Result
1:3
02/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (251/332) | 82% (359/437) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (251/332) | 82% (359/437) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (35/79) | 42% (25/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (48/87) | 61% (64/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 90% (9/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.17 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Pacius W. ⚽, Moon N. (A),
- 38', Moon N. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Ofeimu B. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', O'Brien J. ↓, Hogan P. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 2, Alvarez L. ⚽, Pacius W. (A),
- 60', Blake J. ↓, Collier E. ↑,
- 64', Moon N. ↓, Azocar J. ↑,
- 72', Alvarez L. ↓, Bassett O. ↑,
- 72', Hilton L. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
- 73', Pacius W. 🟨,
- 75', Musa J. 🟨,
- 78', Lindley C. ↓, Bryneus O. ↑,
- 78', Musa J. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
- 80', Murphy J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Crisostomo D. ↓, Lasso F. ↑,
- 90+1', Pacius W. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
- 90+8', 1 - 3, Skinner J. ⚽, Arteaga M. (A),
- 90+10', Foster M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Indy Eleven
44.5% | Draw
26.9% | Tampa Bay Rowdies
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Indy Eleven - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.11) |
3.38 ↓
(3.41) |
3.17 ↑
(3.16) |
10%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indy won 0.
- Indy is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tampa Bay has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Indy has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
- Indy will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Indy won 3 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:29. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Indy Eleven won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Indy Eleven has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Indy Eleven?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
25.06.2025
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Indy Eleven
3:1
26.10.2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Indy Eleven
3:0
20.07.2024
Indy Eleven
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0:2
22.07.2023
Indy Eleven
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0:0
11.03.2023
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Indy Eleven
1:1
Latest results of Indy Eleven
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina ✔ | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh ✔ | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun ✔ | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico ✔ | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
