Result
1:1
06/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 1
- Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (325/404) | 78% (316/405) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (325/404) | 78% (316/405) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (30/55) | 34% (21/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (64/101) | 54% (53/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/15) | 33% (7/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.61 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 77% (17/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 64 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', Judson 🟨,
- 14', 0 - 1, Jean Irmer ⚽,
- 20', Cesar Martins 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 1, Hygor ⚽,
- 32', Dantas 🟨,
- 35', Cesar Martins ↓, Rafael Donato ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Judson ↓, Gustavo Barreto ↑,
- 52', Joao Vitor 🟨,
- 60', Cleber ↓, Alef Manga ↑,
- 63', Waguininho ↓, Pablo Dyego ↑,
- 64', Luis Oyama ↓, Marlon ↑,
- 76', Dantas ↓, Renato ↑,
- 77', Robson ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
- 79', Joao Vitor ↓, Gaspar ↑,
- 80', Marlon 🟨,
- 81', Gaspar 🟨,
- 84', Hygor ↓, Vagner Love ↑,
- 90+1', Alef Manga 🟨,
Chances of winning
Avaí
38.5% | Draw
31.2% | Grêmio Novorizontino
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Avaí - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.35) |
2.97 ↓
(3.22) |
3.1 ↑
(3) |
7.3%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Recently Novorizontino have a series of guest games.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Lucca
(Injury)
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Avaí won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Avaí won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Avaí has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Avaí?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
22.10.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Avaí
2:0
08.07.2024
Avaí
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:1
11.09.2023
Avaí
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:0
23.05.2023
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Avaí
2:0
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 36 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 34 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 17:16 | 1 | 27 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 24 |
| 10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | CRB | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | America MG | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
| 17 | Paysandu PA | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
