Result
0:2
23/09/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 6
- Referee: Barbara I. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Emerson 🟨,
- 45+1', Corbalan J. C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Letherby D. ↓, El Fanis M. ↑,
- 46', Rafael Compri ↓, Hadzi M. ↑,
- 70', 🟨,
- 84', 0 - 1, El Fanis M. ⚽,
- 90', 0 - 2, Koffi N. (Pen),
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Marsaxlokk
31.9% | Draw
27% | Hamrun Spartans
41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Hamrun Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Marsaxlokk - Hamrun Spartans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.91 ↓
(3) |
3.43 ↓
(3.45) |
2.26 ↑
(2.02) |
7.7%
(11.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Marsaxlokk - Hamrun Spartans?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Hamrun will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 2.
- In recent matches, Marsaxlokk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hamrun is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Hamrun could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marsaxlokk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.3:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Marsaxlokk won against Hamrun Spartans?
Marsaxlokk has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hamrun Spartans won against Marsaxlokk?
Hamrun Spartans has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marsaxlokk - Hamrun Spartans were as follows:
30.04.2025
Marsaxlokk
-
Hamrun Spartans
0:1
05.01.2025
Marsaxlokk
-
Hamrun Spartans
1:6
02.11.2024
Hamrun Spartans
-
Marsaxlokk
2:3
16.03.2024
Hamrun Spartans
-
Marsaxlokk
1:2
25.11.2023
Marsaxlokk
-
Hamrun Spartans
0:1
Latest results of Marsaxlokk
Latest results of Hamrun Spartans
Maltese Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hibernians | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:9 | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Floriana | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Valletta | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Hamrun | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Sliema | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Birkirkara | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Marsaxlokk | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Tarxien | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 9 | Mosta | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
| 10 | Zabbar | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Gzira | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 | Naxxar | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )
