Result
3:1
18/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Mendez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 3 |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.19 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (215/301) | 81% (309/383) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 0.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (215/301) | 81% (309/383) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (26/63) | 49% (24/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (75/121) | 68% (67/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (11/28) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.22 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (20/28) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.11 | 2.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.89 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 41', 0 - 1, Espinola J. ⚽, Rios P. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Romero N. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Llano J. ⚽, Rodriguez D. (A),
- 56', 2 - 1, Fernandez F. ⚽, Fernandez D. (A),
- 61', Lopez M. ↓, Manzur A. ↑,
- 65', Tanda P. 🟨,
- 65', Parzajuk K. ↓, Wlk A. ↑,
- 71', Fernandez F. ↓, Torales R. ↑,
- 71', Tanda P. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
- 77', Lopez H. ↓, Masi M. ↑,
- 77', Baez W. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
- 77', Echeguren Zarza F. A. ↓, Figueredo C. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 1, Barbotte A. ⚽,
- 84', 🟨,
- 85', Llano J. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Guaraní Asuncion
48.7% | Draw
27.7% | Deportivo Recoleta
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.79) |
3.34 ↓
(3.42) |
3.91 ↓
(4.24) |
8.3%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Recoleta will win (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 6).
- Guaraní is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Recoleta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recoleta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Guaraní is the team to beat.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta were as follows:
18.10.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Deportivo Recoleta
2:1
04.08.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:3
02.05.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Guaraní Asuncion
0:3
21.02.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Deportivo Recoleta
1:3
14.10.2023
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Deportivo Recoleta
2:0
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Guarani | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10:33 | -23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
