Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami
Result
3:3
24/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.971.30
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
70% (212/301)86% (525/613)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
2.971.30
xG on target (xGOT)
3.841.92
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
138
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
2517
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
70% (212/301)86% (525/613)
Long passes
22% (12/54)69% (38/55)
Passes in final third
58% (63/108)76% (121/159)
Crosses
19% (5/26)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.321.53
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
1210
Tackles
53% (9/17)73% (8/11)
Duels won
3838
Clearances
2632
Interceptions
164
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.923.84
Goals prevented
-1.080.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Sullivan Q. , Wagner K. (A),
  • 40', Bright Y. , Redondo Solari F. ,
  • 41', Vassilev I. 🟨,
  • 42', Fray I. 🟨,
  • 44', 2 - 0, Baribo T. , Uhre M. (A), Vassilev I. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 60', 2 - 1, Allende T. , Allen N. (A), Alba J. (A2)
  • 61', Aviles T. , Weigandt M. ,
  • 61', Fray I. , Segovia T. ,
  • 63', Uhre M. , Bueno J. ,
  • 73', 3 - 1, Baribo T. ,
  • 75', Bueno J. 🟨,
  • 76', Vassilev I. , Damiani B. ,
  • 76', Alba J. 🟨,
  • 78', Lujan G. , Picault F. ,
  • 86', Glesnes J. 🟨,
  • 86', Sullivan Q. , Westfield F. ,
  • 87', 3 - 2, Messi L. ,
  • 90+2', Redondo Solari F. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 3, Segovia T. ,
  • 90+7', Jean Jacques D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union
40.4%
Draw
25.1%
Inter Miami
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 26.4% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 25.1% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.32)
    3.8
    (3.5)
    2.77
    (2.75)
    5%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 50%). Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 1.
    • Philadelphia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Inter Miami is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Philadelphia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
    • Philadelphia could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury) Pierre N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury) Rodriguez B. (Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Blake A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Inter Miami - Philadelphia Union 2:1
    14.09.2024 Inter Miami - Philadelphia Union 3:1
    15.06.2024 Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami 1:2
    15.08.2023 Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami 1:4
    24.06.2023 Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami 4:1
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 34196964:412363
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 34189766:382863
    3Los Angeles FC ✔ 34179865:402560
    4Minnesota United ✔ 341610856:391758
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 341510958:481055
    6Austin FC341381337:45-847
    7FC Dallas3411111252:55-344
    8Portland Timbers3411111241:48-744
    9Real Salt Lake341251738:49-1141
    10San Jose Earthquakes341181560:63-341
    11Colorado Rapids341181544:56-1241
    12Houston Dynamo349101543:56-1337
    13St. Louis City34881844:58-1432
    14Los Angeles Galaxy34791846:66-2030
    15Sporting Kansas City34772046:70-2428


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 34206857:352266
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 34205952:401265
    3Inter Miami ✔ 34198781:552665
    4Charlotte ✔ 341921355:46959
    5New York City ✔ 341751250:44656
    6Nashville SC341661258:451354
    7Columbus Crew341412855:51454
    8Chicago Fire341581168:60853
    9Orlando City341411963:511253
    10New York Red Bulls341271548:47143
    11New England Revolution34991644:51-736
    12Toronto FC346141437:44-732
    13CF Montreal346101834:60-2628
    14Atlanta Utd345131638:63-2528
    15DC United345111830:66-3626

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)