Result
0:1
30/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 10
- Referee: Belence P. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (261/336) | 81% (244/301) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (261/336) | 81% (244/301) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (15/42) | 38% (22/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (105/158) | 66% (51/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (9/42) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 66 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | 1.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', Joao Vieira 🟨,
- 30', Igor Henrique 🟥,
- 37', Nathan Fogaca 🟨,
- 40', Patrick 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Jean Irmer ⚽,
- 45+4', Labandeira F. 🟨,
- 45+5', Matheus Frizzo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Labandeira F. ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
- 58', Luis Oyama ↓, Willian Farias ↑,
- 58', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Pablo Dyego ↑,
- 69', Waguininho 🟥,
- 71', Jean Mota ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
- 71', Junior Todinho ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 75', Joao Vieira ↓, Miticov ↑,
- 85', Jean Irmer 🟨,
- 87', Willian Formiga ↓, Gustavo Paje ↑,
- 88', Marlon ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
- 90', Airton 🟨,
- 90+5', Rodrigo Soares ↓, Igor Formiga ↑,
- 90+5', Nathan Fogaca ↓, Lucca ↑,
- 90+6', Fabio Matheus 🟨,
- 90+7', Pablo Dyego 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vila Nova
40.1% | Draw
33.3% | Grêmio Novorizontino
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grêmio Novorizontino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio Novorizontino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vila Nova - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↓
(2.52) |
2.81 ↓
(3.09) |
3.52 ↑
(2.86) |
6.3%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Grêmio Novorizontino?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42.8% – 90.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Arilson
(Inactive)
Davis E.
(Knee Injury)
Diego Torres
(Red Card)
Emerson Urso
(Inactive)
Igor Henrique
(Inactive)
Jean Mota
(Inactive)
Labandeira F.
(Inactive)
Marcondes
(Knee Injury)
Mauricio Kozlinski
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Airton
(Inactive)
Cesar Martins
(Injury)
Dantas
(Yellow Cards)
Leo Natel
(Inactive)
Leo Tocantins
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Inactive)
Robson
(Injury)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vila Nova: Lucas Sena
(Inactive)
Tiago Pagnussat
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Vila Nova has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Vila Nova?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
31.08.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Vila Nova
2:0
14.05.2024
Vila Nova
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
2:1
30.07.2023
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Vila Nova
3:1
15.04.2023
Vila Nova
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
2:1
Latest results of Vila Nova
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 36 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 33 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 8 | Vila Nova FC | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15:16 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 | Athletico-PR | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | CRB | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 22 |
| 12 | Atletico GO | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | America MG | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 | Operario-PR | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
| 16 | Paysandu PA | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
| 17 | Ferroviaria | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
