Result
1:1
01/03/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.83 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (307/398) | 75% (265/354) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (307/398) | 75% (265/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (33/73) | 50% (33/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (61/102) | 54% (57/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 5% (1/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (17/22) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
- 10', Espinola C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 0, Santa C. R. ⚽, Valdez I. (A),
- 57', Fernandez D. ↓, Torales R. ↑,
- 57', Lopez M. ↓, Fernandez F. ↑,
- 78', Manzur A. 🟨,
- 81', Ramirez I. ↓, Mino Amarilla C. E. ↑,
- 81', Perez D. ↓, Jhon Sanchez ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Torales R. ⚽, Zaracho S. (A),
- 88', Manzur A. 🟨,
- 89', Rodriguez D. ↓, Llano J. ↑,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+2', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nacional Asuncion
38.8% | Draw
30% | Guaraní Asuncion
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.33) |
3.11 ↓
(3.16) |
2.99 ↓
(3.08) |
6.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Nacional will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Nacional Asuncion has won 7 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Nacional Asuncion?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 6 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
14.11.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
0:4
21.09.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:0
12.07.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:0
26.04.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:1
15.02.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:2
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Guarani | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10:33 | -23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
