Result
2:1
18/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (307/399) | 72% (234/327) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (307/399) | 72% (234/327) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (20/51) | 31% (20/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (93/151) | 60% (58/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Falcon J. ⚽, Baez W. (A),
- 22', Falcon J. 🟨,
- 40', Cardozo L. 🟥,
- 43', 1 - 1, Ramirez I. (Pen),
- 45', Falcon J. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', 2 - 1, Fernandez F. ⚽,
- 70', Espinola J. 🟨,
- 70', Baez W. ↓, Sandoval H. ↑,
- 70', Schupp M. ↓, Echeguren Zarza F. A. ↑,
- 73', Silva A. 🟨,
- 73', Fernandez F. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
- 74', Rodriguez D. ↓, Mino Amarilla C. E. ↑,
- 76', Ramirez I. 🟨,
- 88', Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
- 88', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Maiz A. ↑,
- 88', Vargas S. ↓, Gayoso H. ↑,
- 88', Gonzalez L. ↓, Torres I. ↑,
- 90+4', Barbotte A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guaraní Asuncion
56.2% | Draw
24.7% | Deportivo Recoleta
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.62) |
3.79 ↓
(3.94) |
5 ↑
(4.95) |
6.8%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Recoleta (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 6).
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Recoleta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Guaraní is the team to beat.
- We predict that Guaraní will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta were as follows:
04.08.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:3
02.05.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Guaraní Asuncion
0:3
21.02.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Deportivo Recoleta
1:3
14.10.2023
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Deportivo Recoleta
2:0
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 36:15 | 21 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 27:17 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 24 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | General Caballero JLM | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 9 | Olimpia Asuncion | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18:18 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 15 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
