Result
1:1
03/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (426/512) | 72% (241/337) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.85 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.72 | 1.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
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| 6 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 18 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (426/512) | 72% (241/337) |
| Long passes |
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| 61% (53/87) | 40% (25/62) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 71% (101/143) | 55% (42/77) |
| Crosses |
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| 7% (2/30) | 12% (3/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
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| 55 | 42 |
| Clearances |
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| 28 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
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| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.75 | 2.72 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.75 | 1.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', Patrick Brey 🟨,
- 8', Hygor ↓, Mario Sergio ↑,
- 26', 1 - 0, Dantas ⚽,
- 32', 1 - 1, Mario Sergio ⚽,
- 45+3', Fabio Matheus 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Willian Farias 🟨,
- 59', Willian Farias ↓, Jean Irmer ↑,
- 59', Airton ↓, Leo Natel ↑,
- 60', Cleber 🟨,
- 66', JP ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
- 66', Cleber ↓, Alef Manga ↑,
- 69', Dantas ↓, Matheus Frizzo ↑,
- 69', Fabio Matheus ↓, Romulo ↑,
- 77', Emerson Negueba ↓, Jamerson ↑,
- 77', Marquinhos Gabriel ↓, Leo Reis ↑,
- 77', Rodrigo Soares ↓, Rai Ramos ↑,
- 84', Jamerson 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio Novorizontino
43.8% | Draw
31.6% | Avaí
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(1.97) |
2.96 ↓
(3.1) |
3.8 ↓
(3.9) |
7.1%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Avaí (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Grêmio Novorizontino will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Grêmio Novorizontino will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 3 - 75%). Avaí (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 8).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Avaí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Novorizontino is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Nathan Fogaca
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Inactive)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Avaí: Quaresma
(Injury)
Railan
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Novorizontino: Waguininho
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Avaí?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Avaí has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí were as follows:
06.04.2025
Avaí
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:1
22.10.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Avaí
2:0
08.07.2024
Avaí
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:1
11.09.2023
Avaí
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:0
23.05.2023
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Avaí
2:0
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Avai | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Botafogo SP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Nautico | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Ceara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Vila Nova FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Londrina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Criciuma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | CRB | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Novorizontino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Cuiaba | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Ponte Preta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | America MG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Juventude | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Atletico GO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
