Harrogate Town vs Crawley Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Harrogate Town - Crawley Town
Result
0:1
06/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 7
  • Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.991.16
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
69% (217/313)65% (220/336)
Yellow Cards
15
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.991.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.801.44
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
84
Shots inside the Box
148
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
2915
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1318
Passes
69% (217/313)65% (220/336)
Long passes
36% (27/74)29% (23/80)
Passes in final third
60% (74/124)46% (50/108)
Crosses
23% (5/22)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.73
Throw-ins
2418
Fouls
1814
Tackles
71% (12/17)69% (11/16)
Duels won
6470
Clearances
3730
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
1.440.80
Goals prevented
0.440.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 42', 0 - 1, Brown R. , Pereira D. (A),
  • 45+3', Barker C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Adeyemo A. , Forster H. ,
  • 66', Loft R. 🟨,
  • 66', Scott K. , Holohan G. ,
  • 76', Pereira D. , Malone S. ,
  • 76', Bajrami G. , Anderson M. ,
  • 78', McCoulsky S. , Muldoon J. ,
  • 78', Taylor E. , McAleny C. ,
  • 79', Conroy D. 🟨,
  • 81', Morris B. , Fox B. ,
  • 82', Brown R. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Loft R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', McKirdy H. , Tshimanga K. ,
  • 90+6', Burrell W. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Harrogate Town
35.1%
Draw
27.7%
Crawley Town
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 27.6% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 26.8% 33%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harrogate Town's form might have worsened.
  • Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crawley Town's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Harrogate Town - Crawley Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.32)
    3.37
    (3.39)
    2.53
    (2.91)
    6.8%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Crawley Town?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Crawley will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Harrogate: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Harrogate (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 22).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 0.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Harrogate: Gibson L. (Inactive) Thomson G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Harrogate: Sutton L. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Crawley Town were as follows:
    09.03.2024 Harrogate Town - Crawley Town 1:2
    25.11.2023 Crawley Town - Harrogate Town 2:1
    11.03.2023 Crawley Town - Harrogate Town 3:1
    Latest results of Harrogate Town
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1181217:9825
    2Swindon1180322:13924
    3Grimsby1163223:131021
    4Gillingham1163217:10721
    5Salford1161417:15219
    6MK Dons1153319:12718
    7Cambridge Utd1153314:10418
    8Chesterfield1153320:19118
    9Notts Co1152420:13717
    10Barnet1152414:12217
    11Bristol Rovers1152413:13017
    12Crewe1051414:11316
    13Bromley1136217:15215
    14Fleetwood1143415:16-115
    15Oldham1135310:9114
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow114169:12-313
    18Tranmere1025316:15111
    19Colchester1125416:16011
    20Accrington102357:13-69
    21Crawley112279:20-118
    22Cheltenham112186:24-187
    23Shrewsbury111377:20-136
    24Newport1112810:21-115

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League