Result
0:1
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 46
- Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (357/437) | 66% (155/234) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (357/437) | 66% (155/234) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (26/55) | 25% (15/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (89/141) | 44% (22/50) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (10/22) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', 0 - 1, Rowe A. ⚽, Williams E. (A),
- 57', Smith N. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
- 57', Croasdale R. ↓, Richards R. ↑,
- 62', Williams E. ↓, Dack B. ↑,
- 62', Morgan J. ↓, Coleman E. ↑,
- 63', Corness D. ↓, Khumbeni N. ↑,
- 67', Hutton R. 🟨,
- 69', Rowe A. ↓, Ogie S. ↑,
- 77', Walters R. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
- 77', Curtis R. ↓, Harper R. ↑,
- 81', Clark M. 🟨,
- 81', Agbinone A. ↓, Andrews J. ↑,
- 84', Headley J. ↓, Shorrock J. ↑,
- 86', McKenzie R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Port Vale
63.8% | Draw
22.6% | Gillingham
13.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Port Vale - Gillingham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.59) |
4.15 ↑
(3.85) |
6.82 ↑
(5.52) |
5.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Port Vale - Gillingham?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Gillingham will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 39.2% – 89.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Gillingham (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Gillingham (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 17).
- Port Vale is Qualified for League One
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 2.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- In this match, Port Vale is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Port Vale: Garrity B.
(Injury)
Heneghan B.
(Inactive)
Kyle John
(Inactive)
Sang T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Gillingham: Andrews J.
(Knee Injury)
Gbode J.
(Red Card)
Williams J.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Port Vale: Hart S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Ehmer M.
(Inactive)
Hawkins O.
(Injury)
Little A.
(Injury)
Nevitt E.
(Injury)
Smith A.
(Injury)
Williams E.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Gillingham?
Port Vale has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Port Vale?
Gillingham has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Gillingham were as follows:
09.11.2024
Gillingham
-
Port Vale
1:0
Latest results of Port Vale
Latest results of Gillingham
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
