Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional
Result
3:3
07/09/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 10
  • Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.612.90
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
06
Passes
79% (271/342)84% (294/350)
Yellow Cards
51
Expected Goals (xG)
1.612.90
xG on target (xGOT)
2.522.00
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
510
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
612
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
06
Touches in opposition box
1225
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
79% (271/342)84% (294/350)
Long passes
44% (22/50)59% (32/54)
Passes in final third
70% (50/71)70% (72/103)
Crosses
33% (3/9)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.301.40
Throw-ins
1514
Fouls
1414
Tackles
63% (12/19)67% (2/3)
Duels won
4235
Clearances
247
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
2.002.52
Goals prevented
-1.00-0.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Leon B. ,
  • 7', 1 - 1, Batista F. , Bauza J. (A),
  • 23', 1 - 2, Batista F. (Pen),
  • 26', 2 - 2, Leon B. , Londono D. (A),
  • 41', Londono D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Tesillo W. 🟨,
  • 49', 3 - 2, Chaverra L. (Pen),
  • 52', Perlaza B. 🟨,
  • 57', Sarmiento A. , Morelos A. ,
  • 61', Barrera J. , Berrio L. ,
  • 63', Loboa H. 🟨,
  • 69', Zapata J. , Cardona E. ,
  • 75', Berrio L. 🟨,
  • 77', 3 - 3, Morelos A. , Cardona E. (A),
  • 79', Leon B. 🟨,
  • 81', Loboa H. , Alvarado J. ,
  • 81', Leon B. , Garcia M. ,
  • 81', Fydriszewski F. , Sandoval L. ,
  • 85', Bauza J. , Arce B. ,
  • 90+3', Mena Perea E. , Torijano F. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/vmjtyvmb

Chances of winning


Independiente Medellín
35%
Draw
31.3%
Atlético Nacional
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.8% 33% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 33.2% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.85)
    2.98
    (2.83)
    2.77
    (2.72)
    7%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 1.
    • Ind Medellín has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Atlético Nacional has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Atlético Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional 1:1
    23.03.2025 Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín 1:1
    17.11.2024 Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional 1:0
    11.11.2024 Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín 1:1
    31.10.2024 Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín 2:0
    Latest results of Atlético Nacional
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga1273222:91324
    2Junior1264224:16822
    3Ind. Medellin1163221:15621
    4Fortaleza1256117:12521
    5Atl. Nacional1255220:15520
    6Deportes Tolima1262414:9520
    7Llaneros1253410:10018
    8Dep. Cali1245317:16117
    9Santa Fe1245312:11117
    10Alianza1244413:15-216
    11Pereira1235410:11-114
    12Millonarios1242614:17-314
    13America De Cali123459:10-113
    14Once Caldas1234511:14-313
    15Envigado122649:11-212
    16Aguilas1125411:15-411
    17U. Magdalena1232712:20-811
    18Chico122558:16-811
    19La Equidad122557:15-811
    20Dep. Pasto1224612:16-410

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )