Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
24/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.971.30
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
70% (212/301)86% (525/613)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
2.971.30
xG on target (xGOT)
3.841.92
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
138
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
2517
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
70% (212/301)86% (525/613)
Long passes
22% (12/54)69% (38/55)
Passes in final third
58% (63/108)76% (121/159)
Crosses
19% (5/26)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.321.53
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
1210
Tackles
53% (9/17)73% (8/11)
Duels won
3838
Clearances
2632
Interceptions
164
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.923.84
Goals prevented
-1.080.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Sullivan Q. , Wagner K. (A),
  • 40', Bright Y. , Redondo Solari F. ,
  • 41', Vassilev I. 🟨,
  • 42', Fray I. 🟨,
  • 44', 2 - 0, Baribo T. , Uhre M. (A), Vassilev I. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 60', 2 - 1, Allende T. , Allen N. (A), Alba J. (A2)
  • 61', Aviles T. , Weigandt M. ,
  • 61', Fray I. , Segovia T. ,
  • 63', Uhre M. , Bueno J. ,
  • 73', 3 - 1, Baribo T. ,
  • 75', Bueno J. 🟨,
  • 76', Vassilev I. , Damiani B. ,
  • 76', Alba J. 🟨,
  • 78', Lujan G. , Picault F. ,
  • 86', Glesnes J. 🟨,
  • 86', Sullivan Q. , Westfield F. ,
  • 87', 3 - 2, Messi L. ,
  • 90+2', Redondo Solari F. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 3, Segovia T. ,
  • 90+7', Jean Jacques D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union
40.4%
Draw
25.1%
Inter Miami
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 26.4% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 25.1% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.32)
    3.8
    (3.5)
    2.77
    (2.75)
    5%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 40%). Inter Miami (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.25 - Philadelphia (2.13) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Inter Miami (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Inter Miami (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Inter Miami (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 3 - 30%). Inter Miami (votes: 7 - 70%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 1.
    • Philadelphia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Inter Miami is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Philadelphia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
    • Philadelphia could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury) Pierre N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury) Rodriguez B. (Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Blake A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Inter Miami - Philadelphia Union 2:1
    14.09.2024 Inter Miami - Philadelphia Union 3:1
    15.06.2024 Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami 1:2
    15.08.2023 Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami 1:4
    24.06.2023 Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami 4:1
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC651014:01416
    2Vancouver Whitecaps650117:41315
    3San Jose Earthquakes650110:1915
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6FC Dallas632114:9511
    7San Diego FC632113:8511
    8Colorado Rapids630313:1039
    9Minnesota United62226:12-68
    10Houston Dynamo52038:10-26
    11Austin FC61327:9-26
    12Los Angeles Galaxy61238:10-25
    13St. Louis City61235:8-35
    14Portland Timbers61149:15-64
    15Sporting Kansas City61146:14-84


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC641113:31013
    2New York City632114:7711
    3Charlotte632112:7511
    4Inter Miami632111:10111
    5Chicago Fire63128:5310
    6Toronto FC63129:10-110
    7New York Red Bulls63129:13-410
    8DC United62134:8-47
    9New England Revolution520311:926
    10FC Cincinnati62049:15-66
    11Columbus Crew61238:9-15
    12Atlanta Utd61146:11-54
    13CF Montreal61057:17-103
    14Orlando City61055:23-183
    15Philadelphia Union60064:11-70

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)