Result
3:3
09/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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China | QQ Sports |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.86 | 1.54 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41.2% | 58.8% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
81% (315/387) | 87% (476/550) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.86 | 1.54 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.57 | 1.80 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 10 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 7 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
81% (315/387) | 87% (476/550) |
Crosses |
---|
20% (3/15) | 17% (5/30) |
Fouls |
---|
6 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (9/12) | 57% (4/7) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 32 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 3 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.80 | 1.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', Quinones J. ↓, Deng T. ↑,
- 7', 1 - 0, Ozeki Y. ⚽,
- 41', 1 - 1, Yan ⚽, Inoue K. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Kawahara S. ↓, Yamamoto Y. ↑,
- 46', Marcinho ↓, Wakizaka Y. ↑,
- 62', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Kanda S. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Haydar C. ⚽, Wakizaka Y. (A),
- 73', Inoue K. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
- 76', Ozeki Y. 🟨,
- 79', Jean Claude 🟨,
- 82', Tanabe S. ↓, Sasaki A. ↑,
- 88', Haydar C. ↓, Tsuchiya K. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 2, Amano J. ⚽,
- 90+2', 2 - 3, Yan ⚽,
- 90+9', Yan ↓, Matsubara K. ↑,
- 90+10', 3 - 3, Takai K. ⚽, Wakizaka Y. (A),
Chances of winning
Kawasaki Frontale 48.5% | Draw 26.8% | Yokohama F. Marinos 24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kawasaki Frontale's form might have worsened.Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kawasaki Frontale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.92 ↑ (1.63) |
3.58 ↓ (4.1) |
3.91 ↓ (4.6) |
5.6% (7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos?
Users Predictions:
Kawasaki Frontale will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Kawasaki won 2.
- Kawasaki is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Yokohama FM is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Kawasaki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Kawasaki is a favorite.
- There will not play in Kawasaki: Kobayashi Y.
(Shoulder Injury)
Lee G.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T.
(Knee Injury)
Noguchi R.
(Muscle Injury)
Popp W.
(Knee Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Kawasaki to win the game is with odds 1.66.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Kawasaki won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 30:25 (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Kawasaki won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:14 (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Yokohama F. Marinos?
Kawasaki Frontale has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Kawasaki Frontale?
Yokohama F. Marinos has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
17.08.2024
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
1:3
03.04.2024
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Kawasaki Frontale
0:0
15.07.2023
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Kawasaki Frontale
0:1
17.02.2023
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
1:2
Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League