Result
2:0
21/09/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (247/347) | 66% (212/319) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (247/347) | 66% (212/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (21/54) | 34% (29/85) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (38/76) | 55% (63/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 24% (6/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Gutierrez T. 🟨,
- 24', Arrua C. 🟨,
- 32', Canete Torres A. D. ↓, Franco F. ↑,
- 45+7', Maiz A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 59', Cabanas V. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
- 63', Valdez I. ↓, Prieto R. ↑,
- 63', Arrua C. ↓, Benitez H. ↑,
- 67', 🟨,
- 78', 🟨,
- 78', 🟥,
- 78', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 78', 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Guaraní Asuncion
33.1% | Draw
29.3% | Nacional Asuncion
37.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guaraní Asuncion's form might have worsened.Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.28) |
3.16 ↓
(3.3) |
2.5 ↓
(2.7) |
7.3%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Guaraní has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Nacional Asuncion?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Nacional Asuncion has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
12.07.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:0
26.04.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:1
15.02.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:2
29.11.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
0:0
20.11.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:1
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 36:15 | 21 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 27:17 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 24 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | General Caballero JLM | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 9 | Olimpia Asuncion | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18:18 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 15 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
