Result
1:1
03/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (426/512) | 72% (241/337) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.72 | 1.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (426/512) | 72% (241/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (53/87) | 40% (25/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (101/143) | 55% (42/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (2/30) | 12% (3/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.75 | 2.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', Patrick Brey 🟨,
- 8', Hygor ↓, Mario Sergio ↑,
- 26', 1 - 0, Dantas ⚽,
- 32', 1 - 1, Mario Sergio ⚽,
- 45+3', Fabio Matheus 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Willian Farias 🟨,
- 59', Willian Farias ↓, Jean Irmer ↑,
- 59', Airton ↓, Leo Natel ↑,
- 60', Cleber 🟨,
- 66', JP ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
- 66', Cleber ↓, Alef Manga ↑,
- 69', Dantas ↓, Matheus Frizzo ↑,
- 69', Fabio Matheus ↓, Romulo ↑,
- 77', Emerson Negueba ↓, Jamerson ↑,
- 77', Marquinhos Gabriel ↓, Leo Reis ↑,
- 77', Rodrigo Soares ↓, Rai Ramos ↑,
- 84', Jamerson 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio Novorizontino
43.8% | Draw
31.6% | Avaí
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(1.97) |
2.96 ↓
(3.1) |
3.8 ↓
(3.9) |
7.1%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Grêmio Novorizontino will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 8).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Avaí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Novorizontino is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Nathan Fogaca
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Inactive)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Avaí: Quaresma
(Injury)
Railan
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Novorizontino: Waguininho
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Avaí?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Avaí has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí were as follows:
06.04.2025
Avaí
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:1
22.10.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Avaí
2:0
08.07.2024
Avaí
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:1
11.09.2023
Avaí
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:0
23.05.2023
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Avaí
2:0
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Criciuma | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 36:21 | 15 | 49 |
| 2 | Goias | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 49 |
| 3 | Coritiba | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:19 | 9 | 47 |
| 4 | Novorizontino | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 31:25 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:36 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Chapecoense-SC | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 41 |
| 8 | Atletico GO | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | CRB | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 31:26 | 5 | 40 |
| 10 | Avai | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 36:30 | 6 | 40 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 31:27 | 4 | 39 |
| 12 | Remo | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:26 | 3 | 39 |
| 13 | Vila Nova FC | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 28:30 | -2 | 37 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | America MG | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:34 | -7 | 30 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 18:29 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 24:42 | -18 | 29 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 27 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 21:33 | -12 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
