Result
0:0
23/11/2025 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Quadrangular - Round 2
- Referee: Delgado L. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (336/405) | 77% (257/332) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (336/405) | 77% (257/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (27/55) | 41% (20/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (101/137) | 60% (56/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Leon B. 🟨,
- 45', Moreno M. 🟨,
- 45+3', Cardona E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Moreno M. ↓, Bauza J. ↑,
- 62', Berrio L. ↓, Serna A. ↑,
- 63', Barrera J. ↓, Fydriszewski F. ↑,
- 72', Cardona E. ↓, Rengifo J. ↑,
- 77', Campuzano J. 🟨,
- 80', Arizala J. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
- 83', Morelos A. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
- 83', Hinestroza M. ↓, Salazar A. ↑,
- 90', Mantilla K. ↓, Torijano F. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mwaj9bnj
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín
38% | Draw
27.4% | Atlético Nacional
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(2.22) |
3.39 ↓
(3.45) |
2.81 ↓
(2.98) |
5.7%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Medellín: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 1.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Ind Medellín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ind Medellín is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:30. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Atlético Nacional?
Independiente Medellín has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Independiente Medellín?
Atlético Nacional has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
26.10.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Medellín
5:2
07.09.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Nacional
3:3
04.05.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Nacional
1:1
23.03.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Independiente Medellín
1:1
17.11.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Atlético Nacional
1:0
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura - QuadrangularGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportes Tolima | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Bucaramanga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Santa Fe | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Final)
