Result
11/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Marsaxlokk
17.9% | Draw
24.3% | Hamrun Spartans
57.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marsaxlokk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hamrun Spartans's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Marsaxlokk - Hamrun Spartans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.08 ↑
(4.15) |
3.75 ↑
(3.45) |
1.57 ↓
(1.72) |
9.9%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Hamrun is a strong favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marsaxlokk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:11. (average 0.2:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Marsaxlokk won against Hamrun Spartans?
Marsaxlokk has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hamrun Spartans won against Marsaxlokk?
Hamrun Spartans has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marsaxlokk - Hamrun Spartans were as follows:
23.02.2026
Hamrun Spartans
-
Marsaxlokk
2:0
14.12.2025
Hamrun Spartans
-
Marsaxlokk
1:3
23.09.2025
Marsaxlokk
-
Hamrun Spartans
0:2
30.04.2025
Marsaxlokk
-
Hamrun Spartans
0:1
05.01.2025
Marsaxlokk
-
Hamrun Spartans
1:6
Latest results of Marsaxlokk
Latest results of Hamrun Spartans
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 20:7 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | Hamrun | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:4 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 19 |
| 4 | Naxxar | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:18 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Valletta | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Gzira | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Sliema | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | Birkirkara | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | Zabbar | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Tarxien | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 6 |
| 12 | Mosta | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7:24 | -17 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )
