Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami
Result
3:3
24/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.971.30
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
70% (212/301)86% (525/613)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
2.971.30
xG on target (xGOT)
3.841.92
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
138
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
2517
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
70% (212/301)86% (525/613)
Long passes
22% (12/54)69% (38/55)
Passes in final third
58% (63/108)76% (121/159)
Crosses
19% (5/26)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.321.53
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
1210
Tackles
53% (9/17)73% (8/11)
Duels won
3838
Clearances
2632
Interceptions
164
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.923.84
Goals prevented
-1.080.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Sullivan Q. , Wagner K. (A),
  • 40', Bright Y. , Redondo Solari F. ,
  • 41', Vassilev I. 🟨,
  • 42', Fray I. 🟨,
  • 44', 2 - 0, Baribo T. , Uhre M. (A), Vassilev I. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 60', 2 - 1, Allende T. , Allen N. (A), Alba J. (A2)
  • 61', Aviles T. , Weigandt M. ,
  • 61', Fray I. , Segovia T. ,
  • 63', Uhre M. , Bueno J. ,
  • 73', 3 - 1, Baribo T. ,
  • 75', Bueno J. 🟨,
  • 76', Vassilev I. , Damiani B. ,
  • 76', Alba J. 🟨,
  • 78', Lujan G. , Picault F. ,
  • 86', Glesnes J. 🟨,
  • 86', Sullivan Q. , Westfield F. ,
  • 87', 3 - 2, Messi L. ,
  • 90+2', Redondo Solari F. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 3, Segovia T. ,
  • 90+7', Jean Jacques D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union
40.4%
Draw
25.1%
Inter Miami
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 26.4% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 25.1% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.32)
    3.8
    (3.5)
    2.77
    (2.75)
    5%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 50%). Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 1.
    • Philadelphia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Inter Miami is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Philadelphia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
    • Philadelphia could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury) Pierre N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury) Rodriguez B. (Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Blake A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Inter Miami - Philadelphia Union 2:1
    14.09.2024 Inter Miami - Philadelphia Union 3:1
    15.06.2024 Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami 1:2
    15.08.2023 Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami 1:4
    24.06.2023 Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami 4:1
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC28165752:331953
    2Minnesota United28148647:311650
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Los Angeles FC25118644:311341
    5Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    6Portland Timbers27108935:37-238
    7Colorado Rapids281061236:44-836
    8San Jose Earthquakes28981152:48435
    9Austin FC2698926:32-635
    10Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    11FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    12Houston Dynamo27781234:44-1029
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City27561631:47-1621
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union28166648:262254
    2FC Cincinnati28164842:35752
    3Nashville SC28155849:321750
    4Orlando City28138754:401447
    5Inter Miami25137554:401446
    6Columbus Crew27129643:39445
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8New York City26135837:30744
    9New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution27871235:38-331
    12Toronto FC26581327:34-723
    13CF Montreal28581528:50-2223
    14Atlanta Utd264101231:49-1822
    15DC United28491524:53-2921

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)