Grêmio Novorizontino vs Avaí – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí
Result
1:1
03/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.850.98
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
83% (426/512)72% (241/337)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.850.98
xG on target (xGOT)
2.721.75
Total shots
198
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
60
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
2215
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
187
Passes
83% (426/512)72% (241/337)
Long passes
61% (53/87)40% (25/62)
Passes in final third
71% (101/143)55% (42/77)
Crosses
7% (2/30)12% (3/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.33
Throw-ins
2626
Fouls
718
Tackles
75% (6/8)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5542
Clearances
2837
Interceptions
1211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
56
xGOT faced
1.752.72
Goals prevented
0.751.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', Patrick Brey 🟨,
  • 8', Hygor , Mario Sergio ,
  • 26', 1 - 0, Dantas ,
  • 32', 1 - 1, Mario Sergio ,
  • 45+3', Fabio Matheus 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Willian Farias 🟨,
  • 59', Willian Farias , Jean Irmer ,
  • 59', Airton , Leo Natel ,
  • 60', Cleber 🟨,
  • 66', JP , Joao Vitor ,
  • 66', Cleber , Alef Manga ,
  • 69', Dantas , Matheus Frizzo ,
  • 69', Fabio Matheus , Romulo ,
  • 77', Emerson Negueba , Jamerson ,
  • 77', Marquinhos Gabriel , Leo Reis ,
  • 77', Rodrigo Soares , Rai Ramos ,
  • 84', Jamerson 🟨,

Chances of winning


Grêmio Novorizontino
43.8%
Draw
31.6%
Avaí
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 29.7% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 28.4% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.97)
    2.96
    (3.1)
    3.8
    (3.9)
    7.1%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Grêmio Novorizontino will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 8).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Avaí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Novorizontino is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Novorizontino: Nathan Fogaca (Inactive) Renato Palm (Inactive) Vitinho (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Avaí: Quaresma (Injury) Railan (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Novorizontino: Waguininho (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Avaí - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:1
    22.10.2024 Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí 2:0
    08.07.2024 Avaí - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:1
    11.09.2023 Avaí - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:0
    23.05.2023 Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí 2:0
    Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
    Latest results of Avaí
    28.07.2025 Avaí - Botafogo SP 5:0
    24.07.2025 Remo - Avaí 2:1
    19.07.2025 Avaí - Vila Nova 1:1
    14.07.2025 Athletic Club - Avaí 4:0
    05.07.2025 Avaí - Paysandu 0:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias24135631:23844
    2Coritiba24127524:16843
    3Chapecoense-SC24125736:221441
    4Criciuma24116731:211039
    5Novorizontino2499626:23336
    6Remo24811524:21335
    7CRB241041026:22434
    8Vila Nova FC241041024:24034
    9Cuiaba2497829:29034
    10Operario-PR2496926:23333
    11Athletico-PR2496931:33-233
    12Avai2489730:25533
    13Ferroviaria24710727:26131
    14Atletico GO24710726:26031
    15Athletic Club24841226:33-728
    16Botafogo SP24771020:33-1328
    17America MG24741325:32-725
    18Amazonas24591025:34-924
    19Volta Redonda24581114:26-1223
    20Paysandu PA24491120:29-921

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )