Deportivo Recoleta vs Guaraní Asuncion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division Deportivo Recoleta - Guaraní Asuncion
Result
0:3
02/05/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.061.23
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
2016
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
123
Passes
84% (452/539)79% (306/385)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.061.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.201.01
Total shots
2016
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
91
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
99
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
123
Touches in opposition box
3114
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
88
Passes
84% (452/539)79% (306/385)
Long passes
51% (25/49)37% (16/43)
Passes in final third
69% (121/175)68% (71/104)
Crosses
21% (6/29)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.67
Throw-ins
2913
Fouls
88
Tackles
70% (7/10)82% (14/17)
Duels won
4148
Clearances
1346
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
1.011.20
Goals prevented
-1.991.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Fernandez D. , Manzur A. (A),
  • 39', Fernandez D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 58', Echeguren Zarza F. A. , Galeano F. ,
  • 58', Sandoval H. , Ferreira B. ,
  • 65', Silva A. 🟨,
  • 70', Espinola J. , Garay C. ,
  • 70', Silva A. , Hernan Perez ,
  • 72', Mendieta W. , Ibarrola W. ,
  • 76', Fernandez F. , Torales Richard ,
  • 76', Fernandez D. , Maiz A. ,
  • 78', Gayoso H. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 81', 0 - 2, Manzur A. ,
  • 86', Manzur A. , Cespedes V. ,
  • 86', Perez D. , Alfonso O. ,
  • 90+3', 0 - 3, Torales Richard , Cantero A. (A),

Chances of winning


Deportivo Recoleta
32.1%
Draw
30.3%
Guaraní Asuncion
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 28.7% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 29.3% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Deportivo Recoleta - Guaraní Asuncion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.9
    (2.53)
    3.04
    (3.18)
    2.47
    (2.6)
    7.8%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta - Guaraní Asuncion?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 and 2).
    • Recoleta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Guaraní is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Guaraní may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Recoleta - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
    21.02.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta 1:3
    14.10.2023 Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta 2:0
    Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Trinidense32108:537
    2Cerro Porteno32104:137
    3Sp. Luqueno32103:037
    4Nacional Asuncion32103:127
    5Recoleta32018:716
    6Olimpia Asuncion31117:614
    7Guarani31113:214
    82 de Mayo31112:3-14
    9Ameliano31022:4-23
    10Libertad Asuncion30120:2-21
    11Atl. Tembetary30033:7-40
    12General Caballero JLM30031:6-50

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