Kawasaki Frontale vs Yokohama F. Marinos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos
Result
3:3
09/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.54
Ball Possession
41.2%58.8%
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
81% (315/387)87% (476/550)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.571.80
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
39
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
310
Corner Kicks
67
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
106
Passes
81% (315/387)87% (476/550)
Crosses
20% (3/15)17% (5/30)
Fouls
610
Tackles
75% (9/12)57% (4/7)
Duels won
4232
Interceptions
83
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.801.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', Quinones J. , Deng T. ,
  • 7', 1 - 0, Ozeki Y. ,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Yan , Inoue K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Kawahara S. , Yamamoto Y. ,
  • 46', Marcinho , Wakizaka Y. ,
  • 62', Kobayashi Y. , Kanda S. ,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Haydar C. , Wakizaka Y. (A),
  • 73', Inoue K. , Amano J. ,
  • 76', Ozeki Y. 🟨,
  • 79', Jean Claude 🟨,
  • 82', Tanabe S. , Sasaki A. ,
  • 88', Haydar C. , Tsuchiya K. ,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Amano J. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 3, Yan ,
  • 90+9', Yan , Matsubara K. ,
  • 90+10', 3 - 3, Takai K. , Wakizaka Y. (A),

Chances of winning


Kawasaki Frontale
48.5%
Draw
26.8%
Yokohama F. Marinos
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 22.7% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 22.2% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kawasaki Frontale's form might have worsened.
  • Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kawasaki Frontale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.63)
    3.58
    (4.1)
    3.91
    (4.6)
    5.6%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos?
  • Users Predictions: Kawasaki Frontale will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kawasaki won 2.
    • Kawasaki is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Yokohama FM is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Kawasaki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Kawasaki is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Kawasaki: Kobayashi Y. (Shoulder Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Noguchi R. (Muscle Injury) Popp W. (Knee Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Kawasaki to win the game is with odds 1.66.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Kawasaki won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 30:25 (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kawasaki won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:14 (average 1.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:3
    03.04.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kawasaki Frontale 0:0
    15.07.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kawasaki Frontale 0:1
    17.02.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:2
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers25152837:241347
    2Kashiwa Reysol25138435:231247
    3Vissel Kobe25144734:241046
    4Kyoto25136642:301245
    5Machida25134836:251143
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima25134829:181143
    7Urawa Reds25118634:25941
    8Kawasaki Frontale25108740:31938
    9Cerezo Osaka25107840:34637
    10Avispa Fukuoka2598826:25135
    11Gamba Osaka251041129:34-534
    12Okayama25961023:22133
    13Shimizu S-Pulse25871029:32-331
    14Verdy25871016:24-831
    15FC Tokyo25851227:35-829
    16Nagoya Grampus25771129:35-628
    17Shonan Bellmare25661320:39-1924
    18Yokohama F. Marinos25561423:33-1021
    19Yokohama FC25541615:32-1719
    20Albirex Niigata25471425:44-1919

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League