Marsaxlokk vs Hamrun Spartans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Maltese Premier League Marsaxlokk - Hamrun Spartans
Result
0:1
30/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Second stage - Top 6 - Round 16
  • Referee: Spiteri M. (Mlt)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
125
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
107
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
74
Corner Kicks
125
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Raphael Lopes ,
  • 43', Camenzuli R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Elionay 🟨,
  • 61', Mbong J. 🟨,
  • 64', Adamec M. , Quitongo J. ,
  • 71', Prsa R. , Letherby D. ,
  • 72', Aguirre L. 🟨,
  • 76', Mihana R. , Menacho C. ,
  • 82', Scicluna R. , Bonnici D. ,
  • 84', Xerri S. , Eder ,
  • 84', Cadjenovic J. , Mayron ,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90+1', Pena E. , Portelli N. ,

Chances of winning


Marsaxlokk
32.8%
Draw
28.5%
Hamrun Spartans
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 29.8% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6% 28.9% 40.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Hamrun Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Marsaxlokk - Hamrun Spartans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (3)
    3.22
    (3.07)
    2.38
    (2.31)
    8.9%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Marsaxlokk - Hamrun Spartans?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hamrun (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Hamrun Spartans will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches Marsaxlokk won 2.
    • Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
    • Recently, opponents had a set of guest games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12 (average 1:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams, Marsaxlokk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8 (average 0.3:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marsaxlokk - Hamrun Spartans were as follows:
    05.01.2025 Marsaxlokk - Hamrun Spartans 1:6
    02.11.2024 Hamrun Spartans - Marsaxlokk 2:3
    16.03.2024 Hamrun Spartans - Marsaxlokk 1:2
    25.11.2023 Marsaxlokk - Hamrun Spartans 0:1
    16.12.2022 Marsaxlokk - Hamrun Spartans 0:1
    Latest results of Marsaxlokk
    27.04.2025 Birkirkara - Marsaxlokk 1:1
    12.04.2025 Floriana - Marsaxlokk 2:1
    04.04.2025 Mosta - Marsaxlokk 0:4
    30.03.2025 Melita - Marsaxlokk 0:5
    Latest results of Hamrun Spartans
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SliemaBirkirkara0 : 1
    2FlorianaHamrun0 : 1

    Final
    1BirkirkaraHamrun0 : 1

    3rd place
    2SliemaFloriana0 : 4