Indy Eleven vs Tampa Bay Rowdies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Result
1:3
02/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.87
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
76% (251/332)82% (359/437)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.531.83
Total shots
158
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
101
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2116
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
2018
Passes
76% (251/332)82% (359/437)
Long passes
44% (35/79)42% (25/60)
Passes in final third
55% (48/87)61% (64/105)
Crosses
38% (9/24)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.45
Throw-ins
1117
Fouls
1820
Tackles
75% (15/20)90% (9/10)
Duels won
5546
Clearances
2722
Interceptions
1511
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.830.53
Goals prevented
-1.17-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Pacius W. ⚽, Moon N. (A),
  • 38', Moon N. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Ofeimu B. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', O'Brien J. ↓, Hogan P. ↑,
  • 57', 1 - 2, Alvarez L. ⚽, Pacius W. (A),
  • 60', Blake J. ↓, Collier E. ↑,
  • 64', Moon N. ↓, Azocar J. ↑,
  • 72', Alvarez L. ↓, Bassett O. ↑,
  • 72', Hilton L. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
  • 73', Pacius W. 🟨,
  • 75', Musa J. 🟨,
  • 78', Lindley C. ↓, Bryneus O. ↑,
  • 78', Musa J. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
  • 80', Murphy J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Crisostomo D. ↓, Lasso F. ↑,
  • 90+1', Pacius W. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
  • 90+8', 1 - 3, Skinner J. ⚽, Arteaga M. (A),
  • 90+10', Foster M. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Indy Eleven
44.5%		Draw
26.9%		Tampa Bay Rowdies
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.7% 27.1% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 26.4% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
    •

    Indy Eleven - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.04 ↓
    (2.11)    		 3.38 ↓
    (3.41)    		 3.17 ↑
    (3.16)    		 10%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indy won 0.
    • Indy is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tampa Bay has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Indy has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
    • Indy will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Indy won 3 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:29. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
    25.06.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven 3:1
    26.10.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven 3:0
    20.07.2024 Indy Eleven - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:2
    22.07.2023 Indy Eleven - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:0
    11.03.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven 1:1
    Latest results of Indy Eleven
    26.07.2025 Indy Eleven - Tulsa 2:1
    18.07.2025 North Carolina - Indy Eleven 4:2
    12.07.2025 Indy Eleven - Rhode Island 1:0
    05.07.2025 Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay 3:0
    25.06.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven 3:1
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
    26.07.2025 Charleston Battery - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:1
    16.07.2025 Hartford Athletic - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:1
    12.07.2025 San Antonio - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:0
    04.07.2025 Naples - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:2
    25.06.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven 3:1
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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