Grêmio Novorizontino vs Vila Nova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Novo Horizonte).

Serie B Superbet - Round 29
Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.81	0.28
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
17	3
Shots on target
5	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
9	1
Passes
82% (356/432)	68% (176/258)
Yellow Cards
2	5
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81	0.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.35	0.62
Total shots
17	3
Shots on target
5	1
Shots off target
5	1
Blocked Shots
7	1
Shots inside the Box
9	2
Shots outside the Box
8	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
9	1
Touches in opposition box
37	2
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
16	21
Passes
82% (356/432)	68% (176/258)
Long passes
63% (35/56)	24% (14/59)
Passes in final third
70% (112/161)	38% (22/58)
Crosses
30% (12/40)	29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.56	0.12
Throw-ins
21	23
Fouls
21	16
Tackles
100% (8/8)	62% (8/13)
Duels won
44	48
Clearances
16	37
Interceptions
5	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
0	4
xGOT faced
0.62	1.35
Goals prevented
-0.38	0.35

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Junior Todinho ⚽, Gabriel Poveda (A),
22', Robson 🟨,
41', Dodo 🟨,
43', Gabriel Poveda 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Romulo ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
46', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
46', Bruno Xavier ↓, Ralf ↑,
49', Junior Todinho 🟨,
67', Dodo ↓, Guilherme Parede ↑,
67', Junior Todinho ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
68', Igor Henrique 🟨,
69', Bruno Jose ↓, Nathan Fogaca ↑,
69', Willian Farias ↓, Waguininho ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Waguininho ⚽, Robson (A),
82', Ruiz O. 🟨,
82', Mayk ↓, Leo Tocantins ↑,
82', Nathan Fogaca ↓, Airton ↑,
87', Willian Formiga 🟨,
88', Igor Henrique ↓, Gustavo Paje ↑,

Chances of winning

Grêmio Novorizontino
46.9%

Draw
31.9%

Vila Nova
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

28.9%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

27.9%

19.7%

Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.82)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	4.74 ↑ (4.54)	-5.4% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 23.1% – 88.1%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 3.
Novorizontino is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Vila Nova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Vila Nova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Novorizontino is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Novorizontino: Caio Dantas (Inactive) Fabio Matheus (Red Card) Jordi (Inactive) Marlon (Inactive) Patrick (Yellow Cards) Renato Palm (Knee Injury) Vitinho (Inactive)
There will not play in Vila Nova: Andre Luis (Inactive) Arilson (Inactive) Higor (Yellow Cards) Tiago Pagnussat (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Novorizontino: Cesar Martins (Injury) Jean Irmer (Inactive) Waguininho (Inactive)
There are questionable in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso (Injury) Willian Formiga (Inactive)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Vila Nova?

Grêmio Novorizontino has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Grêmio Novorizontino?

Vila Nova has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova were as follows:

30.05.2025 Vila Nova - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:1

31.08.2024 Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova 2:0

14.05.2024 Vila Nova - Grêmio Novorizontino 2:1

30.07.2023 Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova 3:1

15.04.2023 Vila Nova - Grêmio Novorizontino 2:1

Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino

23.09.2025 Paysandu - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:1 ✺

19.09.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Athletic Club 1:0 ✺

15.09.2025 Ferroviária - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:2 ✺

08.09.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense 1:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Grêmio Novorizontino 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Vila Nova

24.09.2025 Vila Nova - Cuiabá 2:2 ✺

21.09.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Vila Nova 2:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Vila Nova - Remo 1:1 ✺

08.09.2025 Vila Nova - Athletic Club 1:1 ✺

01.09.2025 Chapecoense - Vila Nova 2:2 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coritiba	38	19	11	8	39:23	16	68
2	Athletico-PR	38	19	8	11	53:43	10	65
3	Chapecoense-SC	38	18	8	12	52:35	17	62
4	Remo	38	16	14	8	51:39	12	62
5	Criciuma	38	17	10	11	47:33	14	61
6	Goias	38	17	10	11	42:37	5	61
7	Novorizontino	38	15	15	8	43:32	11	60
8	CRB	38	16	8	14	45:40	5	56
9	Avai	38	14	14	10	50:40	10	56
10	Cuiaba	38	14	12	12	43:44	-1	54
11	Atletico GO	38	13	13	12	39:38	1	52
12	Operario-PR	38	12	12	14	40:44	-4	48
13	Vila Nova FC	38	11	14	13	40:44	-4	47
14	America MG	38	12	10	16	41:44	-3	46
15	Athletic Club	38	12	8	18	43:53	-10	44
16	Botafogo SP	38	10	12	16	32:52	-20	42
17	Ferroviaria	38	8	16	14	43:52	-9	40
18	Amazonas	38	8	12	18	38:55	-17	36
19	Volta Redonda	38	8	12	18	26:43	-17	36
20	Paysandu PA	38	5	13	20	36:52	-16	28

Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )