Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 4
- Referee: Vsetecka J. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Czech-republic | Oneplay Sport 1 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.18 | 1.51 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
75% (310/412) | 74% (225/303) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.18 | 1.51 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.17 | 1.47 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
31 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
75% (310/412) | 74% (225/303) |
Long passes |
---|
60% (52/86) | 41% (30/73) |
Passes in final third |
---|
58% (79/136) | 51% (46/91) |
Crosses |
---|
27% (6/22) | 27% (3/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.47 | 0.84 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 10 |
Fouls |
---|
6 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
70% (7/10) | 67% (10/15) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 54 |
Clearances |
---|
11 | 37 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.47 | 1.17 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.53 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Rigo T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Storman R. ↓, Buzek A. ↑,
- 52', Traore A. 🟨,
- 52', Hysky M. 🟨,
- 54', 0 - 1, Labik A. ⚽,
- 58', Munksgaard A. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 1, Almasi L. ⚽, Owusu D. (A),
- 62', Sin M. ↓, Kohut M. ↑,
- 62', Buchta D. ↓, Boula J. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 2, Krcik D. (Pen),
- 67', Bohac S. ↓, Ayaosi E. ↑,
- 67', Conde O. ↓, Ezeh L. ↑,
- 71', Rigo T. ↓, Prekop E. ↑,
- 71', Tiehi C. ↓, Frydek Ch. ↑,
- 79', Owusu D. ↓, Latal D. ↑,
- 86', Gning A. ↓, Vecheta F. ↑,
- 90+5', Planka D. ↓, Samko D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Baník Ostrava 53.9% | Draw 24.4% | Karviná 21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Baník Ostrava's form might have worsened.Karviná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baník Ostrava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karviná, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Baník Ostrava - Karviná Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.74 ↑ (1.52) |
3.88 ↓ (4.3) |
4.36 ↓ (5.6) |
6.2% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Baník Ostrava - Karviná?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Karviná will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baník Ostrava: 50.9% – 95.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Baník Ostrava will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Live broadcast of Radiožurnál Sport.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Karviná may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Baník Ostrava is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Kubala F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Karviná: Singhateh E.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Karviná: Chytry J.
(Injury)
Sigut S.
(Health problems)
Vallo K.
(Health problems)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:21. (average 1.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Baník Ostrava won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:12. (average 2.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Karviná?
Baník Ostrava has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karviná won against Baník Ostrava?
Karviná has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baník Ostrava - Karviná were as follows:
30.11.2024
Baník Ostrava
-
Karviná
2:1
28.08.2024
Karviná
-
Baník Ostrava
0:0
14.04.2024
Baník Ostrava
-
Karviná
2:2
05.11.2023
Karviná
-
Baník Ostrava
1:3
Latest results of Baník Ostrava
Latest results of Karviná
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sparta Prague | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
2 | Slavia Prague | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 11 |
3 | Zlin | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
4 | Sigma Olomouc | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 10 |
5 | Jablonec | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
6 | Karvina | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Plzen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 8 |
8 | Liberec | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
9 | Bohemians | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 6 |
10 | Slovacko | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
11 | Dukla Prague | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
12 | Mlada Boleslav | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10:16 | -6 | 4 |
13 | Teplice | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
14 | Hradec Kralove | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 2 |
15 | Ostrava | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
16 | FK Pardubice | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )