Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional
07/09/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Independiente Medellín
34.8%
Draw
31.3%
Atlético Nacional
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.8% 33% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 33.2% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.85)
    3.01
    (2.83)
    2.76
    (2.72)
    6.9%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 1.
    • Ind Medellín has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Atlético Nacional has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ind Medellín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ind Medellín has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional 1:1
    23.03.2025 Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín 1:1
    17.11.2024 Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional 1:0
    11.11.2024 Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín 1:1
    31.10.2024 Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín 2:0
    Latest results of Atlético Nacional
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior962120:101020
    2Ind. Medellin961216:10619
    3Deportes Tolima952210:6417
    4Atl. Nacional944115:8716
    5Fortaleza936013:9415
    6Llaneros94239:9014
    7Bucaramanga741214:8613
    8Pereira93339:9012
    9Santa Fe93339:10-112
    10Alianza93339:12-312
    11Envigado92438:9-110
    12Chico92437:9-210
    13La Equidad92436:9-310
    14Dep. Cali924311:15-410
    15U. Magdalena92258:15-78
    16Millonarios821510:12-27
    17Aguilas91449:14-57
    18Dep. Pasto71338:10-26
    19Once Caldas81348:12-46
    20America De Cali71245:8-35

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )