Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Jong Utrecht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

AFAS Trainingscomplex (Wijdewormer).

Eerste Divisie - Round 20
Referee: Puts K. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	2.17
Ball Possession
64%	36%
Total shots
15	15
Shots on target
5	9
Big Chances
1	5
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
86% (481/559)	74% (223/301)
Yellow Cards
0	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	2.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.00	3.42
Total shots
15	15
Shots on target
5	9
Shots off target
7	5
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
9	10
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	2
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
1	5
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
27	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
12	13
Passes
86% (481/559)	74% (223/301)
Long passes
62% (37/60)	50% (35/70)
Passes in final third
75% (117/157)	56% (48/86)
Crosses
31% (4/13)	36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.21	1.03
Throw-ins
16	11
Fouls
13	12
Tackles
75% (6/8)	53% (8/15)
Duels won
35	40
Clearances
22	15
Interceptions
6	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	4
xGOT faced
3.42	1.00
Goals prevented
-0.58	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, van der Wegen S. ⚽,
19', Demircan E. 🟨,
38', 0 - 2, Demircan E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', van Ommeren J. ↓, Viereck N. ↑,
46', Hartog J. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
46', Budko B. ↓, Simons S. ↑,
47', Viereck N. 🟨,
55', 0 - 3, Viereck N. ⚽, El Arguioui R. (A),
62', Natali A. ↓, de Wit H. ↑,
65', 0 - 4, Demircan E. ⚽, El Arguioui R. (A),
68', Demircan E. ↓, Plantinga V. ↑,
68', van de Haar J. ↓, Dundas N. ↑,
70', Dundas N. 🟨,
73', Sin M. ↓, van den Ban Y. ↑,
77', El Arguioui R. 🟨,
78', Jensen M. ↓, Menzo B. ↑,
79', El Arguioui R. ↓, Sneijder J. ↑,
79', Dijkstra E. ↓, Dekker M. ↑,
81', 1 - 4, van den Ban Y. ⚽, Smits A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Jong AZ Alkmaar
42.6%

Draw
24.9%

Jong Utrecht
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

24.8%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

25.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jong Utrecht, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Utrecht Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.92)	3.71 ↑ (3.66)	2.89 ↓ (3.25)	7.1% (10.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Utrecht?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Jong Utrecht will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong AZ: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jong Utrecht will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 16 and 14)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 4.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Jong AZ is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Jong AZ: Kasius D. (Injury) Menu M. (Yellow Cards)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:19. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 2.4:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against Jong Utrecht?

Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jong Utrecht won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?

Jong Utrecht has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Utrecht were as follows:

30.09.2025 Jong Utrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar 0:0

07.03.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Utrecht 5:1

22.10.2024 Jong Utrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar 0:1

12.02.2024 Jong Utrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:2

14.08.2023 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Utrecht 1:0

Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar

05.12.2025 Roda - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:3 ✺

28.11.2025 Emmen - Jong AZ Alkmaar 4:2 ✺

24.11.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - FC Oss 0:1 ✺

21.11.2025 MVV Maastricht - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:3 ✺

07.11.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - VVV-Venlo 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Jong Utrecht

08.12.2025 Jong Utrecht - De Graafschap 2:3 ✺

28.11.2025 Dordrecht - Jong Utrecht 1:2 ✺

24.11.2025 Jong Utrecht - Den Bosch 3:2 ✺

21.11.2025 Jong PSV - Jong Utrecht 3:3 ✺

07.11.2025 Jong Utrecht - Emmen 1:2 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	33	25	2	6	74:32	42	77
2	Cambuur	32	21	7	4	66:37	29	70
3	Willem II	32	15	8	9	50:38	12	53
4	De Graafschap	32	15	7	10	59:51	8	52
5	Almere City	33	16	4	13	68:53	15	52
6	Jong PSV	33	15	5	13	62:58	4	50
7	Waalwijk	33	13	9	11	56:50	6	48
8	Roda	33	12	12	9	51:48	3	48
9	Den Bosch	33	13	7	13	58:59	-1	46
10	Dordrecht	33	11	10	12	44:46	-2	43
11	Eindhoven FC	32	12	4	16	46:57	-11	40
12	Jong Utrecht	33	10	9	14	51:55	-4	39
13	Venlo	33	11	5	17	41:51	-10	38
14	FC Emmen	31	10	7	14	48:56	-8	37
15	Vitesse	33	13	9	11	51:49	2	36
16	Maastricht	33	9	9	15	39:66	-27	36
17	Jong AZ	33	10	4	19	57:66	-9	34
18	Helmond	33	9	7	17	38:57	-19	34
19	Jong Ajax	33	8	8	17	45:59	-14	32
20	Oss	33	7	11	15	41:57	-16	32

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