Result
0:1
17/12/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa Colombia - Second stage - Final
- Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Roman A. ⚽,
- 23', Alvarado J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', Sarmiento A. 🟨,
- 58', Berrio L. ↓, Fydriszewski F. ↑,
- 59', Ortiz J. ↓, Chaverra L. ↑,
- 60', Cardona E. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
- 60', Sarmiento A. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 65', Chaverra L. 🟨,
- 74', Londono D. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
- 74', Alvarado J. ↓, Serna A. ↑,
- 76', Morelos A. 🟨,
- 80', Barrera J. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
- 84', Hinestroza M. ↓, Salazar A. ↑,
- 90+3', Morelos A. ↓, Rengifo J. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/47bnz4t3
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín
35.1% | Draw
30.6% | Atlético Nacional
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Medellín's performance.Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Nacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Medellín that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+14.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↓
(3.55) |
3.07 ↓
(3.45) |
2.74 ↑
(1.98) |
6.9%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Atlético Nacional (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Atlético Nacional (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:29. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Atlético Nacional?
Independiente Medellín has won 6 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Independiente Medellín?
Atlético Nacional has won 4 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
13.12.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Medellín
0:0
04.12.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Medellín
2:1
23.11.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Nacional
0:0
26.10.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Medellín
5:2
07.09.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Nacional
3:3
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Draw
Second stage1/8-finals| 1 | Ind. Medellin | Fortaleza | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Santa Fe | Alianza | 4 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Real Cundinamarca | Pereira | 2 : 2, 3 : 4 |
| 4 | Millonarios | Envigado | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | America De Cali | Bucaramanga | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Atletico F.C. | Junior | 2 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Atl. Nacional | Quindio | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Dep. Pasto | 4 : 0, 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ind. Medellin | Santa Fe | 3 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Pereira | Envigado | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | America De Cali | Junior | 1 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | Once Caldas | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ind. Medellin | Envigado | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | America De Cali | Atl. Nacional | 2 : 2, 1 : 4 |
Final| 1 | Ind. Medellin | Atl. Nacional | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
