Result
3:2
05/07/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 19
- Referee: Uprus T. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Iljin A. ⚽, Kivi A. (A),
- 22', 1 - 1, Campagna C. ⚽, Maksimkin M. (A),
- 29', Burjanadze S. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 2, Pajunurm M. (Pen),
- 38', 2 - 2, Doke J. ⚽, Filatov A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', Kobin J. ↓, Domov P. ↑,
- 69', Kivi A. ↓, Pevtsov G. ↑,
- 69', Leivategija M. ↓, Jermatsenko A. ↑,
- 74', Viidas S. ↓, Baljabkin N. ↑,
- 74', Gonsevich O. ↓, Elysee ↑,
- 79', 3 - 2, Maksimkin M. (Pen),
- 84', Filatov A. ↓, Kudriashov V. ↑,
- 90+2', Smirnov A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Saar R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Narva Trans
62% | Draw
21.5% | Kuressaare
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Narva Trans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Kuressaare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (-18.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Narva Trans that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kuressaare could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Narva Trans - Kuressaare Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47
(1.47) |
4.25 ↓
(4.35) |
5.53 ↑
(5.15) |
9.5%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Narva Trans - Kuressaare?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Narva Trans will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Narva Trans: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Narva Trans (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 1.
- Recent performances by Narva Trans have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kuressaare has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Kuressaare may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Narva Trans is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:28. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Narva Trans won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Narva Trans won against Kuressaare?
Narva Trans has won 2 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kuressaare won against Narva Trans?
Kuressaare has won 9 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Narva Trans - Kuressaare were as follows:
27.04.2025
Kuressaare
-
Narva Trans
2:1
08.03.2025
Narva Trans
-
Kuressaare
0:2
08.02.2025
Narva Trans
-
Kuressaare
1:1
09.11.2024
Narva Trans
-
Kuressaare
0:2
24.08.2024
Kuressaare
-
Narva Trans
0:1
Latest results of Narva Trans
Latest results of Kuressaare
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 60:20 | 40 | 56 |
| 2 | Flora | 23 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 49:20 | 29 | 51 |
| 3 | Paide | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 42:21 | 21 | 48 |
| 4 | Kalju | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 48:29 | 19 | 44 |
| 5 | Narva | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 43:30 | 13 | 42 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 44:34 | 10 | 36 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 24 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 30:59 | -29 | 19 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 27:50 | -23 | 19 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 24:51 | -27 | 17 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 24 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 24:77 | -53 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
