Result
2:0
23/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', Corbalan J. C. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 0, Eleke B. ⚽,
- 63', Polito V. 🟨,
- 67', Carboni M. ↓, Attard S. ↑,
- 68', Simkus D. ↓, Christie-Davies I. ↑,
- 71', Attard S. 🟨,
- 72', Bjelicic O. ↓, Ederson ↑,
- 72', Eleke B. ↓, Jonny ↑,
- 79', Mbong J. 🟨,
- 80', Arias U. ↓, Kirby J. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 0, Mbong J. ⚽,
- 81', 🟨,
- 85', Linden R. ↓, Attard E. ↑,
- 85', Dodo ↓, Mihana R. ↑,
- 86', Pepe E. 🟨,
- 87', Mbong J. ↓, El Fanis M. ↑,
- 88', Garcia M. ↓, Serber K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hamrun Spartans
55.3% | Draw
26.2% | Marsaxlokk
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamrun Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Marsaxlokk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Hamrun Spartans - Marsaxlokk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.6) |
3.46 ↓
(3.6) |
4.9 ↑
(4.75) |
10.2%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hamrun Spartans - Marsaxlokk?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hamrun (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Hamrun Spartans will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 3.
- Hamrun has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Marsaxlokk is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hamrun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hamrun is a strong favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hamrun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Hamrun Spartans won against Marsaxlokk?
Hamrun Spartans has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marsaxlokk won against Hamrun Spartans?
Marsaxlokk has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hamrun Spartans - Marsaxlokk were as follows:
14.12.2025
Hamrun Spartans
-
Marsaxlokk
1:3
23.09.2025
Marsaxlokk
-
Hamrun Spartans
0:2
30.04.2025
Marsaxlokk
-
Hamrun Spartans
0:1
05.01.2025
Marsaxlokk
-
Hamrun Spartans
1:6
02.11.2024
Hamrun Spartans
-
Marsaxlokk
2:3
Latest results of Hamrun Spartans
Latest results of Marsaxlokk
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:4 | 12 | 20 |
| 2 | Hamrun | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 14 |
| 4 | Gzira | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Naxxar | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 | Valletta | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:4 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Sliema | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Birkirkara | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Zabbar | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 | Tarxien | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
| 12 | Mosta | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1:16 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )
