillingham - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 29 - 85.3%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 3 - 8.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gillingham: 73.4%97.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gillingham will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 0.
    • Gillingham has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cheltenham has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Gillingham is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Andrews J. (Yellow Cards) Masterson C. (Calf Injury) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Hamstring Injury) Cundy R. (Hamstring Injury) Thomas J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Little A. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Cheltenham: Mazionis J. (Injury) Walters C. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    18.04.2025 Cheltenham Town - Gillingham 1:1
    20.12.2024 Gillingham - Cheltenham Town 2:2
    Latest results of Gillingham
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League