Result
2:0
29/11/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 17
- Referee: Krasny S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 23% | 77% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 27 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (128/202) | 85% (574/679) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 27 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 15 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 51 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (128/202) | 85% (574/679) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 20% (8/41) | 40% (23/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 42% (19/45) | 77% (182/236) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 16% (5/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 54 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Zrelak A. ⚽, Galan B. (A),
- 12', Kuusk M. ↓, Rogala G. ↑,
- 37', 2 - 0, Nowak B. ⚽, Zrelak A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Molnar R. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
- 46', Greenwood S. ↓, Juwara M. ↑,
- 46', Kowalczyk M. ↓, Lukasiak K. ↑,
- 64', Mendy B. ↓, Koutris L. ↑,
- 65', Markovic E. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
- 65', Zrelak A. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑,
- 70', Grosicki K. ↓, Paryzek P. ↑,
- 75', Bieganski J. ↓, Pozo J. ↑,
- 88', Czerwinski A. ↓, Brod A. ↑,
Chances of winning
GKS Katowice
33.9% | Draw
26.4% | Pogoń Szczecin
39.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GKS Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
GKS Katowice - Pogoń Szczecin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↑
(2.55) |
3.59 ↑
(3.04) |
2.39 ↓
(2.5) |
5.6%
(12.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for GKS Katowice - Pogoń Szczecin?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. GKS Katowice will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GKS Katowice: 17% – 68.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Pogoń Szczecin (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Pogoń Szczecin (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pogoń Szczecin will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11).
- GKS Katowice is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Pogoń Szczecin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Pogoń Szczecin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in GKS Katowice: Marzec M.
(Inactive)
Paluszek A.
(Knee Injury)
Wasielewski M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges
(Foot Injury)
Loncar D.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, GKS Katowice won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has GKS Katowice won against Pogoń Szczecin?
GKS Katowice has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against GKS Katowice?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between GKS Katowice - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
25.06.2025
Pogoń Szczecin
-
GKS Katowice
1:0
06.04.2025
Pogoń Szczecin
-
GKS Katowice
4:0
27.09.2024
GKS Katowice
-
Pogoń Szczecin
3:1
Latest results of GKS Katowice
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zaglebie | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 41 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:32 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42:36 | 6 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 38 |
| 5 | Rakow | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Motor Lublin | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 41:37 | 4 | 33 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 33 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 30:29 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 49:47 | 2 | 31 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 25:41 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Legia | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 29 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 28 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
