Walsall vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
05/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 41
  • Referee: Smith L. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.271.75
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
59% (167/285)69% (252/367)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
2.271.75
xG on target (xGOT)
2.001.46
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2525
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1216
Passes
59% (167/285)69% (252/367)
Long passes
31% (26/85)34% (26/76)
Passes in final third
52% (59/113)46% (60/131)
Crosses
22% (5/23)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.550.55
Fouls
1612
Tackles
45% (5/11)33% (5/15)
Duels won
6180
Clearances Total
3951
Interceptions
311
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.462.00
Goals prevented
-1.540.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 3)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Tolaj L. ,
  • 7', 1 - 1, Allen T. (Pen),
  • 11', 2 - 1, Amantchi L. , McEntee O. (A),
  • 30', Tolaj L. 🟨,
  • 32', Gordon L. 🟨,
  • 36', Kyle John , Hart S. ,
  • 41', 2 - 2, Garrity B. , Tolaj L. (A),
  • 44', Asiimwe N. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 3, Tolaj L. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Asiimwe N. , Barrett C. ,
  • 46', Weir E. , Hall G. ,
  • 55', Hart S. 🟨,
  • 72', Stockley J. , Curtis R. ,
  • 74', Matt J. , Wheatley E. ,
  • 74', Jellis J. , Adomah A. ,
  • 77', Okagbue D. 🟨,
  • 85', Amantchi L. , Johnson D. ,
  • 86', Walters R. , Byers G. ,
  • 86', Tolaj L. , Hackford A. ,
  • 89', McEntee O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Walsall
40.1%
Draw
30.9%
Port Vale
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 27.4% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 28% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Walsall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Walsall - Port Vale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.1)
    3.04
    (3.41)
    3.25
    (3.33)
    6.3%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Walsall - Port Vale?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Walsall (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Walsall (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Port Vale (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Walsall (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Port Vale (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Walsall won 5.
    • Recent matches Walsall is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Port Vale is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Walsall could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Port Vale have a series of home games.
    • Walsall will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Walsall: Earing J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G. (Inactive) Headley J. (Muscle Injury) Heneghan B. (Inactive) Kyle John (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Walsall: Farquharson P. (Thigh Injury) Gordon J. (Hamstring Injury) Harrison E. (Injury) Wheatley E. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Sang T. (Injury)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Walsall won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 28:18 (average 1.6:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Walsall won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Walsall - Port Vale were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Port Vale - Walsall 0:1
    Latest results of Walsall
    01.04.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Walsall 2:2
    29.03.2025 Walsall - AFC Wimbledon 1:1
    22.03.2025 Gillingham - Walsall 0:0
    13.03.2025 Bromley - Walsall 2:2
    08.03.2025 Walsall - Grimsby Town 1:3
    Latest results of Port Vale
    01.04.2025 Port Vale - Bradford City 2:0
    25.03.2025 Port Vale - Barrow 0:1
    22.03.2025 Port Vale - Morecambe 1:0
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One