Result
01/03/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Nacional Asuncion
42.8% | Draw
28.9% | Guaraní Asuncion
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.33) |
3.2 ↑
(3.16) |
3.25 ↑
(3.08) |
7.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 2.
- Nacional is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Guaraní has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Guaraní may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Nacional Asuncion has won 7 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Nacional Asuncion?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 6 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
14.11.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
0:4
21.09.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:0
12.07.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:0
26.04.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:1
15.02.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:2
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Ameliano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Cerro Porteno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Guarani | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 2 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
