Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami
Result
3:3
24/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.971.30
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
70% (212/301)86% (525/613)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
2.971.30
xG on target (xGOT)
3.841.92
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
138
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
2517
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
70% (212/301)86% (525/613)
Long passes
22% (12/54)69% (38/55)
Passes in final third
58% (63/108)76% (121/159)
Crosses
19% (5/26)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.321.53
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
1210
Tackles
53% (9/17)73% (8/11)
Duels won
3838
Clearances
2632
Interceptions
164
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.923.84
Goals prevented
-1.080.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Sullivan Q. , Wagner K. (A),
  • 40', Bright Y. , Redondo Solari F. ,
  • 41', Vassilev I. 🟨,
  • 42', Fray I. 🟨,
  • 44', 2 - 0, Baribo T. , Uhre M. (A), Vassilev I. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 60', 2 - 1, Allende T. , Allen N. (A), Alba J. (A2)
  • 61', Aviles T. , Weigandt M. ,
  • 61', Fray I. , Segovia T. ,
  • 63', Uhre M. , Bueno J. ,
  • 73', 3 - 1, Baribo T. ,
  • 75', Bueno J. 🟨,
  • 76', Vassilev I. , Damiani B. ,
  • 76', Alba J. 🟨,
  • 78', Lujan G. , Picault F. ,
  • 86', Glesnes J. 🟨,
  • 86', Sullivan Q. , Westfield F. ,
  • 87', 3 - 2, Messi L. ,
  • 90+2', Redondo Solari F. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 3, Segovia T. ,
  • 90+7', Jean Jacques D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union
40.4%
Draw
25.1%
Inter Miami
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 26.4% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 25.1% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.32)
    3.8
    (3.5)
    2.77
    (2.75)
    5%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 50%). Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 1.
    • Philadelphia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Inter Miami is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Philadelphia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
    • Philadelphia could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury) Pierre N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury) Rodriguez B. (Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Blake A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Inter Miami - Philadelphia Union 2:1
    14.09.2024 Inter Miami - Philadelphia Union 3:1
    15.06.2024 Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami 1:2
    15.08.2023 Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami 1:4
    24.06.2023 Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami 4:1
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144748:321646
    2Vancouver Whitecaps24136542:261645
    3Minnesota United25128542:281444
    4Seattle Sounders24108639:35438
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Austin FC2396821:26-533
    8Real Salt Lake24941126:30-431
    9Colorado Rapids25861131:39-830
    10San Jose Earthquakes25781047:44329
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City24661236:45-924
    14St. Louis City24461424:40-1618
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami22126449:341542
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7Charlotte251221143:39438
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire24105945:40535
    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC24561325:32-721
    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)