Kawasaki Frontale vs Yokohama F. Marinos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos
Result
3:3
09/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.54
Ball Possession
41.2%58.8%
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
81% (315/387)87% (476/550)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.571.80
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
39
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
310
Corner Kicks
67
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
106
Passes
81% (315/387)87% (476/550)
Crosses
20% (3/15)17% (5/30)
Fouls
610
Tackles
75% (9/12)57% (4/7)
Duels won
4232
Interceptions
83
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.801.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', Quinones J. , Deng T. ,
  • 7', 1 - 0, Ozeki Y. ,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Yan , Inoue K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Kawahara S. , Yamamoto Y. ,
  • 46', Marcinho , Wakizaka Y. ,
  • 62', Kobayashi Y. , Kanda S. ,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Haydar C. , Wakizaka Y. (A),
  • 73', Inoue K. , Amano J. ,
  • 76', Ozeki Y. 🟨,
  • 79', Jean Claude 🟨,
  • 82', Tanabe S. , Sasaki A. ,
  • 88', Haydar C. , Tsuchiya K. ,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Amano J. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 3, Yan ,
  • 90+9', Yan , Matsubara K. ,
  • 90+10', 3 - 3, Takai K. , Wakizaka Y. (A),

Chances of winning


Kawasaki Frontale
48.5%
Draw
26.8%
Yokohama F. Marinos
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 22.7% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 22.2% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kawasaki Frontale's form might have worsened.
  • Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kawasaki Frontale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.63)
    3.58
    (4.1)
    3.91
    (4.6)
    5.6%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos?
  • Users Predictions: Kawasaki Frontale will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kawasaki won 2.
    • Kawasaki is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Yokohama FM is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Kawasaki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Kawasaki is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Kawasaki: Kobayashi Y. (Shoulder Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Noguchi R. (Muscle Injury) Popp W. (Knee Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Kawasaki to win the game is with odds 1.66.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Kawasaki won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 30:25 (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kawasaki won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:14 (average 1.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:3
    03.04.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kawasaki Frontale 0:0
    15.07.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kawasaki Frontale 0:1
    17.02.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:2
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds23107632:24837
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League