Result
1:0
12/07/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 2
- Referee: Benitez D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (282/390) | 75% (314/418) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (282/390) | 75% (314/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (26/74) | 36% (19/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (61/110) | 52% (47/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 50% (11/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Prieto R. 🟨,
- 26', Franco F. 🟨,
- 38', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Bailone I. 🟨,
- 57', Mendieta W. 🟨,
- 60', Jara F. ↓, Santacruz J. ↑,
- 60', Arrua C. ↓, Benitez H. ↑,
- 60', Prieto R. ↓, Valdez I. ↑,
- 60', Mendieta W. ↓, Torales R. ↑,
- 61', Maidana A. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
- 69', Servin T. ↓, Riveros P. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 0, Benitez H. ⚽, Gaona Lugo O. (A),
- 84', Gomez G. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
- 86', Gaona Lugo O. ↓, Canete Torres A. D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nacional Asuncion
44.7% | Draw
31.3% | Guaraní Asuncion
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(1.97) |
2.97 ↓
(3.1) |
3.86 ↓
(4.04) |
8.3%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Nacional is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Nacional Asuncion has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Nacional Asuncion?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
26.04.2025
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:1
15.02.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
1:2
29.11.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
0:0
20.11.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Guaraní Asuncion
2:1
16.09.2024
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Nacional Asuncion
0:0
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Sp. Luqueno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Recoleta | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Olimpia Asuncion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Guarani | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 de Mayo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Ameliano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Atl. Tembetary | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
| 12 | General Caballero JLM | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
