Result
2:1
25/04/2026 at 15:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 11
- Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Teleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (411/478) | 79% (235/298) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (411/478) | 79% (235/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 37% (15/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (118/144) | 52% (39/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 25 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 2.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | 0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', Aguas A. 🟨,
- 28', 0 - 1, Arrieta S. ⚽, Portocarrero S. (A),
- 31', Nazareno L. 🟨,
- 33', Arrieta S. ↓, Solano C. ↑,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Perello M. ⚽, Reasco D. (A),
- 45+9', Mendez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Velasco A. ↓, Carabajal M. ↑,
- 46', Perello M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 1, Reasco D. ⚽,
- 53', Aguas A. ↓, Pepinos E. ↑,
- 53', Cabeza J. ↓, Caramuto M. ↑,
- 68', Mendez J. ↓, Alcivar J. ↑,
- 68', Espinoza J. ↓, Romero Padilla D. A. ↑,
- 77', Papa J. 🟨,
- 85', Pazmino D. ↓, De La Cruz M. ↑,
- 85', Solano C. ↓, Caicedo Nestor ↑,
- 85', Pata E. ↓, Guagua D. ↑,
- 90+5', Anangono J. 🟨,
- 90+7', Arroyo R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente del Valle
75.6% | Draw
17.1% | Leones del Norte
7.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Leones del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Independiente del Valle - Leones del Norte Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.22 ↓
(1.25) |
5.43 ↑
(4.97) |
12.68 ↑
(11.55) |
8.1%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - Leones del Norte?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Leones del Norte will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- Ind del Valle is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Leones del Norte has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Leones del Norte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ind del Valle is the clear favorite.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Leones del Norte?
Independiente del Valle has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leones del Norte won against Independiente del Valle?
Leones del Norte has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Leones del Norte were as follows:
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Latest results of Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:5 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Aucas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 19 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Guayaquil City | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Mushuc Runa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Macara | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | LDU Quito | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Dep. Cuenca | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 10 | Emelec | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Orense | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Delfin | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4:6 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Leones del Norte | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Libertad | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Manta | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3:13 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
