Result
11/04/2026 at 21:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín
31.1% | Draw
27.8% | Atlético Nacional
41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.98 ↑
(2.72) |
3.35 ↑
(3.34) |
2.27 ↓
(2.43) |
7.4%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 0-0. Aggregate: 0-1. 2nd leg.
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- Atlético Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 0.
- Recent performances by Ind Medellín have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlético Nacional is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:30. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.5:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Atlético Nacional?
Independiente Medellín has won 6 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Independiente Medellín?
Atlético Nacional has won 5 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
17.12.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Nacional
0:1
13.12.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Medellín
0:0
04.12.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Medellín
2:1
23.11.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Nacional
0:0
26.10.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Medellín
5:2
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Junior | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Dep. Cali | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 21 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
