Result
1:4
12/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 20
- Referee: Puts K. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 2.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (481/559) | 74% (223/301) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 2.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 3.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (481/559) | 74% (223/301) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (37/60) | 50% (35/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (117/157) | 56% (48/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.42 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, van der Wegen S. ⚽,
- 19', Demircan E. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 2, Demircan E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', van Ommeren J. ↓, Viereck N. ↑,
- 46', Hartog J. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
- 46', Budko B. ↓, Simons S. ↑,
- 47', Viereck N. 🟨,
- 55', 0 - 3, Viereck N. ⚽, El Arguioui R. (A),
- 62', Natali A. ↓, de Wit H. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 4, Demircan E. ⚽, El Arguioui R. (A),
- 68', Demircan E. ↓, Plantinga V. ↑,
- 68', van de Haar J. ↓, Dundas N. ↑,
- 70', Dundas N. 🟨,
- 73', Sin M. ↓, van den Ban Y. ↑,
- 77', El Arguioui R. 🟨,
- 78', Jensen M. ↓, Menzo B. ↑,
- 79', El Arguioui R. ↓, Sneijder J. ↑,
- 79', Dijkstra E. ↓, Dekker M. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 4, van den Ban Y. ⚽, Smits A. (A),
Chances of winning
Jong AZ Alkmaar
42.6% | Draw
24.9% | Jong Utrecht
32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jong Utrecht, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Utrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(1.92) |
3.71 ↑
(3.66) |
2.89 ↓
(3.25) |
7.1%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Utrecht?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Jong Utrecht will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong AZ: 45% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jong Utrecht will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 16 and 14)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Jong AZ is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Jong AZ: Kasius D.
(Injury)
Menu M.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:19. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 2.4:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against Jong Utrecht?
Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Utrecht won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Jong Utrecht has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Utrecht were as follows:
30.09.2025
Jong Utrecht
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0:0
07.03.2025
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Jong Utrecht
5:1
22.10.2024
Jong Utrecht
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0:1
12.02.2024
Jong Utrecht
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:2
14.08.2023
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Jong Utrecht
1:0
Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of Jong Utrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 36 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 82:35 | 47 | 83 |
| 2 | Cambuur ✔ | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 72:44 | 28 | 75 |
| 3 | Willem II | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 54:41 | 13 | 62 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 71:56 | 15 | 60 |
| 5 | Almere City | 36 | 17 | 4 | 15 | 73:59 | 14 | 55 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 66:53 | 13 | 55 |
| 7 | Roda | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 57:50 | 7 | 54 |
| 8 | Jong PSV | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 63:59 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 61:61 | 0 | 50 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 36 | 13 | 5 | 18 | 50:66 | -16 | 44 |
| 12 | Venlo | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 47:55 | -8 | 42 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 55:70 | -15 | 41 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 60:53 | 7 | 40 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 52:58 | -6 | 39 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 35 | 11 | 4 | 20 | 59:71 | -12 | 37 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 41:71 | -30 | 37 |
| 18 | Helmond | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 40:61 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Oss | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 46:61 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 48:69 | -21 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
