Port Vale vs Gillingham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Vale Park (Stoke on Trent).

League Two - Round 46
Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.31	0.23
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
13	7
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
7	0
Passes
82% (357/437)	66% (155/234)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31	0.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.33	0.14
Total shots
13	7
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
8	2
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
7	0
Touches in opposition box
36	5
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
17	11
Passes
82% (357/437)	66% (155/234)
Long passes
47% (26/55)	25% (15/60)
Passes in final third
63% (89/141)	44% (22/50)
Crosses
45% (10/22)	29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.47	0.22
Throw-ins
26	22
Fouls
11	17
Tackles
40% (6/15)	67% (14/21)
Duels won
65	52
Clearances
10	43
Interceptions
8	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.14	0.33
Goals prevented
-0.86	0.33

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Rowe A. ⚽, Williams E. (A),
57', Smith N. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
57', Croasdale R. ↓, Richards R. ↑,
62', Williams E. ↓, Dack B. ↑,
62', Morgan J. ↓, Coleman E. ↑,
63', Corness D. ↓, Khumbeni N. ↑,
67', Hutton R. 🟨,
69', Rowe A. ↓, Ogie S. ↑,
77', Walters R. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
77', Curtis R. ↓, Harper R. ↑,
81', Clark M. 🟨,
81', Agbinone A. ↓, Andrews J. ↑,
84', Headley J. ↓, Shorrock J. ↑,
86', McKenzie R. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Port Vale
63.8%

Draw
22.6%

Gillingham
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

24.3%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

23.6%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Port Vale - Gillingham Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.59)	4.15 ↑ (3.85)	6.82 ↑ (5.52)	5.9% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Port Vale - Gillingham?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Gillingham will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - Gillingham (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Gillingham (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 17).
Port Vale is Qualified for League One
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 2.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
In this match, Port Vale is the team to beat.
There will not play in Port Vale: Garrity B. (Injury) Heneghan B. (Inactive) Kyle John (Inactive) Sang T. (Injury)
There will not play in Gillingham: Andrews J. (Knee Injury) Gbode J. (Red Card) Williams J. (Red Card)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Hart S. (Injury)
There are questionable in Gillingham: Ehmer M. (Inactive) Hawkins O. (Injury) Little A. (Injury) Nevitt E. (Injury) Smith A. (Injury) Williams E. (Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Gillingham?

Port Vale has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Port Vale?

Gillingham has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Gillingham were as follows:

09.11.2024 Gillingham - Port Vale 1:0

Latest results of Port Vale

26.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale 0:2 ✺

21.04.2025 Port Vale - Grimsby Town 2:2 ✺

18.04.2025 Carlisle United - Port Vale 3:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Port Vale - Bromley 5:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Walsall - Port Vale 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Gillingham

26.04.2025 Gillingham - Swindon Town 1:1 ✺

21.04.2025 Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon 1:0 ✺

18.04.2025 Cheltenham Town - Gillingham 1:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0 ✺

08.04.2025 Chesterfield - Gillingham 1:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League