Result
3:3
07/09/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 2.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (271/342) | 84% (294/350) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 2.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 2.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (271/342) | 84% (294/350) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (22/50) | 59% (32/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (50/71) | 70% (72/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 67% (2/3) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.00 | 2.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.00 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 5', 1 - 0, Leon B. ⚽,
- 7', 1 - 1, Batista F. ⚽, Bauza J. (A),
- 23', 1 - 2, Batista F. (Pen),
- 26', 2 - 2, Leon B. ⚽, Londono D. (A),
- 41', Londono D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', Tesillo W. 🟨,
- 49', 3 - 2, Chaverra L. (Pen),
- 52', Perlaza B. 🟨,
- 57', Sarmiento A. ↓, Morelos A. ↑,
- 61', Barrera J. ↓, Berrio L. ↑,
- 63', Loboa H. 🟨,
- 69', Zapata J. ↓, Cardona E. ↑,
- 75', Berrio L. 🟨,
- 77', 3 - 3, Morelos A. ⚽, Cardona E. (A),
- 79', Leon B. 🟨,
- 81', Loboa H. ↓, Alvarado J. ↑,
- 81', Leon B. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 81', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
- 85', Bauza J. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
- 90+3', Mena Perea E. ↓, Torijano F. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/vmjtyvmb
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín
35% | Draw
31.3% | Atlético Nacional
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↓
(2.85) |
2.98 ↑
(2.83) |
2.77 ↑
(2.72) |
7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 1.
- Ind Medellín has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Atlético Nacional has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Atlético Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Atlético Nacional?
Independiente Medellín has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Independiente Medellín?
Atlético Nacional has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
04.05.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Nacional
1:1
23.03.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Medellín
1:1
17.11.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Nacional
1:0
11.11.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Medellín
1:1
31.10.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Medellín
2:0
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30:19 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 26:12 | 14 | 30 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 33:21 | 12 | 30 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21:16 | 5 | 28 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 16:14 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Aguilas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | America De Cali | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 11 | Alianza | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 | Dep. Cali | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 | Pereira | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 18:23 | -5 | 17 |
| 17 | Envigado | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19:25 | -6 | 13 |
| 19 | Chico | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 13 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 9:22 | -13 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
