Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 4
- Referee: Vsetecka J. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (310/412) | 74% (225/303) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (310/412) | 74% (225/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (52/86) | 41% (30/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (79/136) | 51% (46/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.53 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Rigo T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Storman R. ↓, Buzek A. ↑,
- 52', Traore A. 🟨,
- 52', Hysky M. 🟨,
- 54', 0 - 1, Labik A. ⚽,
- 58', Munksgaard A. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 1, Almasi L. ⚽, Owusu D. (A),
- 62', Sin M. ↓, Kohut M. ↑,
- 62', Buchta D. ↓, Boula J. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 2, Krcik D. (Pen),
- 67', Bohac S. ↓, Ayaosi E. ↑,
- 67', Conde O. ↓, Ezeh L. ↑,
- 71', Rigo T. ↓, Prekop E. ↑,
- 71', Tiehi C. ↓, Frydek Ch. ↑,
- 79', Owusu D. ↓, Latal D. ↑,
- 86', Gning A. ↓, Vecheta F. ↑,
- 90+5', Planka D. ↓, Samko D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Baník Ostrava
53.9% | Draw
24.4% | Karviná
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Baník Ostrava's form might have worsened.Karviná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baník Ostrava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karviná, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Baník Ostrava - Karviná Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.52) |
3.88 ↓
(4.3) |
4.36 ↓
(5.6) |
6.2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Baník Ostrava - Karviná?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Karviná will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baník Ostrava: 50.9% – 95.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Baník Ostrava will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Live broadcast of Radiožurnál Sport.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Karviná may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Baník Ostrava is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Kubala F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Karviná: Singhateh E.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Karviná: Chytry J.
(Injury)
Sigut S.
(Health problems)
Vallo K.
(Health problems)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:21. (average 1.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Baník Ostrava won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:12. (average 2.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Karviná?
Baník Ostrava has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karviná won against Baník Ostrava?
Karviná has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baník Ostrava - Karviná were as follows:
30.11.2024
Baník Ostrava
-
Karviná
2:1
28.08.2024
Karviná
-
Baník Ostrava
0:0
14.04.2024
Baník Ostrava
-
Karviná
2:2
05.11.2023
Karviná
-
Baník Ostrava
1:3
Latest results of Baník Ostrava
Latest results of Karviná
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sparta Prague | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | Slavia Prague | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 22:8 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | Plzen | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | Zlin | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Liberec | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Karvina | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:17 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Hradec Kralove | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Bohemians | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Teplice | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 | Ostrava | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | FK Pardubice | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 10 |
| 14 | Mlada Boleslav | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 17:27 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
