Result
1:0
03/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 8
- Referee: Sariev B. (Kaz)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Kasym A. 🟥,
- 35', Abrayev M. ↓, Anuarov S. ↑,
- 39', Karimov R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Nabikhanov A. 🟨,
- 61', Serikbay M. ↓, Gustavo Franca ↑,
- 72', Tomasov M. ↓, Basmanov S. ↑,
- 72', Islamkhan B. ↓, Karaman D. ↑,
- 75', Serikbay A. ↓, Zulfikarov B. ↑,
- 84', Basic I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 89', Bekmyrza A. ↓, Berdibek D. ↑,
- 90', Ndombasi N. ↓, Petrovic B. ↑,
- 90+4', Taykenov M. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 0, Anuarov S. (Own goal),
- 90+10', Zhomart D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kaspiy Aktau
18% | Draw
24% | Astana
58% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kaspiy Aktau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaspiy Aktau than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kaspiy Aktau that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Astana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kaspiy Aktau - Astana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.04 ↓
(6.91) |
3.79 ↓
(3.86) |
1.57 ↑
(1.46) |
10.1%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kaspiy Aktau - Astana?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Astana will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Astana: 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Astana (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Kaspiy (3.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kaspiy (votes: 1 - 50%). Astana (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ First League and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaspiy won 0.
- Kaspiy is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Astana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Astana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Kaspiy has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Astana is a strong favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Kaspiy won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:25. (average 1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kaspiy won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kaspiy Aktau won against Astana?
Kaspiy Aktau has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Astana won against Kaspiy Aktau?
Astana has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kaspiy Aktau - Astana were as follows:
02.07.2023
Kaspiy Aktau
-
Astana
1:2
24.06.2023
Astana
-
Kaspiy Aktau
3:1
10.09.2022
Kaspiy Aktau
-
Astana
0:3
Latest results of Kaspiy Aktau
Kazakh Premier League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Ulytau | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Yelimay Semey | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | FC Astana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Kyzylzhar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Atyrau | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Aktobe | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Zhenis | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | Ertis Pavlodar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Tobol | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Altai | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Kaspij Aktau | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
