Kawasaki Frontale vs Yokohama F. Marinos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium (Kawasaki).

J1 League - Round 5
Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.86	1.54
Ball Possession
41.2%	58.8%
Total shots
10	16
Shots on target
4	5
Corner Kicks
6	7
Passes
81% (315/387)	87% (476/550)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86	1.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.57	1.80
Total shots
10	16
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
3	9
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
7	6
Shots outside the Box
3	10
Corner Kicks
6	7
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
10	6
Passes
81% (315/387)	87% (476/550)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	17% (5/30)
Fouls
6	10
Tackles
75% (9/12)	57% (4/7)
Duels won
42	32
Interceptions
8	3
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
1.80	1.57

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Quinones J. ↓, Deng T. ↑,
7', 1 - 0, Ozeki Y. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Yan ⚽, Inoue K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Kawahara S. ↓, Yamamoto Y. ↑,
46', Marcinho ↓, Wakizaka Y. ↑,
62', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Kanda S. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Haydar C. ⚽, Wakizaka Y. (A),
73', Inoue K. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
76', Ozeki Y. 🟨,
79', Jean Claude 🟨,
82', Tanabe S. ↓, Sasaki A. ↑,
88', Haydar C. ↓, Tsuchiya K. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Amano J. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 3, Yan ⚽,
90+9', Yan ↓, Matsubara K. ↑,
90+10', 3 - 3, Takai K. ⚽, Wakizaka Y. (A),

Chances of winning

Kawasaki Frontale
48.5%

Draw
26.8%

Yokohama F. Marinos
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

22.7%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

22.2%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kawasaki Frontale's form might have worsened.

Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kawasaki Frontale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.63)	3.58 ↓ (4.1)	3.91 ↓ (4.6)	5.6% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos?

Users Predictions: Kawasaki Frontale will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kawasaki won 2.
Kawasaki is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Yokohama FM is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Kawasaki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Kawasaki is a favorite.
There will not play in Kawasaki: Kobayashi Y. (Shoulder Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Noguchi R. (Muscle Injury) Popp W. (Knee Injury)
Our prediction for today's Kawasaki to win the game is with odds 1.66.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Kawasaki won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 30:25 (average 1.5:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Kawasaki won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:14 (average 1.6:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Yokohama F. Marinos?

Kawasaki Frontale has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Kawasaki Frontale?

Yokohama F. Marinos has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:

17.08.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:3

03.04.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kawasaki Frontale 0:0

15.07.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kawasaki Frontale 0:1

17.02.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:2

Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale

06.04.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale 2:2 ✺

02.04.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Shonan Bellmare 2:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Tokyo - Kawasaki Frontale 0:3 ✺

16.03.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Kawasaki Frontale 0:0 ✺

12.03.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Shanghai Shenhua 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos

05.04.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo Verdy 0:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0 ✺

16.03.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka 2:0 ✺

11.03.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Shanghai Port 4:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	24	14	4	6	34:22	12	46
2	Kashima Antlers	24	14	2	8	36:24	12	44
3	Kashiwa Reysol	24	12	8	4	33:23	10	44
4	Kyoto	24	12	6	6	40:29	11	42
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	24	13	3	8	29:18	11	42
6	Machida	24	12	4	8	34:25	9	40
7	Kawasaki Frontale	24	10	8	6	38:26	12	38
8	Urawa Reds	23	10	7	6	32:24	8	37
9	Cerezo Osaka	24	9	7	8	37:33	4	34
10	Gamba Osaka	24	10	4	10	29:31	-2	34
11	Avispa Fukuoka	23	8	7	8	21:23	-2	31
12	Okayama	24	8	6	10	20:22	-2	30
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	24	8	6	10	29:32	-3	30
14	FC Tokyo	24	8	5	11	27:34	-7	29
15	Nagoya Grampus	24	7	7	10	28:33	-5	28
16	Verdy	24	7	7	10	15:24	-9	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	24	6	6	12	20:37	-17	24
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	24	5	6	13	23:32	-9	21
19	Yokohama FC	24	5	4	15	14:30	-16	19
20	Albirex Niigata	24	4	7	13	24:41	-17	19

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League