Result
0:3
02/05/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (452/539) | 79% (306/385) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (452/539) | 79% (306/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 37% (16/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (121/175) | 68% (71/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/29) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.99 | 1.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Fernandez D. ⚽, Manzur A. (A),
- 39', Fernandez D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 58', Echeguren Zarza F. A. ↓, Galeano F. ↑,
- 58', Sandoval H. ↓, Ferreira B. ↑,
- 65', Silva A. 🟨,
- 70', Espinola J. ↓, Garay C. ↑,
- 70', Silva A. ↓, Hernan Perez ↑,
- 72', Mendieta W. ↓, Ibarrola W. ↑,
- 76', Fernandez F. ↓, Torales Richard ↑,
- 76', Fernandez D. ↓, Maiz A. ↑,
- 78', Gayoso H. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 2, Manzur A. ⚽,
- 86', Manzur A. ↓, Cespedes V. ↑,
- 86', Perez D. ↓, Alfonso O. ↑,
- 90+3', 0 - 3, Torales Richard ⚽, Cantero A. (A),
Chances of winning
Deportivo Recoleta
32.1% | Draw
30.3% | Guaraní Asuncion
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Deportivo Recoleta - Guaraní Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.53) |
3.04 ↓
(3.18) |
2.47 ↓
(2.6) |
7.8%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta - Guaraní Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 and 2).
- Recoleta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Guaraní is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Guaraní may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Recoleta - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
21.02.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Deportivo Recoleta
1:3
14.10.2023
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Deportivo Recoleta
2:0
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Sp. Luqueno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Recoleta | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Olimpia Asuncion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Guarani | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 de Mayo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Ameliano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Atl. Tembetary | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
| 12 | General Caballero JLM | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
