Result
0:1
06/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 7
- Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (217/313) | 65% (220/336) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (217/313) | 65% (220/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (27/74) | 29% (23/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (74/124) | 46% (50/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 42', 0 - 1, Brown R. ⚽, Pereira D. (A),
- 45+3', Barker C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Adeyemo A. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
- 66', Loft R. 🟨,
- 66', Scott K. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
- 76', Pereira D. ↓, Malone S. ↑,
- 76', Bajrami G. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
- 78', McCoulsky S. ↓, Muldoon J. ↑,
- 78', Taylor E. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
- 79', Conroy D. 🟨,
- 81', Morris B. ↓, Fox B. ↑,
- 82', Brown R. 🟨,
- 90+1', Loft R. 🟨,
- 90+5', McKirdy H. ↓, Tshimanga K. ↑,
- 90+6', Burrell W. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Harrogate Town
35.1% | Draw
27.7% | Crawley Town
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harrogate Town's form might have worsened.Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crawley Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Harrogate Town - Crawley Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.66 ↑
(2.32) |
3.37 ↓
(3.39) |
2.53 ↓
(2.91) |
6.8%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Crawley Town?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Crawley will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harrogate: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Harrogate (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 22).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 0.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Harrogate: Gibson L.
(Inactive)
Thomson G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Sutton L.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Crawley Town?
Harrogate Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Harrogate Town?
Crawley Town has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Crawley Town were as follows:
09.03.2024
Harrogate Town
-
Crawley Town
1:2
25.11.2023
Crawley Town
-
Harrogate Town
2:1
11.03.2023
Crawley Town
-
Harrogate Town
3:1
Latest results of Harrogate Town
Latest results of Crawley Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 26 |
| 3 | Salford | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 4 | MK Dons | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:15 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:18 | 9 | 24 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24:21 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | Crewe | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 22 |
| 10 | Fleetwood | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
| 11 | Bromley | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 21 |
| 12 | Barnet | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 13 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 21 |
| 14 | Colchester | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 18 |
| 15 | Barrow | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14:25 | -11 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 21:19 | 2 | 15 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 |
| 20 | Cheltenham | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | 14 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 13 |
| 22 | Accrington | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:16 | -4 | 12 |
| 23 | Crawley | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 12 |
| 24 | Newport | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
