Result
3:3
07/09/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.61 | 2.90 |
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
79% (271/342) | 84% (294/350) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.61 | 2.90 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.52 | 2.00 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 10 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
12 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
79% (271/342) | 84% (294/350) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (22/50) | 59% (32/54) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (50/71) | 70% (72/103) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (3/9) | 25% (5/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.30 | 1.40 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
63% (12/19) | 67% (2/3) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 35 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 7 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.00 | 2.52 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.00 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 5', 1 - 0, Leon B. ⚽,
- 7', 1 - 1, Batista F. ⚽, Bauza J. (A),
- 23', 1 - 2, Batista F. (Pen),
- 26', 2 - 2, Leon B. ⚽, Londono D. (A),
- 41', Londono D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', Tesillo W. 🟨,
- 49', 3 - 2, Chaverra L. (Pen),
- 52', Perlaza B. 🟨,
- 57', Sarmiento A. ↓, Morelos A. ↑,
- 61', Barrera J. ↓, Berrio L. ↑,
- 63', Loboa H. 🟨,
- 69', Zapata J. ↓, Cardona E. ↑,
- 75', Berrio L. 🟨,
- 77', 3 - 3, Morelos A. ⚽, Cardona E. (A),
- 79', Leon B. 🟨,
- 81', Loboa H. ↓, Alvarado J. ↑,
- 81', Leon B. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 81', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
- 85', Bauza J. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
- 90+3', Mena Perea E. ↓, Torijano F. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/vmjtyvmb
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín 35% | Draw 31.3% | Atlético Nacional 33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.67 ↓ (2.85) |
2.98 ↑ (2.83) |
2.77 ↑ (2.72) |
7% (7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 1.
- Ind Medellín has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Atlético Nacional has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Atlético Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Atlético Nacional?
Independiente Medellín has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Independiente Medellín?
Atlético Nacional has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
04.05.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Nacional
1:1
23.03.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Medellín
1:1
17.11.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Nacional
1:0
11.11.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Medellín
1:1
31.10.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Medellín
2:0
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bucaramanga | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 24 |
2 | Junior | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24:16 | 8 | 22 |
3 | Ind. Medellin | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:15 | 6 | 21 |
4 | Fortaleza | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 21 |
5 | Atl. Nacional | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:15 | 5 | 20 |
6 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
7 | Llaneros | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 18 |
8 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Alianza | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Pereira | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Millonarios | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 14 |
13 | America De Cali | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
14 | Once Caldas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
15 | Envigado | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
16 | Aguilas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
17 | U. Magdalena | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 11 |
18 | Chico | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 11 |
19 | La Equidad | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 11 |
20 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )